Rational Decision And Causality
DOWNLOAD
Download Rational Decision And Causality PDF/ePub or read online books in Mobi eBooks. Click Download or Read Online button to get Rational Decision And Causality book now. This website allows unlimited access to, at the time of writing, more than 1.5 million titles, including hundreds of thousands of titles in various foreign languages. If the content not found or just blank you must refresh this page
Rational Decision And Causality
DOWNLOAD
Author : Ellery Eells
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2016-08-26
Rational Decision And Causality written by Ellery Eells and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-08-26 with Business & Economics categories.
This book is Ellery Eells' influential examination and analysis of theories of rational decision making.
Rational Decision And Causality
DOWNLOAD
Author : Ellery Eells
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2016-08-26
Rational Decision And Causality written by Ellery Eells and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-08-26 with Science categories.
First published in 1982, Ellery Eells' original work on rational decision making had extensive implications for probability theorists, economists, statisticians and psychologists concerned with decision making and the employment of Bayesian principles. His analysis of the philosophical and psychological significance of Bayesian decision theories, causal decision theories and Newcomb's paradox continues to be influential in philosophy of science. His book is now revived for a new generation of readers and presented in a fresh twenty-first-century series livery, including a specially commissioned preface written by Brian Skyrms, illuminating its continuing importance and relevance to philosophical enquiry.
Rational Decision And Causality
DOWNLOAD
Author : Ellery Eells
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1982-09-02
Rational Decision And Causality written by Ellery Eells and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1982-09-02 with Business & Economics categories.
In past years, the traditional Bayesian theory of rational decision making, based on subjective calculations of expected utility, has faced powerful attack from philosophers such as David Lewis and Brian Skyrms, who advance an alternative causal decision theory. The test they present for the Bayesian is exemplified in the decision problem known as 'Newcomb's paradox' and in related decision problems and is held to support the prescriptions of the causal theory. As well as his conclusions, the concepts and methods of Professor Eells introduces in the course of his analyses have extensive implications, not solely for probability theorists narrowly conceived, but for economists, statisticians and psychologists concerned with decision making and the employment of Bayesian principles. They and their students will, in addition, find the early chapters of great use as a background and introduction to the subject as a whole.
Artificial Intelligence Techniques For Rational Decision Making
DOWNLOAD
Author : Tshilidzi Marwala
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2014-10-20
Artificial Intelligence Techniques For Rational Decision Making written by Tshilidzi Marwala and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-10-20 with Computers categories.
Develops insights into solving complex problems in engineering, biomedical sciences, social science and economics based on artificial intelligence. Some of the problems studied are in interstate conflict, credit scoring, breast cancer diagnosis, condition monitoring, wine testing, image processing and optical character recognition. The author discusses and applies the concept of flexibly-bounded rationality which prescribes that the bounds in Nobel Laureate Herbert Simon’s bounded rationality theory are flexible due to advanced signal processing techniques, Moore’s Law and artificial intelligence. Artificial Intelligence Techniques for Rational Decision Making examines and defines the concepts of causal and correlation machines and applies the transmission theory of causality as a defining factor that distinguishes causality from correlation. It develops the theory of rational counterfactuals which are defined as counterfactuals that are intended to maximize the attainment of a particular goal within the context of a bounded rational decision making process. Furthermore, it studies four methods for dealing with irrelevant information in decision making: Theory of the marginalization of irrelevant information Principal component analysis Independent component analysis Automatic relevance determination method In addition it studies the concept of group decision making and various ways of effecting group decision making within the context of artificial intelligence. Rich in methods of artificial intelligence including rough sets, neural networks, support vector machines, genetic algorithms, particle swarm optimization, simulated annealing, incremental learning and fuzzy networks, this book will be welcomed by researchers and students working in these areas.
Causality Correlation And Artificial Intelligence For Rational Decision Making
DOWNLOAD
Author : Tshilidzi Marwala
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2015-01-02
Causality Correlation And Artificial Intelligence For Rational Decision Making written by Tshilidzi Marwala and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-01-02 with Computers categories.
Causality has been a subject of study for a long time. Often causality is confused with correlation. Human intuition has evolved such that it has learned to identify causality through correlation. In this book, four main themes are considered and these are causality, correlation, artificial intelligence and decision making. A correlation machine is defined and built using multi-layer perceptron network, principal component analysis, Gaussian Mixture models, genetic algorithms, expectation maximization technique, simulated annealing and particle swarm optimization. Furthermore, a causal machine is defined and built using multi-layer perceptron, radial basis function, Bayesian statistics and Hybrid Monte Carlo methods. Both these machines are used to build a Granger non-linear causality model. In addition, the Neyman-Rubin, Pearl and Granger causal models are studied and are unified. The automatic relevance determination is also applied to extend Granger causality framework to the non-linear domain. The concept of rational decision making is studied, and the theory of flexibly-bounded rationality is used to extend the theory of bounded rationality within the principle of the indivisibility of rationality. The theory of the marginalization of irrationality for decision making is also introduced to deal with satisficing within irrational conditions. The methods proposed are applied in biomedical engineering, condition monitoring and for modelling interstate conflict.
Evidence Decision And Causality
DOWNLOAD
Author : Arif Ahmed
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2014-08-07
Evidence Decision And Causality written by Arif Ahmed and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-08-07 with Education categories.
An explanation and defence of evidential decision theory, which emphasises the symptomatic value of options over their causal role.
An Introduction To Decision Theory
DOWNLOAD
Author : Martin Peterson
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2017-03-30
An Introduction To Decision Theory written by Martin Peterson and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-03-30 with Business & Economics categories.
A comprehensive and accessible introduction to all aspects of decision theory, now with new and updated discussions and over 140 exercises.
Causation In Decision Belief Change And Statistics
DOWNLOAD
Author : W.L. Harper
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Causation In Decision Belief Change And Statistics written by W.L. Harper and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Science categories.
The papers collected here are, with three exceptions, those presented at a conference on probability and causation held at the University of California at Irvine on July 15-19, 1985. The exceptions are that David Freedman and Abner Shimony were not able to contribute the papers that they presented to this volume, and that Clark Glymour who was not able to attend the conference did contribute a paper. We would like to thank the National Science Foundation and the School of Humanities of the University of California at Irvine for generous support. WILLIAM HARPER University of Western Ontario BRIAN SKYRMS University of California at Irvine Vll INTRODUCTION PART I: DECISIONS AND GAMES Causal notions have recently corne to figure prominently in discussions about rational decision making. Indeed, a relatively influential new approach to theorizing about rational choice has come to be called "causal decision theory". 1 Decision problems such as Newcombe's Problem and some versions of the Prisoner's Dilemma where an act counts as evidence for a desired state even though the agent knows his choice of that act cannot causally influence whether or not the state obtains have motivated causal decision theorists.
Newcomb S Problem
DOWNLOAD
Author : Arif Ahmed
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2018-11
Newcomb S Problem written by Arif Ahmed and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-11 with Education categories.
Which of two boxes to select for a monetary award; or, to select both? Someone else has predicted your choice.
Decision Probability And Utility
DOWNLOAD
Author : Peter Gärdenfors
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1988-04-29
Decision Probability And Utility written by Peter Gärdenfors and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1988-04-29 with Business & Economics categories.
Decision theory and the theory of rational choice have recently been the subjects of considerable research by philosophers and economists. However, no adequate anthology exists which can be used to introduce students to the field. This volume is designed to meet that need. The essays included are organized into five parts covering the foundations of decision theory, the conceptualization of probability and utility, pholosophical difficulties with the rules of rationality and with the assessment of probability, and causal decision theory. The editors provide an extensive introduction to the field and introductions to each part.