The Ararat Fiscal Strategy Model A Structural Framework For Fiscal Policy Analysis In Armenia


The Ararat Fiscal Strategy Model A Structural Framework For Fiscal Policy Analysis In Armenia
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The Ararat Fiscal Strategy Model A Structural Framework For Fiscal Policy Analysis In Armenia


The Ararat Fiscal Strategy Model A Structural Framework For Fiscal Policy Analysis In Armenia
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Author : Victoria Babajanyan
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2022-06-10

The Ararat Fiscal Strategy Model A Structural Framework For Fiscal Policy Analysis In Armenia written by Victoria Babajanyan and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-06-10 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper presents an overview of the Ararat Fiscal Strategy Model (AFSM), which is a structural, New-Keynesian, DSGE, small open economy model with a rich fiscal block that includes several expenditure and revenue instruments, and types of debt. The AFSM is now a formal part of the Ministry of Finance analytical toolkit to do macroeconomic fiscal policy scenario analysis, which feeds into policy discussions, budget planning, and the Medium-Term Expenditure Framework. The model was applied to assses the macroeconomic impact of the “first wave” of the Covid-19 pandemic on the Armenian economy, including the mitigating effects of policy responses. AFSM simulations revealed a potential severe impact in 2020, with declines in GDP and consumption of 12.9 and 11.7 percent, respectively, and a cumulative loss of GDP of 38 percent for the period 2020-2023. They also highlighted a significant fiscal outlook deterioration that would increase public debt-to-GDP ratios by 18.8 percentage points over 2020-23. The package of counter-cyclical fiscal measures of 3.6 percent of GDP, however, was estimated to cushion the 2020 GDP decline by almost 2 percentage points, as well as protect jobs. A second AFSM application related to the 2018 public investment under-execution showed the importance of improving the efficiency of public investment to have positive macroeconomic and fiscal effects.



Esg Management Of The Development Of The Green Economy In Central Asia


Esg Management Of The Development Of The Green Economy In Central Asia
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Author : Elena G. Popkova
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2023-11-18

Esg Management Of The Development Of The Green Economy In Central Asia written by Elena G. Popkova and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-11-18 with Business & Economics categories.


This book proposes digitalization as a promising direction for green growth and sustainable development of the economy of Central Asia. It reveals the advanced and unique hands-on and case-based experience of Central Asia in ESG management with the involvement of digital technologies and provides practical recommendations on the extension of the use of digital technologies in ESG management of the development of the green economy in Central Asia.



Republic Of Armenia


Republic Of Armenia
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2023-12-14

Republic Of Armenia written by International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept. and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-12-14 with Business & Economics categories.


Republic of Armenia: Selected Issues



An Actuarial Model For Costing Universal Health Coverage In Armenia


An Actuarial Model For Costing Universal Health Coverage In Armenia
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Author : Rouselle F. Lavado
language : en
Publisher: Asian Development Bank
Release Date : 2020-12-01

An Actuarial Model For Costing Universal Health Coverage In Armenia written by Rouselle F. Lavado and has been published by Asian Development Bank this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-12-01 with Business & Economics categories.


The Asian Development Bank seeks to assist the Government of Armenia in undertaking major health financing reforms to achieve universal health coverage (UHC) within the context of the Sustainable Development Goals and improving health system performance. Critical to the development, evaluation and implementation of such UHC policies is the need for accurate information of the expenditure implications and revenue needs of alternative policy choices. This report provides guidance in the design, construction, calibration, evaluation, implementation, use, and refinement of a UHC model to assess the expenditure impacts and the revenue requirements to finance alternative universal health insurance (UHI) policies. It develops an actuarial UHC costing model that relies on the most recent and complete health insurance claims data to estimate expenditures and revenue needs for achieving UHC. The report focuses on the development and operationalization of this actuarial model as a tool for assessing the health financing and fiscal implications of Armenia’s key UHI policy decisions.



Fiscal Consolidation And Public Wages


Fiscal Consolidation And Public Wages
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Author : Juin-Jen Chang
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2019-06-10

Fiscal Consolidation And Public Wages written by Juin-Jen Chang and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-06-10 with Business & Economics categories.


A New Keynesian model with government production, public compensation, and unemployment is fit to U.S. data to study the macroeconomic and fiscal effects of public wage reductions. We find that accounting for the type of government spending is crucial for its macroeconomic implications. Although reductions in public wages and government purchases of goods have similar effects on total output and the fiscal balance, the former can raise private output slightly, in contrast to the substantial contractionary effects of the latter. In addition, the baseline estimation finds that exogenous public wage reductions decrease private wages. Model counterfactuals show that sufficiently rigid nominal private wages can reverse the response of private wages, as the rigidity dampens the labor reallocation effect from the public to private sector that exerts downward pressure on private wages.



Fiscal Policy Multipliers In Small States


Fiscal Policy Multipliers In Small States
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Author : Ali Alichi
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2019-03-26

Fiscal Policy Multipliers In Small States written by Ali Alichi and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-03-26 with Business & Economics categories.


Government debt in many small states has risen beyond sustainable levels and some governments are considering fiscal consolidation. This paper estimates fiscal policy multipliers for small states using two distinct models: an empirical forecast error model with data from 23 small states across the world; and a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model calibrated to a hypothetical small state’s economy. The results suggest that fiscal policy using government current primary spending is ineffective, but using government investment is very potent in small states in affecting the level of their GDP over the medium term. These results are robust to different model specifications and characteristics of small states. Inability to affect GDP using current primary spending could be frustrating for policymakers when an expansionary policy is needed, but encouraging at the current juncture when many governments are considering fiscal consolidation. For the short term, however, multipliers for government current primary spending are larger and affected by imports as share of GDP, level of government debt, and position of the economy in the business cycle, among other factors.



Corporate Governance Around The World


Corporate Governance Around The World
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Author : Ahmed Naciri
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2008-02-14

Corporate Governance Around The World written by Ahmed Naciri and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-02-14 with Business & Economics categories.


The last Asian financial crisis, coupled with the western series of corporate scandals, has caused investors and citizens to doubt mangers ability to guarantee credible financial information about organizations. Consequently, legislators all over the world have come to realise the necessity of legislating in the area of corporate governance.



A Quantitative Model For The Integrated Policy Framework


A Quantitative Model For The Integrated Policy Framework
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Author : Mr.Tobias Adrian
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2020-07-07

A Quantitative Model For The Integrated Policy Framework written by Mr.Tobias Adrian and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-07-07 with Business & Economics categories.


Many central banks have relied on a range of policy tools, including foreign exchange intervention (FXI) and capital flow management tools (CFMs), to mitigate the effects of volatile capital flows on their economies. We develop an empirically-oriented New Keynesian model to evaluate and quantify how using multiple policy tools can potentially improve monetary policy tradeoffs. Our model embeds nonlinear balance sheet channels and includes a range of empirically-relevant frictions. We show that FXI and CFMs may improve policy tradeoffs under certain conditions, especially for economies with less well-anchored inflation expectations, substantial foreign currency mismatch, and that are more vulnerable to shocks likely to induce capital outflows and exchange rate pressures.



Science And Technology In Armenia


Science And Technology In Armenia
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Author : National Research Council
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 2004-11-23

Science And Technology In Armenia written by National Research Council and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004-11-23 with Science categories.


An NRC ad hoc committee analyzed the current status and future development potential of Armenia's science and technology base, including human and infrastructural resources and research and educational capabilities. The committee identified those fields and institutions offering promising opportunities for contributing to economic and social development, and particularly institutions having unique and important capabilities, worthy of support from international financial institutions, private investment sources, and the Armenian and U.S. governments. The scope of the study included both pure and applied research as well as education in science-related fields. The committee's report addresses the existing capacity of state and private research institutions, higher education capabilities and trends, scientific funding sources, innovative investment models, relevant success stories, factors hindering development of the science sector, potential domestic Armenian customers for scientific results and products, and opportunities for regional scientific collaboration. An Armenian language version of the report is also available.



Employment In The Public Sector


Employment In The Public Sector
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Author : Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
language : en
Publisher: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development ; [Washington, D.C. : OECD Publications and Information Center
Release Date : 1982

Employment In The Public Sector written by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development and has been published by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development ; [Washington, D.C. : OECD Publications and Information Center this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1982 with Business & Economics categories.


This report synthesizes the findings from several areas of work undertaken to assess what impact public sector employment has had on both the level and structure of employment. It also examines the impact of the public sector as employer on the labor market from two viewpoints: the level and share of public sector employment and the structure of this employment. First, an operational definition of the regular public sector is provided that has been used for collecting and classifying the data. Second, the findings of the regular public sector studies are summarized, e.g., levels, shares, growth rates of public sector employment and its distribution by various characteristics, as well as its relation to expenditure level. Third, the findings of a study on temporary direct job creation are used to illustrate the extent to which these programs can focus on special employment groups. Fourth, the implications of these two sets of findings for altering the aggregate level of employment are considered. Finally, some implications for altering the structure of employment are presented. (An appendix provides a table illustrating employment in general government in Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development economies, 1960-1979.) (YLB)