Probability And Statistics For Decision Making

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Probability And Statistics For Decision Making
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Author : Ya-lun Chou
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1972
Probability And Statistics For Decision Making written by Ya-lun Chou and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1972 with Business & Economics categories.
Introduction To Probability Statistics And Random Processes
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Author : Hossein Pishro-Nik
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2014-08-15
Introduction To Probability Statistics And Random Processes written by Hossein Pishro-Nik and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-08-15 with Probabilities categories.
The book covers basic concepts such as random experiments, probability axioms, conditional probability, and counting methods, single and multiple random variables (discrete, continuous, and mixed), as well as moment-generating functions, characteristic functions, random vectors, and inequalities; limit theorems and convergence; introduction to Bayesian and classical statistics; random processes including processing of random signals, Poisson processes, discrete-time and continuous-time Markov chains, and Brownian motion; simulation using MATLAB and R.
Probability Statistics And Decision For Civil Engineers
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Author : Jack R Benjamin
language : en
Publisher: Courier Corporation
Release Date : 2014-07-16
Probability Statistics And Decision For Civil Engineers written by Jack R Benjamin and has been published by Courier Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-07-16 with Mathematics categories.
This text covers the development of decision theory, offering extensive examples and illustrations that cultivate students' appreciation for applications: strength of materials, soil mechanics, construction planning, water-resource design, and more. 1970 edition.
Probability Statistics And Decision Making In The Atmospheric Sciences
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Author : Allan Murphy
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2019-07-11
Probability Statistics And Decision Making In The Atmospheric Sciences written by Allan Murphy and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-07-11 with Mathematics categories.
Methodology drawn from the fields of probability. statistics and decision making plays an increasingly important role in the atmosphericsciences. both in basic and applied research and in experimental and operational studies. Applications of such methodology can be found in almost every facet of the discipline. from the most theoretical and global (e.g., atmospheric predictability. global climate modeling) to the most practical and local (e.g., crop-weather modeling forecast evaluation). Almost every issue of the multitude of journals published by the atmospheric sciences community now contain some or more papers involving applications of concepts and/or methodology from the fields of probability and statistics. Despite the increasingly pervasive nature of such applications. very few book length treatments of probabilistic and statistical topics of particular interest to atmospheric scientists have appeared (especially inEnglish) since the publication of the pioneering works of Brooks andCarruthers (Handbook of Statistical Methods in Meteorology) in 1953 and Panofsky and Brier-(some Applications of)statistics to Meteor) in 1958. As a result. many relatively recent developments in probability and statistics are not well known to atmospheric scientists and recent work in active areas of meteorological research involving significant applications of probabilistic and statistical methods are not familiar to the meteorological community as a whole.
Studies In The Methodology And Foundations Of Science
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Author : Patrick Suppes
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-03-09
Studies In The Methodology And Foundations Of Science written by Patrick Suppes and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-03-09 with Science categories.
The twenty-three papers collected in tbis volume represent an important part of my published work up to the date of this volume. I have not arranged the paper chronologically, but under four main headings. Part I contains five papers on methodology concerned with models and measurement in the sciences. This part also contains the first paper I published, 'A Set of Independent Axioms for Extensive Quantities', in Portugaliae Mathematica in 1951. Part 11 also is concerned with methodology and ineludes six papers on probability and utility. It is not always easy to separate papers on probability and utility from papers on measurement, because of the elose connection between the two subjects, but Artieles 6 and 8, even though they have elose relations to measurement, seem more properly to belong in Part 11, because they are concerned with substantive questions about probability and utility. The last two parts are concerned with the foundations of physics and the foundations of psychology. I have used the term foundations rather than philosophy, because the papers are mainly concerned with specific axiomatic formulations for particular parts of physics or of psychology, and it seems to me that the termfoundations more appropriately describes such constructive axiomatic ventures. Part 111 contains four papers on the foundations of physics. The first paper deals with foundations of special relativity and the last three with the role ofprobability in quantum mechanics.
Statistical Decision Problems
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Author : Michael Zabarankin
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-12-16
Statistical Decision Problems written by Michael Zabarankin and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-12-16 with Business & Economics categories.
Statistical Decision Problems presents a quick and concise introduction into the theory of risk, deviation and error measures that play a key role in statistical decision problems. It introduces state-of-the-art practical decision making through twenty-one case studies from real-life applications. The case studies cover a broad area of topics and the authors include links with source code and data, a very helpful tool for the reader. In its core, the text demonstrates how to use different factors to formulate statistical decision problems arising in various risk management applications, such as optimal hedging, portfolio optimization, cash flow matching, classification, and more. The presentation is organized into three parts: selected concepts of statistical decision theory, statistical decision problems, and case studies with portfolio safeguard. The text is primarily aimed at practitioners in the areas of risk management, decision making, and statistics. However, the inclusion of a fair bit of mathematical rigor renders this monograph an excellent introduction to the theory of general error, deviation, and risk measures for graduate students. It can be used as supplementary reading for graduate courses including statistical analysis, data mining, stochastic programming, financial engineering, to name a few. The high level of detail may serve useful to applied mathematicians, engineers, and statisticians interested in modeling and managing risk in various applications.
Data Mining And Statistics For Decision Making
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Author : Stéphane Tufféry
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2011-03-23
Data Mining And Statistics For Decision Making written by Stéphane Tufféry and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-03-23 with Mathematics categories.
Data mining is the process of automatically searching large volumes of data for models and patterns using computational techniques from statistics, machine learning and information theory; it is the ideal tool for such an extraction of knowledge. Data mining is usually associated with a business or an organization's need to identify trends and profiles, allowing, for example, retailers to discover patterns on which to base marketing objectives. This book looks at both classical and recent techniques of data mining, such as clustering, discriminant analysis, logistic regression, generalized linear models, regularized regression, PLS regression, decision trees, neural networks, support vector machines, Vapnik theory, naive Bayesian classifier, ensemble learning and detection of association rules. They are discussed along with illustrative examples throughout the book to explain the theory of these methods, as well as their strengths and limitations. Key Features: Presents a comprehensive introduction to all techniques used in data mining and statistical learning, from classical to latest techniques. Starts from basic principles up to advanced concepts. Includes many step-by-step examples with the main software (R, SAS, IBM SPSS) as well as a thorough discussion and comparison of those software. Gives practical tips for data mining implementation to solve real world problems. Looks at a range of tools and applications, such as association rules, web mining and text mining, with a special focus on credit scoring. Supported by an accompanying website hosting datasets and user analysis. Statisticians and business intelligence analysts, students as well as computer science, biology, marketing and financial risk professionals in both commercial and government organizations across all business and industry sectors will benefit from this book.
Probability Models For Economic Decisions Second Edition
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Author : Roger B. Myerson
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 2019-12-17
Probability Models For Economic Decisions Second Edition written by Roger B. Myerson and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-12-17 with Business & Economics categories.
An introduction to the use of probability models for analyzing risk and economic decisions, using spreadsheets to represent and simulate uncertainty. This textbook offers an introduction to the use of probability models for analyzing risks and economic decisions. It takes a learn-by-doing approach, teaching the student to use spreadsheets to represent and simulate uncertainty and to analyze the effect of such uncertainty on an economic decision. Students in applied business and economics can more easily grasp difficult analytical methods with Excel spreadsheets. The book covers the basic ideas of probability, how to simulate random variables, and how to compute conditional probabilities via Monte Carlo simulation. The first four chapters use a large collection of probability distributions to simulate a range of problems involving worker efficiency, market entry, oil exploration, repeated investment, and subjective belief elicitation. The book then covers correlation and multivariate normal random variables; conditional expectation; optimization of decision variables, with discussions of the strategic value of information, decision trees, game theory, and adverse selection; risk sharing and finance; dynamic models of growth; dynamic models of arrivals; and model risk. New material in this second edition includes two new chapters on additional dynamic models and model risk; new sections in every chapter; many new end-of-chapter exercises; and coverage of such topics as simulation model workflow, models of probabilistic electoral forecasting, and real options. The book comes equipped with Simtools, an open-source, free software used througout the book, which allows students to conduct Monte Carlo simulations seamlessly in Excel.
Probability Charts For Decision Making
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Author : James R. King
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1971
Probability Charts For Decision Making written by James R. King and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1971 with Business & Economics categories.
Statistical Decision Theory And Bayesian Analysis
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Author : James O. Berger
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 1985-08-21
Statistical Decision Theory And Bayesian Analysis written by James O. Berger and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1985-08-21 with Business & Economics categories.
"The outstanding strengths of the book are its topic coverage, references, exposition, examples and problem sets... This book is an excellent addition to any mathematical statistician's library." -Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society In this new edition the author has added substantial material on Bayesian analysis, including lengthy new sections on such important topics as empirical and hierarchical Bayes analysis, Bayesian calculation, Bayesian communication, and group decision making. With these changes, the book can be used as a self-contained introduction to Bayesian analysis. In addition, much of the decision-theoretic portion of the text was updated, including new sections covering such modern topics as minimax multivariate (Stein) estimation.