The B G System Of Evaluating Forecasts
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The B G System Of Evaluating Forecasts
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Author : Irving I. Gringorten
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1982
The B G System Of Evaluating Forecasts written by Irving I. Gringorten and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1982 with Probability forecasts (Meteorology) categories.
To score a forecast of an event, like the noontime temperature at a city airport, a system has been proposed that would measure the improvement of the forecast over simple climatic information. If the climatic probability of the forecast (F) is PF, and that of the observed event (V) is PV, then the assigned score (sFV) becomes sFV = -ln(1 - P1)P2 - 1, where P1 = min(PF, PV) and P2 = max(PF, PV). A test of the forecaster's skill, however, requires a large set of forecasts and corresponding verifications.
The B G System Of Evaluating Forecasts
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Author : Irving I. Gringorten
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1982
The B G System Of Evaluating Forecasts written by Irving I. Gringorten and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1982 with Probability forecasts (Meteorology). categories.
The B G System Of Evaluating Forecasts
DOWNLOAD
Author : Irving I. Gringorten
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1982
The B G System Of Evaluating Forecasts written by Irving I. Gringorten and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1982 with Probability forecasts (Meteorology). categories.
To score a forecast of an event, like the noontime temperature at a city airport, a system has been proposed that would measure the improvement of the forecast over simple climatic information. If the climatic probability of the forecast (F) is PF, and that of the observed event (V) is PV, then the assigned score (sFV) becomes sFV = -ln(1 - P1)P2 - 1, where P1 = min(PF, PV) and P2 = max(PF, PV). A test of the forecaster's skill, however, requires a large set of forecasts and corresponding verifications.
Scientific And Technical Aerospace Reports
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1990
Scientific And Technical Aerospace Reports written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990 with Aeronautics categories.
General To Specific Approaches For Evaluating Multi Step System Forecasts
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Author : Andrew Bartholomew Martinez
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2019
General To Specific Approaches For Evaluating Multi Step System Forecasts written by Andrew Bartholomew Martinez and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019 with Econometrics categories.
Assessment Of Intraseasonal To Interannual Climate Prediction And Predictability
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Author : National Research Council
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 2010-10-08
Assessment Of Intraseasonal To Interannual Climate Prediction And Predictability written by National Research Council and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-10-08 with Science categories.
More accurate forecasts of climate conditions over time periods of weeks to a few years could help people plan agricultural activities, mitigate drought, and manage energy resources, amongst other activities; however, current forecast systems have limited ability on these time- scales. Models for such climate forecasts must take into account complex interactions among the ocean, atmosphere, and land surface. Such processes can be difficult to represent realistically. To improve the quality of forecasts, this book makes recommendations about the development of the tools used in forecasting and about specific research goals for improving understanding of sources of predictability. To improve the accessibility of these forecasts to decision-makers and researchers, this book also suggests best practices to improve how forecasts are made and disseminated.
Criteria For Evaluating Forecasts
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Author : Thomas W. Milburn
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1969
Criteria For Evaluating Forecasts written by Thomas W. Milburn and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1969 with Forecasting categories.
Technology Assessment Forecast
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Author : United States. Patent and Trademark Office. Office of Technology Assessment and Forecast
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1977
Technology Assessment Forecast written by United States. Patent and Trademark Office. Office of Technology Assessment and Forecast and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1977 with Patents categories.
The Drought Risk Analysis Forecasting And Assessment Under Climate Change
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Author : Tae-Woong Kim
language : en
Publisher: MDPI
Release Date : 2021-01-06
The Drought Risk Analysis Forecasting And Assessment Under Climate Change written by Tae-Woong Kim and has been published by MDPI this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-01-06 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This Special Issue is a platform to fill the gaps in drought risk analysis with field experience and expertise. It covers (1) robust index development for effective drought monitoring; (2) risk analysis framework development and early warning systems; (3) impact investigations on hydrological and agricultural sectors; (4) environmental change impact analyses. The articles in the Special Issue cover a wide geographic range, across China, Taiwan, Korea, and the Indo-China peninsula, which covers many contrasting climate conditions. Hence, the results have global implications: the data, analysis/modeling, methodologies, and conclusions lay a solid foundation for enhancing our scientific knowledge of drought mechanisms and relationships to various environmental conditions.
Technology Assessment Forecast
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1979
Technology Assessment Forecast written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1979 with Patents categories.