Risk How To Make Decisions In An Uncertain World
DOWNLOAD
Download Risk How To Make Decisions In An Uncertain World PDF/ePub or read online books in Mobi eBooks. Click Download or Read Online button to get Risk How To Make Decisions In An Uncertain World book now. This website allows unlimited access to, at the time of writing, more than 1.5 million titles, including hundreds of thousands of titles in various foreign languages. If the content not found or just blank you must refresh this page
Risk How To Make Decisions In An Uncertain World
DOWNLOAD
Author : Zeger Degraeve
language : en
Publisher: Dreamtech Press
Release Date : 2006
Risk How To Make Decisions In An Uncertain World written by Zeger Degraeve and has been published by Dreamtech Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with categories.
The book is a concise overview of the principles of risk management and decision making. It helps you analyse risks, choose the right way to handle them and improve your decision making. The book is a concise overview of the principles of risk management and decision making. It helps you analyse risks, choose the right way to handle them and improve your decision making.
The Art Of Decisions
DOWNLOAD
Author : Chris Blake
language : en
Publisher: FT Press
Release Date : 2010
The Art Of Decisions written by Chris Blake and has been published by FT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with Business & Economics categories.
The Fast-Paced, Fun-to-Read Guide to Making Better Decisions! How much information do you really need to make a business decision? Why don't past winners keep on winning? When should you fold your hand, and when should you press on? In The Art of Decisions, Chris Blake reveals the amazing hidden realities beneath human decision making-and helps you optimize every decision you make. Blake begins by exploding the #1 myth of decision making: the idea that if you have enough knowledge, you can engineer away all risk and make a rational, objective decision that's nearly guaranteed to succeed. Next, Blake turns to the decision-making process itself, teaching better ways to make decisions in a world full of uncertainty, randomness, and tough luck. Drawing on the secrets of psychology, poker, and probability, you'll learn how to identify and overcome biases and errors that constantly creep into the decision-making process. You'll discover the power and pitfalls of intuition in familiar and unfamiliar environments and learn "rules of thumb" drawn from fields as diverse as gambling and computer programming. You're human. You'll never be perfect. But if you want to be right more often, when it matters most, this book will get you there. * Decision-making lessons from Texas Hold'em What to do about the risks and randomness you can't eliminate * Follow your instinct or follow the rules? When to use your intuition--and when to doubt it * Know when it's time to decide How to know when you know enough * Make better decisions in unfamiliar environments Hire a guide or make a map?
Handbook On Decision Making
DOWNLOAD
Author : Jie Lu
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-03-15
Handbook On Decision Making written by Jie Lu and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-03-15 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book presents innovative theories, methodologies, and techniques in the field of risk management and decision making. It introduces new research developments and provides a comprehensive image of their potential applications to readers interested in the area. The collection includes: computational intelligence applications in decision making, multi-criteria decision making under risk, risk modelling,forecasting and evaluation, public security and community safety, risk management in supply chain and other business decision making, political risk management and disaster response systems. The book is directed to academic and applied researchers working on risk management, decision making, and management information systems.
You Are What You Risk
DOWNLOAD
Author : Michele Wucker
language : en
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
Release Date : 2021-04-06
You Are What You Risk written by Michele Wucker and has been published by Simon and Schuster this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-04-06 with Business & Economics categories.
The #1 international bestselling author of The Gray Rhino offers a bold new framework for understanding and re-shaping our relationship with risk and uncertainty to live more productive and successful lives. What drives a sixty-four-year-old woman to hurl herself over Niagara Falls in a barrel? Why do we often create bigger risks than the risks we try to avoid? Why are corporate boards newly worried about risky personal behavior by CEOs? Why are some nations quicker than others to recognize and manage risks like pandemics, technological change, and climate crisis? The answers define each person, organization, and society as distinctively as a fingerprint. Understanding the often-surprising origins of these risk fingerprints can open your eyes, inspire new habits, catalyze innovation and creativity, improve teamwork, and provide a beacon in a world that seems suddenly more uncertain than ever. How you see risk and what you do about it depend on your personality and experiences. How you make these cost-benefit calculations depend on your culture, your values, the people in the room, and even unexpected things like what you’ve eaten recently, the temperature, the music playing, or the fragrance in the air. Being alert to these often-unconscious influences will help you to seize opportunity and avoid danger. You Are What You Risk is a clarion call for an entirely new conversation about our relationship with risk and uncertainty. In this ground-breaking, accessible and eminently timely book, Michele Wucker examines why it’s so important to understand your risk fingerprint and how to make your risk relationship work better in business, life, and the world. Drawing on compelling risk stories around the world and weaving in economics, anthropology, sociology, and psychology research, Wucker bridges the divide between professional and lay risk conversations. She challenges stereotypes about risk attitudes, re-frames how gender and risk are related, and shines new light on generational differences. She shows how the new science of “risk personality” is re-shaping business and finance, how healthy risk ecosystems support economies and societies, and why embracing risk empathy can resolve conflicts. Wucker shares insights, practical tools, and proven strategies that will help you to understand what makes you who you are –and, in turn, to make better choices, both big and small.
Principles Of Risk Analysis
DOWNLOAD
Author : Charles Yoe
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2016-04-19
Principles Of Risk Analysis written by Charles Yoe and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-04-19 with Technology & Engineering categories.
In every decision context there are things we know and things we do not know. Risk analysis uses science and the best available evidence to assess what we know-and it is intentional in the way it addresses the importance of the things we don't know. Principles of Risk Analysis: Decision Making Under Uncertainty lays out the tasks of risk analysis i
Managing Risk And Uncertainty
DOWNLOAD
Author : Richard Friberg
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 2015-11-13
Managing Risk And Uncertainty written by Richard Friberg and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-11-13 with Business & Economics categories.
A comprehensive framework for assessing strategies for managing risk and uncertainty, integrating theory and practice and synthesizing insights from many fields. This book offers a framework for making decisions under risk and uncertainty. Synthesizing research from economics, finance, decision theory, management, and other fields, the book provides a set of tools and a way of thinking that determines the relative merits of different strategies. It takes as its premise that we make better decisions if we use the whole toolkit of economics and related fields to inform our decision making. The text explores the distinction between risk and uncertainty and covers standard models of decision making under risk as well as more recent work on decision making under uncertainty, with a particular focus on strategic interaction. It also examines the implications of incomplete markets for managing under uncertainty. It presents four core strategies: a benchmark strategy (proceeding as if risk and uncertainty were low), a financial hedging strategy (valuable if there is much risk), an operational hedging strategy (valuable for conditions of much uncertainty), and a flexible strategy (valuable if there is much risk and/or uncertainty). The book then examines various aspects of these strategies in greater depth, building on empirical work in several different fields. Topics include price-setting, real options and Monte Carlo techniques, organizational structure, and behavioral biases. Many chapters include exercises and appendixes with additional material. The book can be used in graduate or advanced undergraduate courses in risk management, as a guide for researchers, or as a reference for management practitioners.
Managing Project Risk And Uncertainty
DOWNLOAD
Author : Chris Chapman
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2002-10-11
Managing Project Risk And Uncertainty written by Chris Chapman and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002-10-11 with Business & Economics categories.
This title confidently puts forward a practical, new approach to decision making in an uncertain business world. Many variables are accounted for and the authors are innovative in integrating previous types of decision-making approaches with a more fluid, and therefore realistic model that can be applied across a wide range of contexts and decisions. A new title on a important topic that not only stands well on its own, but also complements Chapman and Ward's previous title Project Risk Management. This book is practical and rigorous yet written in an engaging way. It is perfect for courses, or to be used by practitioners.
Risk Savvy
DOWNLOAD
Author : Gerd Gigerenzer
language : en
Publisher: Penguin
Release Date : 2014-04-17
Risk Savvy written by Gerd Gigerenzer and has been published by Penguin this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-04-17 with Psychology categories.
An eye-opening look at the ways we misjudge risk every day and a guide to making better decisions with our money, health, and personal lives In the age of Big Data we often believe that our predictions about the future are better than ever before. But as risk expert Gerd Gigerenzer shows, the surprising truth is that in the real world, we often get better results by using simple rules and considering less information. In Risk Savvy, Gigerenzer reveals that most of us, including doctors, lawyers, financial advisers, and elected officials, misunderstand statistics much more often than we think, leaving us not only misinformed, but vulnerable to exploitation. Yet there is hope. Anyone can learn to make better decisions for their health, finances, family, and business without needing to consult an expert or a super computer, and Gigerenzer shows us how. Risk Savvy is an insightful and easy-to-understand remedy to our collective information overload and an essential guide to making smart, confident decisions in the face of uncertainty.
On The Move To Meaningful Internet Systems Otm 2010
DOWNLOAD
Author : Robert Meersman
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2010-10-29
On The Move To Meaningful Internet Systems Otm 2010 written by Robert Meersman and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-10-29 with Computers categories.
This volume constitutes the refereed proceedings of 11 international workshops held as part of OTM 2010 in Hersonissos, Greece in October 2010. The 68 revised full papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from a total of 127 submissions to the workshops. The volume starts with 14 poster papers of the OTM 2010 main conferences COOPIS 2010, DOA 2010 and OSBASE 2010. Topics of the workshop papers are adaption in service-oriented architectures, ambient intelligence and reasoning, data integration approaches, modeling in ADI, web and enterprise data visualization, enterprise integration and semantics, industrial enterprise interoperability and networking, process management in distributed information system development, improving social networking, ontology engineering, master data management and metamodeling, extensions to fact-oriented modeling, logic and derivation, patterns in input data models.
Primer On Risk Analysis
DOWNLOAD
Author : Charles Yoe
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2016-04-19
Primer On Risk Analysis written by Charles Yoe and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-04-19 with Technology & Engineering categories.
In every decision context there are things we know and things we do not know. Risk analysis uses science and the best available evidence to assess what we know-and it is intentional in the way it addresses the importance of the things we don't know. Primer on Risk Analysis: Decision Making Under Uncertainty lays out the tasks of risk analysis in a