Rational Expectations And Inflation
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Rational Expectations And Inflation
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Author : Thomas J. Sargent
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2013-05-05
Rational Expectations And Inflation written by Thomas J. Sargent and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-05-05 with Business & Economics categories.
A fully expanded edition of the Nobel Prize–winning economist's classic book This collection of essays uses the lens of rational expectations theory to examine how governments anticipate and plan for inflation, and provides insight into the pioneering research for which Thomas Sargent was awarded the 2011 Nobel Prize in economics. Rational expectations theory is based on the simple premise that people will use all the information available to them in making economic decisions, yet applying the theory to macroeconomics and econometrics is technically demanding. Here, Sargent engages with practical problems in economics in a less formal, noneconometric way, demonstrating how rational expectations can satisfactorily interpret a range of historical and contemporary events. He focuses on periods of actual or threatened depreciation in the value of a nation's currency. Drawing on historical attempts to counter inflation, from the French Revolution and the aftermath of World War I to the economic policies of Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan, Sargent finds that there is no purely monetary cure for inflation; rather, monetary and fiscal policies must be coordinated. This fully expanded edition of Rational Expectations and Inflation includes Sargent's 2011 Nobel lecture, "United States Then, Europe Now." It also features new articles on the macroeconomics of the French Revolution and government budget deficits.
Rational Expectations And Inflation
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Author : Thomas J. Sargent
language : en
Publisher: HarperCollins College
Release Date : 1993
Rational Expectations And Inflation written by Thomas J. Sargent and has been published by HarperCollins College this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993 with Business & Economics categories.
Inflation The Quantity Theory And Rational Expectations
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Author : Eduard Jan Bomhoff
language : en
Publisher: North Holland
Release Date : 1980
Inflation The Quantity Theory And Rational Expectations written by Eduard Jan Bomhoff and has been published by North Holland this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1980 with Business & Economics categories.
Rational Expectations And Economic Policy
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Author : Stanley Fischer
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2008-04-15
Rational Expectations And Economic Policy written by Stanley Fischer and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-04-15 with Business & Economics categories.
"Several areas in economics today have unprecedented significance and vitality. Most people would agree that stabilization policy ranks with the highest of these. Continuing inflation and periodic serious acceleration of inflation combined with high and secularly rising unemployment combine to give the area high priority. This book brings us up to date on an extremely lively discussion involving the role of expectations, and more particularly rational expectations, in the conduct of stabilization policy. . . . Anyone interested in the role of government in economics should read this important book."—C. Glyn Williams, The Wall Street Review of Books "This is a most timely and valuable contribution. . . . The contributors and commentators are highly distinguished and the editor has usefully collated comments and the ensuing discussion. Unusually for a conference proceedings the book is well indexed and it is also replete with numerous and up-to-date references. . . . This is the first serious book to examine the rational expectations thesis in any depth, and it will prove invaluable to anyone involved with macroeconomic policy generally and with monetary economics in particular."—G. K. Shaw, The Economic Journal
Rational Expectations And Monetary Policy
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Author : J.J. Sijben
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 1980-03-31
Rational Expectations And Monetary Policy written by J.J. Sijben and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1980-03-31 with Business & Economics categories.
Inflation Expectations
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Author : Peter J. N. Sinclair
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2009-12-16
Inflation Expectations written by Peter J. N. Sinclair and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-12-16 with Business & Economics categories.
Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.
Rational Expectations
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Author : Graham Keith Shaw
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1984
Rational Expectations written by Graham Keith Shaw and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1984 with Economics categories.
Rational Expectations
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Author : Fouad Sabry
language : en
Publisher: One Billion Knowledgeable
Release Date : 2024-03-29
Rational Expectations written by Fouad Sabry and has been published by One Billion Knowledgeable this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-03-29 with Business & Economics categories.
What is Rational Expectations Rational expectations is an economic theory that seeks to infer the macroeconomic consequences of individuals' decisions based on all available knowledge. It assumes that individuals actions are based on the best available economic theory and information, and concludes that government policies cannot succeed by assuming widespread systematic error by individuals. How you will benefit (I) Insights, and validations about the following topics: Chapter 1: Rational expectations Chapter 2: Adaptive expectations Chapter 3: Macroeconomics Chapter 4: Inflation Chapter 5: New Keynesian economics Chapter 6: Phillips curve Chapter 7: Lucas critique Chapter 8: Macroeconomic model Chapter 9: Neutrality of money Chapter 10: John B. Taylor Chapter 11: Thomas J. Sargent Chapter 12: Edmund Phelps Chapter 13: Policy-ineffectiveness proposition Chapter 14: Lucas islands model Chapter 15: Neoclassical synthesis Chapter 16: New classical macroeconomics Chapter 17: NAIRU Chapter 18: History of macroeconomic thought Chapter 19: McCallum rule Chapter 20: Lucas aggregate supply function Chapter 21: Taylor contract (economics) (II) Answering the public top questions about rational expectations. (III) Real world examples for the usage of rational expectations in many fields. Who this book is for Professionals, undergraduate and graduate students, enthusiasts, hobbyists, and those who want to go beyond basic knowledge or information for any kind of Rational Expectations.
Learning And Expectations In Macroeconomics
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Author : George W. Evans
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2012-01-06
Learning And Expectations In Macroeconomics written by George W. Evans and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-01-06 with Business & Economics categories.
A crucial challenge for economists is figuring out how people interpret the world and form expectations that will likely influence their economic activity. Inflation, asset prices, exchange rates, investment, and consumption are just some of the economic variables that are largely explained by expectations. Here George Evans and Seppo Honkapohja bring new explanatory power to a variety of expectation formation models by focusing on the learning factor. Whereas the rational expectations paradigm offers the prevailing method to determining expectations, it assumes very theoretical knowledge on the part of economic actors. Evans and Honkapohja contribute to a growing body of research positing that households and firms learn by making forecasts using observed data, updating their forecast rules over time in response to errors. This book is the first systematic development of the new statistical learning approach. Depending on the particular economic structure, the economy may converge to a standard rational-expectations or a "rational bubble" solution, or exhibit persistent learning dynamics. The learning approach also provides tools to assess the importance of new models with expectational indeterminacy, in which expectations are an independent cause of macroeconomic fluctuations. Moreover, learning dynamics provide a theory for the evolution of expectations and selection between alternative equilibria, with implications for business cycles, asset price volatility, and policy. This book provides an authoritative treatment of this emerging field, developing the analytical techniques in detail and using them to synthesize and extend existing research.
Price Expectations In Rising Inflation
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Author : I. Visco
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2014-06-28
Price Expectations In Rising Inflation written by I. Visco and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-06-28 with Business & Economics categories.
It is claimed in this book that expectations should not necessarily be treated as unobservable variables and that there is much to be learned from survey data. A unique data set is examined, the output of surveys conducted twice a year since 1952, among informed Italian businessmen and economic experts. The predictive accuracy, rationality and determinants of inflation expectations are investigated, following an extensive analysis of measurement issues.The estimate of inflation expectations are evaluated for both wholesale and consumer price changes, comparing them with those held by respondents to other surveys for different countries and with the forecasts generated by alternative predictors of the inflation process. The expectations considered in the study are shown to be remarkably accurate, anticipating all major price changes, even if during the years of high and rising inflation which have followed the first oil crisis they appear to underestimate on a number of occasions the inflation rates actually experienced, as the alternative predictors also do.An accurate testing of the rational expectations hypothesis is conducted, rejecting it over the entire sample period but not for the period of mild, but variable inflation which preceded the first oil crises.It is shown that a mixed adaptive-regressive model, with both error-learning and return-to-normality components adapts very well to the data considered in this study and that inflation expectations are also influenced by an uncertainty component which affects the adaptive coefficient. Furthermore, regression towards normality is slowed down when industrial capacity is utilized above normal, and vice-versa. Many other issues such as the dispersion of individual answers, the problems of aggregation and measurement error are also considered and an extensive bibliography of other works where use is made of direct information on expectations, is included.