Probabilistic Politics
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Probabilistic Politics
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Author : William H. Panning
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1974
Probabilistic Politics written by William H. Panning and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1974 with Legislators categories.
Probabilistic Voting Theory
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Author : Peter J. Coughlin
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1992-10-30
Probabilistic Voting Theory written by Peter J. Coughlin and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992-10-30 with Political Science categories.
Coughlin provides the most comprehensive and integrated analysis of probabilistic voting models available, also developing further his important contributions. Probabilistic voting theory is the mathematical theory of candidate behavior in or in anticipation of elections in which candidates are unsure what voters' preferences will be on all or most issues, which is true of most governmental elections. The theory asks first whether optimal candidate strategies can be determined, given uncertainty about voter preferences, and if so, what exactly those strategies are, given various circumstances. It allows the theorist to predict what public policies will be supported and what laws passed by elected officials when in office and what positions will be taken by them when running in elections. One of the leading contributors to this rapidly developing literature, which is at the leading edge of public choice theory, Coughlin both reviews the existing literature and presents new results that unify and extend developments in the theory that have been scattered in the literature.
Laws Of Chaos
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Author : Emmanuel Farjoun
language : en
Publisher: Verso Books
Release Date : 2020-02-25
Laws Of Chaos written by Emmanuel Farjoun and has been published by Verso Books this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-02-25 with Political Science categories.
A defining work of Econophysics, republished for the first time since 1983, Laws of Chaos is an attempt to construct a non-deterministic theoretical framework for the foundations of political economy. It relies on probabilistic and statistical methods of the kind used in the modern foundations of several other sciences, introducing scientific modelling into economics for the first time.
Social Choice And Strategic Decisions
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Author : David Austen-Smith
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2006-03-30
Social Choice And Strategic Decisions written by David Austen-Smith and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-03-30 with Business & Economics categories.
Social choices, about expenditures on government programs, or about public policy more broadly, or indeed from any conceivable set of alternatives, are determined by politics. This book is a collection of essays that tie together the fields spanned by Jeffrey S. Banks' research on this subject. It examines the strategic aspects of political decision-making, including the choices of voters in committees, the positioning of candidates in electoral campaigns, and the behavior of parties in legislatures. The chapters of this book contribute to the theory of voting with incomplete information, to the literature on Downsian and probabilistic voting models of elections, to the theory of social choice in distributive environments, and to the theory of optimal dynamic decision-making. The essays employ a spectrum of research methods, from game-theoretic analysis, to empirical investigation, to experimental testing.
The Politics Of Possibility
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Author : Louise Amoore
language : en
Publisher: Duke University Press
Release Date : 2013-11-13
The Politics Of Possibility written by Louise Amoore and has been published by Duke University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-11-13 with Social Science categories.
Since September 11, 2001, the imagination of "low probability, high consequence" events has become a distinctive feature of contemporary politics. Uncertain futures—devastation by terrorist attack, cyber crime, flood, financial market collapse—must be discerned and responded to as possibilities, however improbable they may be. In The Politics of Possibility, Louise Amoore examines this development, tracing its genealogy through the diverse worlds of risk management consulting, computer science, commercial logistics, and data visualization. She focuses on the increasingly symbiotic relationship between commercial opportunities and state security threats, a relation that turns the trusted, iris-scanned traveler into "a person of national security interest," and the designer of risk algorithms for casino and insurance fraud into a homeland security resource. Juxtaposing new readings of Agamben, Foucault, Derrida, Massumi, and Connolly with interpretations of post–9/11 novels and artworks, Amoore analyzes the "politics of possibility" and its far-reaching implications for society, associative life, and political accountability.
Social Choice And Strategic Decisions
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Author : David Austen-Smith
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2009-09-02
Social Choice And Strategic Decisions written by David Austen-Smith and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-09-02 with Business & Economics categories.
Social choices, about expenditures on government programs, or about public policy more broadly, or indeed from any conceivable set of alternatives, are determined by politics. This book is a collection of essays that tie together the fields spanned by Jeffrey S. Banks' research on this subject. It examines the strategic aspects of political decision-making, including the choices of voters in committees, the positioning of candidates in electoral campaigns, and the behavior of parties in legislatures. The chapters of this book contribute to the theory of voting with incomplete information, to the literature on Downsian and probabilistic voting models of elections, to the theory of social choice in distributive environments, and to the theory of optimal dynamic decision-making. The essays employ a spectrum of research methods, from game-theoretic analysis, to empirical investigation, to experimental testing.
War And Chance
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Author : Jeffrey A. Friedman
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2019-04-01
War And Chance written by Jeffrey A. Friedman and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-04-01 with Political Science categories.
Uncertainty surrounds every major decision in international politics. Yet there is almost always room for reasonable people to disagree about what that uncertainty entails. No one can reliably predict the outbreak of armed conflict, forecast economic recessions, anticipate terrorist attacks, or estimate the countless other risks that shape foreign policy choices. Many scholars and practitioners therefore believe that it is better to keep foreign policy debates focused on the facts - that it is, at best, a waste of time to debate uncertain judgments that will often prove to be wrong. In War and Chance, Jeffrey A. Friedman shows how foreign policy officials often try to avoid the challenge of assessing uncertainty, and argues that this behavior undermines high-stakes decision making. Drawing on an innovative combination of historical and experimental evidence, he explains how foreign policy analysts can assess uncertainty in a manner that is theoretically coherent, empirically meaningful, politically defensible, practically useful, and sometimes logically necessary for making sound choices. Each of these claims contradicts widespread skepticism about the value of probabilistic reasoning in international politics, and shows how placing greater emphasis on assessing uncertainty can improve nearly any foreign policy debate. A clear-eyed examination of the logic, psychology, and politics of assessing uncertainty, War and Chance provides scholars and practitioners with new foundations for understanding one of the most controversial elements of foreign policy discourse.
Politics And Uncertainty
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Author : Claudio Cioffi-Revilla
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1998-07-16
Politics And Uncertainty written by Claudio Cioffi-Revilla and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-07-16 with Political Science categories.
Uncertainty is an ever-present and ineradicable aspect of politics. It affects all important issues of governance and policy, in both domestic and international contexts. Rather than treating the uncertainty of politics as a mystery, this book provides an original and direct treatment of political uncertainty as a scientifically-knowable phenomenon with well-defined principles and substantive properties. Specific applications of this theory of political uncertainty are demonstrated in diverse areas of politics, examining such questions as when and how wars break out, when and how governments collapse, and when and how political cooperation emerges. The author shows how probability and mathematical modeling can play a central role in understanding such complex and fundamental issues.
Social Choice And Strategic Decisions
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Author : David Austen-Smith
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2005-02-11
Social Choice And Strategic Decisions written by David Austen-Smith and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-02-11 with Business & Economics categories.
Social choices, about expenditures on government programs, or about public policy more broadly, or indeed from any conceivable set of alternatives, are determined by politics. This book is a collection of essays that tie together the fields spanned by Jeffrey S. Banks' research on this subject. It examines the strategic aspects of political decision-making, including the choices of voters in committees, the positioning of candidates in electoral campaigns, and the behavior of parties in legislatures. The chapters of this book contribute to the theory of voting with incomplete information, to the literature on Downsian and probabilistic voting models of elections, to the theory of social choice in distributive environments, and to the theory of optimal dynamic decision-making. The essays employ a spectrum of research methods, from game-theoretic analysis, to empirical investigation, to experimental testing.
Models Of Imperfect Information In Politics
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Author : R. Calvert
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 2013-06-17
Models Of Imperfect Information In Politics written by R. Calvert and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-06-17 with Business & Economics categories.
Surveys the models of political phenomena that incorporate imperfect information, concentrating on 'full-rationality' approaches as opposed to bounded rationality models.