Risk Savvy
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Risk Savvy
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Author : Gerd Gigerenzer
language : en
Publisher: Penguin UK
Release Date : 2014-04-17
Risk Savvy written by Gerd Gigerenzer and has been published by Penguin UK this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-04-17 with Self-Help categories.
A fascinating, practical guide to making better decisions with our money, health and personal lives from Gerd Gigerenzer, the author of Reckoning with Risk. Risk-taking is essential for innovation, fun, and the courage to face the uncertainties in life. Yet for many important decisions, we're often presented with statistics and probabilities that we don't really understand and we inevitably rely on experts in the relevant fields - policy makers, financial advisors, doctors - to analyse and choose for us. But what if they don't quite understand the way the information is presented either? How do we make sure we're asking doctors the right questions about proposed treatment? Is there a rule of thumb that could help choose the right partner? This entertaining book shows us how to recognize when we don't have all the information and know what to do about it. Gerd Gigerenzer looks at examples from every aspect of life to identify the reasons for our collective misunderstanding of the risks we face. He shows how we can all use simple rules to avoid being manipulated into unrealistic fears or hopes, to make better-informed decisions, and to learn to understand risk and uncertainty in our own lives. 'Gigerenzer is brilliant and his topic is fabulous' Steven Pinker 'Catchily optimistic and slyly funny' Guardian Gerd Gigerenzer is Director of the Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin and former Professor of Psychology at the University of Chicago. He is the author of several books on heuristics and decision making, including Reckoning with Risk.
Risk Savvy
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Author : Gerd Gigerenzer
language : en
Publisher: Penguin
Release Date : 2014-04-17
Risk Savvy written by Gerd Gigerenzer and has been published by Penguin this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-04-17 with Psychology categories.
An eye-opening look at the ways we misjudge risk every day and a guide to making better decisions with our money, health, and personal lives In the age of Big Data we often believe that our predictions about the future are better than ever before. But as risk expert Gerd Gigerenzer shows, the surprising truth is that in the real world, we often get better results by using simple rules and considering less information. In Risk Savvy, Gigerenzer reveals that most of us, including doctors, lawyers, financial advisers, and elected officials, misunderstand statistics much more often than we think, leaving us not only misinformed, but vulnerable to exploitation. Yet there is hope. Anyone can learn to make better decisions for their health, finances, family, and business without needing to consult an expert or a super computer, and Gigerenzer shows us how. Risk Savvy is an insightful and easy-to-understand remedy to our collective information overload and an essential guide to making smart, confident decisions in the face of uncertainty.
Better Good Than Lucky
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Author : Charles Rotblut
language : en
Publisher: Traders Press
Release Date : 2010
Better Good Than Lucky written by Charles Rotblut and has been published by Traders Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with Biography & Autobiography categories.
is a vice president with the American Association of Individual Investors. He is the editor of the AAII Journal and helps to manage the Stock Superstars portfolio. He authors the weekly AAII Investor Update newsletter and his commentary is published by both Seeking Alpha and Forbes.com.
You Are What You Risk
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Author : Michele Wucker
language : en
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
Release Date : 2021-04-06
You Are What You Risk written by Michele Wucker and has been published by Simon and Schuster this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-04-06 with Business & Economics categories.
The #1 international bestselling author of The Gray Rhino offers a bold new framework for understanding and re-shaping our relationship with risk and uncertainty to live more productive and successful lives. What drives a sixty-four-year-old woman to hurl herself over Niagara Falls in a barrel? Why do we often create bigger risks than the risks we try to avoid? Why are corporate boards newly worried about risky personal behavior by CEOs? Why are some nations quicker than others to recognize and manage risks like pandemics, technological change, and climate crisis? The answers define each person, organization, and society as distinctively as a fingerprint. Understanding the often-surprising origins of these risk fingerprints can open your eyes, inspire new habits, catalyze innovation and creativity, improve teamwork, and provide a beacon in a world that seems suddenly more uncertain than ever. How you see risk and what you do about it depend on your personality and experiences. How you make these cost-benefit calculations depend on your culture, your values, the people in the room, and even unexpected things like what you’ve eaten recently, the temperature, the music playing, or the fragrance in the air. Being alert to these often-unconscious influences will help you to seize opportunity and avoid danger. You Are What You Risk is a clarion call for an entirely new conversation about our relationship with risk and uncertainty. In this ground-breaking, accessible and eminently timely book, Michele Wucker examines why it’s so important to understand your risk fingerprint and how to make your risk relationship work better in business, life, and the world. Drawing on compelling risk stories around the world and weaving in economics, anthropology, sociology, and psychology research, Wucker bridges the divide between professional and lay risk conversations. She challenges stereotypes about risk attitudes, re-frames how gender and risk are related, and shines new light on generational differences. She shows how the new science of “risk personality” is re-shaping business and finance, how healthy risk ecosystems support economies and societies, and why embracing risk empathy can resolve conflicts. Wucker shares insights, practical tools, and proven strategies that will help you to understand what makes you who you are –and, in turn, to make better choices, both big and small.
Reckoning With Risk
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Author : Gerd Gigerenzer
language : en
Publisher: Penguin UK
Release Date : 2003-04-24
Reckoning With Risk written by Gerd Gigerenzer and has been published by Penguin UK this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-04-24 with Mathematics categories.
"This is an important book, full of relevant examples and worrying case histories. By the end of it, the reader has been presented with a powerful set of tools for understanding statistics...anyone who wants to take responsibly for their own medicalchoices should read it" - New Scientist However much we crave certainty, we live in an uncertain world. But are we guilty of wildly exaggerating the chances of some unwanted event happening to us? Are ordinary people idiots when reasoning with risk? Far too many of us, argues Gerd Gigerenzer, are hampered by our own innumeracy. Here, he shows us that our difficulties in thinking about numbers can easily be overcome.
Facing Danger Second Edition
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Author : Anna Hampton
language : en
Publisher: William Carey Publishing
Release Date : 2024-01-16
Facing Danger Second Edition written by Anna Hampton and has been published by William Carey Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-01-16 with Religion categories.
Developing a Practical Theology of Risk In a world where danger and uncertainty loom large, it's easy to feel overwhelmed and unsure about how to tread wisely in ministry. Yet, imagine having a comprehensive guide to aid in discerning, reshaping, and skillfully handling the risks that come your way. Facing Danger: A Guide through Risk is that resource. Against the rich backdrop of her family’s own sojourn in perilous places, Anna Hampton presents a treasure trove of practical tools and profound insights to help you thrive in an increasingly hazardous world. With deep spiritual contemplation and meticulous research, she offers a unique viewpoint on cross-cultural service and the art of making sacrifices. Missionaries, pastors, and those yearning to embrace a life of unyielding faith will find Facing Danger to be an indispensable resource. It includes a trauma recovery recipe, sixteen risk myths, a hermeneutical methodology, and risk assessment and management training. Facing Danger equips you to create a systematic action plan to faithfully traverse dangerous landscapes. Hampton empowers readers serving Christ to decipher and adeptly handle risk with wisdom and hope.
Calculated Risks
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Author : Gerd Gigerenzer
language : en
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
Release Date : 2015-11-10
Calculated Risks written by Gerd Gigerenzer and has been published by Simon and Schuster this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-11-10 with Social Science categories.
At the beginning of the twentieth century, H. G. Wells predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. But in the twenty-first century, we are often overwhelmed by a baffling array of percentages and probabilities as we try to navigate in a world dominated by statistics. Cognitive scientist Gerd Gigerenzer says that because we haven't learned statistical thinking, we don't understand risk and uncertainty. In order to assess risk -- everything from the risk of an automobile accident to the certainty or uncertainty of some common medical screening tests -- we need a basic understanding of statistics. Astonishingly, doctors and lawyers don't understand risk any better than anyone else. Gigerenzer reports a study in which doctors were told the results of breast cancer screenings and then were asked to explain the risks of contracting breast cancer to a woman who received a positive result from a screening. The actual risk was small because the test gives many false positives. But nearly every physician in the study overstated the risk. Yet many people will have to make important health decisions based on such information and the interpretation of that information by their doctors. Gigerenzer explains that a major obstacle to our understanding of numbers is that we live with an illusion of certainty. Many of us believe that HIV tests, DNA fingerprinting, and the growing number of genetic tests are absolutely certain. But even DNA evidence can produce spurious matches. We cling to our illusion of certainty because the medical industry, insurance companies, investment advisers, and election campaigns have become purveyors of certainty, marketing it like a commodity. To avoid confusion, says Gigerenzer, we should rely on more understandable representations of risk, such as absolute risks. For example, it is said that a mammography screening reduces the risk of breast cancer by 25 percent. But in absolute risks, that means that out of every 1,000 women who do not participate in screening, 4 will die; while out of 1,000 women who do, 3 will die. A 25 percent risk reduction sounds much more significant than a benefit that 1 out of 1,000 women will reap. This eye-opening book explains how we can overcome our ignorance of numbers and better understand the risks we may be taking with our money, our health, and our lives.
Cyber Savvy
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Author : Nancy Willard
language : en
Publisher: Corwin Press
Release Date : 2012
Cyber Savvy written by Nancy Willard and has been published by Corwin Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012 with Computers categories.
The author integrates expertise in risk prevention, law, and education to provide a collaborative and positive process for teaching secondary students media literacy, safety, and “netiquette.”
Facing Fear
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Author : Anna Hampton
language : en
Publisher: William Carey Publishing
Release Date : 2023-05-16
Facing Fear written by Anna Hampton and has been published by William Carey Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-05-16 with Religion categories.
Developing an Anti-Fragile Faith Violence against Christ-followers is increasing globally. The lived reality for many Christians involves daily threats, risks, and persecution. When evil casts its shadow on us, and we’re tempted to despair, it is vital to develop anti-fragile faith and the guts to endure in hard places. Facing Fear is a practical guide for believers who long to have bold, mature courage. Cultivating this courage is necessary to endure wisely for Christ’s sake. Anna Hampton integrates exegesis and psychology to explain how humans respond to fear and how the Holy Spirit enables us to make a different choice than our normal. Learning to face our fears, name them, and manage them requires learning specific steps to reduce their impact on us. This book is a pastoral and practical resource for those working to advance the gospel in the world’s most dangerous places. You’ll gain valuable skills to become “shrewd as a serpent” and stand with unshakable faith in unsafe situations. Risk can be an offering of worship. Jesus is worthy of whatever pain you go through, whatever loss you experience, and whatever fears you have.
Gut Feelings
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Author : Gerd Gigerenzer
language : en
Publisher: Penguin
Release Date : 2007-07-05
Gut Feelings written by Gerd Gigerenzer and has been published by Penguin this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-07-05 with Science categories.
Why is split second decision-making superior to deliberation? Gut Feelings delivers the science behind Malcolm Gladwell's Blink. Reflection and reason are overrated, according to renowned psychologist Gerd Gigerenzer. Much better qualified to help us make decisions is the cognitive, emotional, and social repertoire we call intuition, a suite of gut feelings that have evolved over the millennia specifically for making decisions. Gladwell drew heavily on Gigerenzer's research. But Gigerenzer goes a step further by explaining just why our gut instincts are so often right. Intuition, it seems, is not some sort of mystical chemical reaction but a neurologically based behavior that evolved to ensure that we humans respond quickly when faced with a dilemma (BusinessWeek).