Warning Analysis For The Information Age Rethinking The Intelligence Process
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Warning Analysis For The Information Age
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Author : John W. Bodnar
language : en
Publisher: Military Bookshop
Release Date : 2013-08
Warning Analysis For The Information Age written by John W. Bodnar and has been published by Military Bookshop this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-08 with Political Science categories.
This book bequeaths to the Defense Intelligence Agency, and to the Intelligence Community at large, a substantiated vision, with examples, of how analysts can exploit already-available, massive databases to tackle many of the most vexing problems that we face. Dr. Bodnar builds on the earlier work and insight of Cynthia Grabo, whose book Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning was recently published by the Joint Military Intelligence College's Center for Strategic Intelligence Research. The author also usefully integrates into this book the often-cited but rarely-seen original work of the USAF's strategic and operational philosopher Colonel John Boyd.
Warning Analysis For The Information Age Rethinking The Intelligence Process
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2003
Warning Analysis For The Information Age Rethinking The Intelligence Process written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with categories.
This book bequeaths to the Defense Intelligence Agency, and to the Intelligence Community at large, a substantiated vision, with examples, of how analysts can exploit already-available, massive databases to tackle many of the most vexing problems that we face. Dr. Bodnar builds on the earlier work and insight of Cynthia Grabo, whose book Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning [ADA476752] was recently published by the Joint Military Intelligence College's Center for Strategic Intelligence Research. The author also usefully integrates into this book the often-cited but rarely-seen original work of the USAF's strategic and operational philosopher Colonel John Boyd. This book reaches farther than any other toward the objective of bringing together substantive expertise with an accessible, methodologically sound analytical strategy in the service of the U.S. Intelligence Community. Those who go on to apply this method will not only derive fresh understanding from existing data, but will also be able to guide future intelligence collection in an appropriately frugal fashion.
Warning Analysis For The Information Age Rethinking The Intelligence Process
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2003
Warning Analysis For The Information Age Rethinking The Intelligence Process written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with categories.
This book bequeaths to the Defense Intelligence Agency, and to the Intelligence Community at large, a substantiated vision, with examples, of how analysts can exploit already-available, massive databases to tackle many of the most vexing problems that we face. Dr. Bodnar builds on the earlier work and insight of Cynthia Grabo, whose book Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning [ADA476752] was recently published by the Joint Military Intelligence College's Center for Strategic Intelligence Research. The author also usefully integrates into this book the often-cited but rarely-seen original work of the USAF's strategic and operational philosopher Colonel John Boyd. This book reaches farther than any other toward the objective of bringing together substantive expertise with an accessible, methodologically sound analytical strategy in the service of the U.S. Intelligence Community. Those who go on to apply this method will not only derive fresh understanding from existing data, but will also be able to guide future intelligence collection in an appropriately frugal fashion.
Warning Analysis For The Information Age
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Author : John W. Bodnar
language : en
Publisher: CreateSpace
Release Date : 2013-04-19
Warning Analysis For The Information Age written by John W. Bodnar and has been published by CreateSpace this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-04-19 with Political Science categories.
Dr. Bodnar builds on the earlier work and isight of Cynthia Grabo, whose book Anticipating Surprise; Analysis for Strategic Warning was recently published by the Joint Military Intelligence College's Center for Strategic Intelligence Research. The author also usefully integrates into this book the often-cited but rarely-seen original work of the USAF's strategic and operational philosopher Col. John Boyd. This book reaches farther than any other toward the objective of bringing together substantive expertise with an accessible, methodologically sound analytical strategy in the ervice of the U.S. Intelligence Community.
Warning Analysis For The Information Age
DOWNLOAD
Author : John W. Bodnar
language : en
Publisher: Joint Military Intelligence College Center for Strategic Intelligence Research
Release Date : 2003
Warning Analysis For The Information Age written by John W. Bodnar and has been published by Joint Military Intelligence College Center for Strategic Intelligence Research this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with Intelligence service categories.
Looks at the challenges posed to the intelligence community by the changed strategic circumstances of the information age.
Warning Analysis For The Information Age
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Author : John Bodnar
language : en
Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
Release Date : 2016-01-18
Warning Analysis For The Information Age written by John Bodnar and has been published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-01-18 with categories.
This book bequeaths to the Defense Intelligence Agency, and to the Intelligence Community at large, a substantiated vision, with examples, of how analysts can exploit already-available, massive databases to tackle many of the most vexing problems that we face. Dr. Bodnar builds on the earlier work and insight of Cynthia Grabo, whose book "Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning" was recently published by the Joint Military Intelligence College's Center for Strategic Intelligence Research. The author also usefully integrates into this book the often-cited but rarely-seen original work of the USAF's strategic and operational philosopher Colonel John Boyd. Together with the accompanying, classified case studies that are available to the Community on Intelink, this book reaches farther than any other toward the objective of bringing together substantive expertise with an accessible, methodologically sound analytical strategy in the service of the U.S. Intelligence Community. Those who go on to apply this method will not only derive fresh understanding from existing data, but will also be able to guide future intelligence collection in an appropriately frugal fashion.
Strategic Warning Intelligence
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Author : John A. Gentry
language : en
Publisher: Georgetown University Press
Release Date : 2019-03-01
Strategic Warning Intelligence written by John A. Gentry and has been published by Georgetown University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-03-01 with Political Science categories.
John A. Gentry and Joseph S. Gordon update our understanding of strategic warning intelligence analysis for the twenty-first century. Strategic warning—the process of long-range analysis to alert senior leaders to trending threats and opportunities that require action—is a critical intelligence function. It also is frequently misunderstood and underappreciated. Gentry and Gordon draw on both their practitioner and academic backgrounds to present a history of the strategic warning function in the US intelligence community. In doing so, they outline the capabilities of analytic methods, explain why strategic warning analysis is so hard, and discuss the special challenges strategic warning encounters from senior decision-makers. They also compare how strategic warning functions in other countries, evaluate why the United States has in recent years emphasized current intelligence instead of strategic warning, and recommend warning-related structural and procedural improvements in the US intelligence community. The authors examine historical case studies, including postmortems of warning failures, to provide examples of the analytic points they make. Strategic Warning Intelligence will interest scholars and practitioners and will be an ideal teaching text for intermediate and advanced students.
Can T We All Just Get Along
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Author :
language : en
Publisher: Defense Department
Release Date : 2007
Can T We All Just Get Along written by and has been published by Defense Department this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Political Science categories.
Cognitive Bias In Intelligence Analysis
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Author : Whitesmith Martha Whitesmith
language : en
Publisher: Edinburgh University Press
Release Date : 2020-09-21
Cognitive Bias In Intelligence Analysis written by Whitesmith Martha Whitesmith and has been published by Edinburgh University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-09-21 with Political Science categories.
Tests whether the analysis of competing hypotheses reduces cognitive bias, and proposes a more effective approachReveals that a key element of current training provided to the UK and US intelligence communities (and likely all 5-EYES and several European agencies) does not have a proven ability to mitigate cognitive biasesDemonstrates that judging the credibility of information from human sources means that intelligence analysis faces greater complexity and cognitive strain than non-intelligence analysisExplains the underlying causes cognitive biases, based on meta-analyses of existing researchShows that identifying the ideal conditions for intelligence analysis is a more effective way of reducing the risk of cognitive bias than the use of ACHRecent high-profile intelligence failures - from 9/11 to the 2003 Iraq war - prove that cognitive bias in intelligence analysis can have catastrophic consequences. This book critiques the reliance of Western intelligence agencies on the use of a method for intelligence analysis developed by the CIA in the 1990s, the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH). The author puts ACH to the test in an experimental setting against two key cognitive biases with unique empirical research facilitated by UK's Professional Heads of Intelligence Analysis unit at the Cabinet Office, and finds that the theoretical basis of the ACH method is significantly flawed. Combining the insight of a practitioner with over 11 years of experience in intelligence with both philosophical theory and experimental research, the author proposes an alternative approach to mitigating cognitive bias that focuses on creating the optimum environment for analysis, challenging current leading theories.
Terrorism Forecasting A Web Based Methodology Occasional Paper Number Eleven November 2004
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2005
Terrorism Forecasting A Web Based Methodology Occasional Paper Number Eleven November 2004 written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with categories.