Strategic Warning Intelligence
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Strategic Warning Intelligence
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Author : John A. Gentry
language : en
Publisher: Georgetown University Press
Release Date : 2019-03-01
Strategic Warning Intelligence written by John A. Gentry and has been published by Georgetown University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-03-01 with Political Science categories.
John A. Gentry and Joseph S. Gordon update our understanding of strategic warning intelligence analysis for the twenty-first century. Strategic warning—the process of long-range analysis to alert senior leaders to trending threats and opportunities that require action—is a critical intelligence function. It also is frequently misunderstood and underappreciated. Gentry and Gordon draw on both their practitioner and academic backgrounds to present a history of the strategic warning function in the US intelligence community. In doing so, they outline the capabilities of analytic methods, explain why strategic warning analysis is so hard, and discuss the special challenges strategic warning encounters from senior decision-makers. They also compare how strategic warning functions in other countries, evaluate why the United States has in recent years emphasized current intelligence instead of strategic warning, and recommend warning-related structural and procedural improvements in the US intelligence community. The authors examine historical case studies, including postmortems of warning failures, to provide examples of the analytic points they make. Strategic Warning Intelligence will interest scholars and practitioners and will be an ideal teaching text for intermediate and advanced students.
Warning Analysis For The Information Age
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Author : John W. Bodnar
language : en
Publisher: Joint Military Intelligence College Center for Strategic Intelligence Research
Release Date : 2003
Warning Analysis For The Information Age written by John W. Bodnar and has been published by Joint Military Intelligence College Center for Strategic Intelligence Research this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with Intelligence service categories.
Looks at the challenges posed to the intelligence community by the changed strategic circumstances of the information age.
Anticipating Surprise
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Author : Cynthia Grabo
language : en
Publisher: CreateSpace
Release Date : 2013-04-03
Anticipating Surprise written by Cynthia Grabo and has been published by CreateSpace this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-04-03 with categories.
Assigned to the National Indications Center, Cynthia Grabo served as a senior researcher and writer for the U.S. Watch Committee throughout its existence (1950 to 1975), and in its successor, the Strategic Warning Staff. During this time she saw the need to capture the institutional memory associated with strategic warning. With three decades of experience in the Intelligence Community, she saw intelligence and warning failures in Korea, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, and Cuba. In the summer of 1972, the DIA published her "Handbook of Warning Intelligence" as a classified document, followed by two additional classified volumes, one in the fall of 1972 and the last in 1974. These declassified books have now been condensed from the original three volumes into this one. Ms. Grabo's authoritative interpretation of an appropriate analytic strategy for intelligence-based warning is here presented in a commercial reprint of this classic study. (Originally published by the Joint Military Intelligence College)
Anticipating Surprise Analysis For Strategic Warning
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Author : Cynthia M. Grabo
language : en
Publisher: Lulu.com
Release Date : 2012-08-12
Anticipating Surprise Analysis For Strategic Warning written by Cynthia M. Grabo and has been published by Lulu.com this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-08-12 with Reference categories.
Assigned to the National Indications Center, Cynthia Grabo served as a senior researcher and writer for the U.S. Watch Committee throughout its existence (1950 to 1975), and in its successor, the Strategic Warning Staff. During this time she saw the need to capture the institutional memory associated with strategic warning. With three decades of experience in the Intelligence Community, she saw intelligence and warning failures in Korea, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, and Cuba. In the summer of 1972, the DIA published her "Handbook of Warning Intelligence" as a classified document, followed by two additional classified volumes, one in the fall of 1972 and the last in 1974. These declassified books have now been condensed from the original three volumes into this one. Ms. Grabo's authoritative interpretation of an appropriate analytic strategy for intelligence-based warning is here presented in a commercial reprint of this classic study. (Originally published by the Joint Military Intelligence College)
Warning Analysis For The Information Age
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Author : John W. Bodnar
language : en
Publisher: Military Bookshop
Release Date : 2013-08
Warning Analysis For The Information Age written by John W. Bodnar and has been published by Military Bookshop this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-08 with Political Science categories.
This book bequeaths to the Defense Intelligence Agency, and to the Intelligence Community at large, a substantiated vision, with examples, of how analysts can exploit already-available, massive databases to tackle many of the most vexing problems that we face. Dr. Bodnar builds on the earlier work and insight of Cynthia Grabo, whose book Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning was recently published by the Joint Military Intelligence College's Center for Strategic Intelligence Research. The author also usefully integrates into this book the often-cited but rarely-seen original work of the USAF's strategic and operational philosopher Colonel John Boyd.
Anticipating Surprise
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Author : Cynthia M. Grabo
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2002
Anticipating Surprise written by Cynthia M. Grabo and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002 with Deception categories.
Warning Analysis For The Information Age
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Author : John W. Bodnar
language : en
Publisher: CreateSpace
Release Date : 2013-04-19
Warning Analysis For The Information Age written by John W. Bodnar and has been published by CreateSpace this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-04-19 with Political Science categories.
Dr. Bodnar builds on the earlier work and isight of Cynthia Grabo, whose book Anticipating Surprise; Analysis for Strategic Warning was recently published by the Joint Military Intelligence College's Center for Strategic Intelligence Research. The author also usefully integrates into this book the often-cited but rarely-seen original work of the USAF's strategic and operational philosopher Col. John Boyd. This book reaches farther than any other toward the objective of bringing together substantive expertise with an accessible, methodologically sound analytical strategy in the ervice of the U.S. Intelligence Community.
Anticipating Surprise Analysis For Strategic Warning
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2002
Anticipating Surprise Analysis For Strategic Warning written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002 with categories.
Warning is a skill unto itself, requiring an understanding of the attitudes and disciplines of potential adversaries as well as their capabilities, their history, their culture and their biases. In an era of asymmetric warfare in which our national security and well being can be seriously threatened by hostile groups as well as nations, it is imperative that lessons from the past not be forgotten and the discipline of warning reinvigorated. Warning intelligence differs significantly from current intelligence and the preparation of long-range estimates. It accepts the presumption of surprise and incomplete intelligence and requires exhaustive research upon which to build the case for specific warning. Relationships among events or involving the players may not be readily evident at first and initial signs often consist of fragmentary evidence, conflicting reports, or an absence of something. It is not merely a compilation of facts. It is an abstraction, an intangible, a perception or a belief. While a specific methodology for developing warning may have been tailored to the needs of the Cold War, the same principles apply even to asymmetric conflict. This updated and revised edition of an earlier, classified publication is an excellent primer for both intelligence analysts and policymakers. Events have shown that accurate and timely warning has most often been produced by a minority viewpoint brought to the attention of decisionmakers in some way; it is not the product of a majority consensus. In the rush to build new intelligence mechanisms to combat terrorist attacks and to provide warning for the homeland as well as for forces deployed, the nation and the Intelligence Community would be well served by reviewing this book to gain an understanding of what constitutes warning and how it is arrived at. As the author points out, "warning does not exist until it has been conveyed to the policymaker, and ... he must know that he has been warned."
Warning Analysis For The Information Age Rethinking The Intelligence Process
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2003
Warning Analysis For The Information Age Rethinking The Intelligence Process written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with categories.
This book bequeaths to the Defense Intelligence Agency, and to the Intelligence Community at large, a substantiated vision, with examples, of how analysts can exploit already-available, massive databases to tackle many of the most vexing problems that we face. Dr. Bodnar builds on the earlier work and insight of Cynthia Grabo, whose book Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning [ADA476752] was recently published by the Joint Military Intelligence College's Center for Strategic Intelligence Research. The author also usefully integrates into this book the often-cited but rarely-seen original work of the USAF's strategic and operational philosopher Colonel John Boyd. This book reaches farther than any other toward the objective of bringing together substantive expertise with an accessible, methodologically sound analytical strategy in the service of the U.S. Intelligence Community. Those who go on to apply this method will not only derive fresh understanding from existing data, but will also be able to guide future intelligence collection in an appropriately frugal fashion.
Warning Analysis For The Information Age Rethinking The Intelligence Process
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2003
Warning Analysis For The Information Age Rethinking The Intelligence Process written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with categories.
This book bequeaths to the Defense Intelligence Agency, and to the Intelligence Community at large, a substantiated vision, with examples, of how analysts can exploit already-available, massive databases to tackle many of the most vexing problems that we face. Dr. Bodnar builds on the earlier work and insight of Cynthia Grabo, whose book Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning [ADA476752] was recently published by the Joint Military Intelligence College's Center for Strategic Intelligence Research. The author also usefully integrates into this book the often-cited but rarely-seen original work of the USAF's strategic and operational philosopher Colonel John Boyd. This book reaches farther than any other toward the objective of bringing together substantive expertise with an accessible, methodologically sound analytical strategy in the service of the U.S. Intelligence Community. Those who go on to apply this method will not only derive fresh understanding from existing data, but will also be able to guide future intelligence collection in an appropriately frugal fashion.