Practical Tourism Forecasting
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Practical Tourism Forecasting
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Author : Douglas C. Frechtling
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 1996
Practical Tourism Forecasting written by Douglas C. Frechtling and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1996 with Business & Economics categories.
Practical Tourism Forecasting is the first step-by-step guide to forecasting tourism demand. It emphasizes how alternative forecasting methods organize information about the past to shed light on the future. It highlights the strengths and weaknesses of each of 13 different forecasting techniques and presents rules for determining the optimum model for a given tourism forecasting project. Using examples from the lodging, destination, airline and international tourism sectors, this book employs charts and tables to explain how to *plan a forecasting project *analyze time series and other information *select the appropriate forecasting model * use the model for forecasting and evaluate its results. 'Practical Tourism Forecasting' is ideal for postgraduate students in tourism and hospitality degree programs specializing in marketing, finance and operations. It is also well-suited to managers and administrators who must project demand for their products among tourists. Executives who rely on forecasts prepared by others will find it will assist them in evaluating the validity and reliability of these predictions. Those engaged in analyzing business trends broadly will find it helpful in surveying the future of what has been called the largest industry in the world. Foreword written by J.Willard Marriott, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Marriott International, Washington DC. Step-by-step guide to forecasting tourism demand Extensive use of practical examples 'The principles can certainly be applied to other industries, so anyone looking for an exemplary textbook on forecasting can benefit from this book.' The Futurist,1997
Forecasting Tourism Demand
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Author : Douglas Frechtling
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2012-05-23
Forecasting Tourism Demand written by Douglas Frechtling and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-05-23 with Business & Economics categories.
'Forecasting tourism demand' is a text that no tourism professional can afford to be without. The tourism industry has experienced an overwhelming boom over recent years, and being able to predict future trends as accurately as possible is vital in the struggle to stay one step ahead of the competition. Building on the success of 'Practical Tourism Forecasting' this text looks at 13 methods of forecasting and with a user friendly style, 'Forecasting Tourism Demand' guides the reader through each method, highlighting its strengths and weaknesses and explaining how it can be applied to the tourism industry. 'Forecasting Tourism Demand' employs charts and tables to explain how to: * plan a forecasting project * analyse time series and other information * select the appropriate forecasting model * use the model for forecasting and evaluate its results Ideal for marketing managers and strategic planners in business, transportation planners and economic policy makers in government who must project demand for their products among tourists. Executives who rely on forecasts prepared by others will find it invaluable in assisting them to evaluate the validity and reliability of predictions and forecasts. Those engaged in analysing business trends will find it useful in surveying the future of what has been called the largest industry in the world.
Tourism Forecasting And Marketing
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Author : Kevin Wong
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2012-10-12
Tourism Forecasting And Marketing written by Kevin Wong and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-10-12 with Business & Economics categories.
Stay up to date with the most effective practices in tourism demand forecasting! Tourism Forecasting and Marketing presents vital, up-to-date research on the latest practice and applications of tourism demand modeling and forecasting. The book addresses both econometric and time series approaches to forecasting, focusing on the concepts, model specification, data analysis, and methodologies used in day-to-day tourism planning. An international panel of practitioners and academics call on a diverse range of empirical research findings to discuss commonly used theoretical frameworks for forecasting and future directions tourism demand is likely to take. Tourism Forecasting and Marketing presents research findings from the United States, the United Kingdom, Asia, and Australia that are invaluable for guiding government and private sector tourism investment and development decisions. The book addresses traditional versus modern forecasting techniques; evaluations of current and past forecasting methods; modeling and forecasting destination choice; and the impact of forecasting and marketing on tourism demand. Topics include: using time series models to forecast inbound tourism demand for China and Greece determining the economic factors that influence tourism demand in Hong Kong, Indonesia, and Malaysia examining domestic travel expenditures in South Korea developing a model to forecast ski tourism using the Palmore cohort analysis for tourism forecasting and much more! Tourism Forecasting and Marketing is an important textbook for educators and students working in tourism policy planning and management, and tourism marketing. The book is equally effective as a reference for travel and tourism researchers, and for professionals dealing with tourism demand analysis and forecasting.
Qualitative Forecasting In Tourism
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Author : Haiyan Song
language : en
Publisher: Goodfellow Publishers Ltd
Release Date : 2012-01-09
Qualitative Forecasting In Tourism written by Haiyan Song and has been published by Goodfellow Publishers Ltd this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-01-09 with Business & Economics categories.
Part of the Contemporary Review Series. Contemporary Tourism Reviews will provide you with critical, state-of-the-art surveys of all of the major areas of tourism study to people who are coming to a topic for the first time. Written by leading thinkers and academics in the field they provide flexible, current and topical information as an instant download.
Econometric Modelling And Forecasting Of Tourism Demand
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Author : Doris Chenguang Wu
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 2022-10-27
Econometric Modelling And Forecasting Of Tourism Demand written by Doris Chenguang Wu and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-10-27 with Business & Economics categories.
This insightful and timely volume provides a succinct, expert-led introduction to the latest developments in advanced econometric methodologies in the context of tourism demand modelling and forecasting. Written by a plethora of worldwide experts on this topic, this book offers a comprehensive approach to tourism econometrics. Accurate demand forecasts are crucial to decision-making in the tourism industry and this book provides real-life tourism applications and the corresponding R code alongside theoretical foundations, in order to enhance understanding and practice amongst its readers. The methodologies introduced include general to specific modelling, cointegration, vector autoregression, time-varying parameter modelling, spatiotemporal econometric models, mixed-frequency forecasting, hybrid forecasting models, forecasting combination techniques, density forecasting, judgemental forecasting, scenario forecasting under crisis, and web-based tourism forecasting. Embellished with insightful figures and tables throughout, this book is an invaluable resource for those using advanced econometric methodologies in their studies and research, including both undergraduate and postgraduate students, researchers, and practitioners.
Forecasting Tourism Demand
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2001
Forecasting Tourism Demand written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001 with categories.
Handbook On Tourism Forecasting Methodologies
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2008
Handbook On Tourism Forecasting Methodologies written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Business forecasting categories.
Forecasting Principles And Practice
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Author : Rob J Hyndman
language : en
Publisher: OTexts
Release Date : 2018-05-08
Forecasting Principles And Practice written by Rob J Hyndman and has been published by OTexts this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-05-08 with Business & Economics categories.
Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.
Tourism Demand Modelling And Forecasting
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Author : Haiyan Song
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2012-08-21
Tourism Demand Modelling And Forecasting written by Haiyan Song and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-08-21 with Business & Economics categories.
The phenomenal growth of both the world-wide tourism industry and academic interest in tourism over the last thirty years has generated great interest in tourism demand modelling and forecasting from both sectors. However, the tendency for researchers and practitioners engaged in quantitative causal tourism modelling and forecasting to run many regression equations and try to choose the 'best' model based on various parametric and non-parametric criteria has been widely criticised as failing to provide credible results. The aim of this book is to present the recent advances in econometric modelling methodology within the context of tourism demand analysis at a level that is accessible to non-specialists, and to illustrate these new developments with actual tourism applications. The book begins with an introduction to the fundamentals of tourism demand analysis, before addressing the problems of traditional tourism demand modelling and forecasting, i.e. data mining and spurious regression due to common trends in the time series. Three chapters explore the general-to-specific approach to tourism demand modelling and forecasting, including the use of autoregressive distributed lag processes, cointegration analysis and error correction models. The time varying parameter model together with the use of the Kalman filter as an estimation method is a useful tool for examining the effects of regime shifts on tourism demand elasticities: this is explored next. The panel data approach is introduced as a way of overcoming the problem of estimation and forecasting biases caused by insufficient time series data. The book concludes by evaluating the empirical forecasting performance of the various models and putting forward some general conclusions.
Practical Tourism Research 2nd Edition
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Author : Stephen L J Smith
language : en
Publisher: CABI
Release Date : 2016-12-19
Practical Tourism Research 2nd Edition written by Stephen L J Smith and has been published by CABI this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-12-19 with Business & Economics categories.
Training in research methods is increasingly important for students of tourism, and this broad, accessible textbook outlines the concepts and tools essential to understand, manage, and conduct research. Taking a practical approach throughout, this new edition provides advice on the use and cautions associated with some of the more common research designs and tools used by tourism researchers. Also including an increased use of handy pedagogical features to aid learning, this new edition is an essential overview for undergraduate and postgraduate students of tourism research, as well as a useful resource for researchers, consultants and managers.