The Decline In Saving
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The Decline In Saving
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Author : Barry P. Bosworth
language : en
Publisher: Brookings Institution Press
Release Date : 2012-02-02
The Decline In Saving written by Barry P. Bosworth and has been published by Brookings Institution Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-02-02 with Business & Economics categories.
Longtime Brookings economist and former presidential adviser Barry Bosworth examines why saving rates in the United States have fallen so precipitously over the past quarter century, why the initial consequences were surprisingly benign, and how reduced saving will affect the future well-being of Americans. The Decline in Saving provides an extensive and unparalleled account of the complexity of present saving patterns, an issue made even more serious by the 2008–09 global economic and financial crises. It objectively examines saving at both the individual household and the aggregate economy levels to understand whether the U.S. decline in saving is truly a threat to American prosperity. Highlights from The Decline in Saving: "The magnitude of the two-decade-long fall in household saving has been truly astonishing; it is even more surprising in view of the fact that the large cohort of baby boomers should have been in their peak saving years." "If Americans save so little, why are they so rich? This divergence emerges because the conventional measure of saving excludes all forms of capital gains...." "Saving behavior appears to be influenced in important ways by country-specific institutional factors along with a few common determinants, such as income growth, demographic changes, and variations in private wealth." "In the aggregate, the United States has had a negative net national saving rate since the onset of the financial crisis, and it now relies on foreign resource inflows to finance all its capital accumulation and a portion of its consumption." "The optimistic projections of just a few years ago about the future well-being of retirees now seem seriously dated."
The Decline Of Thrift In America
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Author : David M. Tucker
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1991
The Decline Of Thrift In America written by David M. Tucker and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991 with Consumer credit categories.
Assessing The Decline In The National Saving Rate
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Author :
language : en
Publisher: Congress
Release Date : 1993
Assessing The Decline In The National Saving Rate written by and has been published by Congress this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993 with Business & Economics categories.
The U S Personal Saving Rate
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Author : Mr.Sam Ouliaris
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2018-06-05
The U S Personal Saving Rate written by Mr.Sam Ouliaris and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-06-05 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper develops a time series model for aggregate consumption to predict the U.S. personal saving rate. It then uses the model to test whether there has been a structural break in consumption behavior because of the 2008 financial crisis. Before the crisis, the personal saving rate was trending downwards. However, in 2008 there was a significant rise in the saving rate that continued until the end of 2012, suggesting a permanent change in household behavior. To assess this issue formally, the unknown parameters of the model are estimated using data for 1961Q1-2007Q4, a period which precedes the crisis. The model is then used to predict the saving rate from 2008Q1 onwards and to assess whether the rise in the saving rate after 2008 was due to sizable, but transitory, income/wealth shocks or to changes in the underlying elasticities between saving and its determinants (hence structural). The statistical evidence suggests there was no structural break in the household saving behavior, implying that the rise in the saving rate during 2008-2012 was caused by the negative shocks to income, employment and wealth. This result explains why the saving rate resumed its decline in 2013, as real disposable income, employment and net worth recovered. Assuming that the real growth in these determinants remains strong, the estimated model predicts continued negative pressures on the current account deficit and further external imbalances attributable to the U.S. household sector.
Dissecting Saving Dynamics
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Author : Mr.Christopher Carroll
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2012-09-01
Dissecting Saving Dynamics written by Mr.Christopher Carroll and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-09-01 with Business & Economics categories.
We argue that the U.S. personal saving rate’s long stability (from the 1960s through the early 1980s), subsequent steady decline (1980s - 2007), and recent substantial increase (2008 - 2011) can all be interpreted using a parsimonious ‘buffer stock’ model of optimal consumption in the presence of labor income uncertainty and credit constraints. Saving in the model is affected by the gap between ‘target’ and actual wealth, with the target wealth determined by credit conditions and uncertainty. An estimated structural version of the model suggests that increased credit availability accounts for most of the saving rate’s long-term decline, while fluctuations in net wealth and uncertainty capture the bulk of the business-cycle variation.
International Comparisons Of Household Saving
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Author : James M. Poterba
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2007-12-01
International Comparisons Of Household Saving written by James M. Poterba and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-12-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Governments and corporations may chip in, but around the world houshold saving is the biggest factor in national saving. To better understand why saving rates differ across countries, this volume provides the most up-to-date analyses of patterns of household saving behavior in Canada, Italy, Japan, Germany, the United Kingdom, and the United States. Each of the six chapters examines micro data sets of household saving within a particular country and summarizes statistics on patterns of saving by age, income, and other demographic factors. The authors provide age-earning profiles and analyses of the accumulation of wealth over the lifetime in a clear way that allows quick comparisons between earning, consumption, and saving in the six countries. Designed as a companion to Public Policies and Household Saving (1994), which addresses saving policies in the G-7 nations, this volume offers detailed descriptions of saving behavior in all G-7 nations except France.
Household Saving In France
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Author : Mr.Joaquim Vieira Ferreira Levy
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1994-11
Household Saving In France written by Mr.Joaquim Vieira Ferreira Levy and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1994-11 with Business & Economics categories.
The household saving ratio in France has undergone very sharp changes over the past two decades, falling dramatically in the first part of the 1980s before rising in more recent years. This paper emphasizes two factors in the evolution of private saving in France. The first relates to perceptions of household income growth and uncertainty, which are likely to have been affected by deteriorating labor market conditions, and which may therefore help to account for the recent increase in saving. The second factor relates to financial deregulation which may have lowered saving and increased its sensitivity to interest rate changes. It is argued that both factors have played some role in the evolution of French household saving.
Targets Interest Rates And Household Saving In Urban China
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Author : Mr.Malhar Nabar
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2011-10-01
Targets Interest Rates And Household Saving In Urban China written by Mr.Malhar Nabar and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-10-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper studies a panel of China's provinces over the period 1996-2009 during which urban household saving rates increased from 19 percent of disposable income to 30 percent. It finds that the increase in urban saving rates is negatively associated with the decline in real interest rates over this period. This negative association suggests that Chinese households save with a target level of saving in mind. When the return to saving declines (increases), it becomes more difficult (easier) to meet a target and households increase (lower) their saving out of current disposable income to compensate. The results are robust across specifications and to the inclusion of additional variables. A main policy implication is that an increase in real deposit rates may help lower household saving and boost domestic consumption.
Income Uncertainty And Household Savings In China
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Author : Mr.Marcos Chamon
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2010-12-01
Income Uncertainty And Household Savings In China written by Mr.Marcos Chamon and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-12-01 with Business & Economics categories.
China’s household saving rate has increased markedly since the mid-1990s and the age-savings profile has become U-shaped. We find that rising income uncertainty and pension reforms help explain both of these phenomena. Using a panel of Chinese households covering the period 1989-2006, we document that strong average income growth has been accompanied by a substantial increase in income uncertainty. Interestingly, the permanent variance of household income remains stable while it is the transitory variance that rises sharply. A calibration of a buffer-stock savings model indicates that rising savings rates among younger households are consistent with rising income uncertainty and higher saving rates among older households are consistent with a decline in the pension replacement ratio for those retiring after 1997. We conclude that rising income uncertainty and pension reforms can account for over half of the increase in the urban household savings rate in China since the mid-1990s as well as the U-shaped age-profile of savings.
Precautionary Savings In The Great Recession
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Author : Mr.Ashoka Mody
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2012-02-01
Precautionary Savings In The Great Recession written by Mr.Ashoka Mody and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-02-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Heightened uncertainty since the onset of the Great Recession has materially increased saving rates, contributing to lower consumption and GDP growth. Consistent with a model of precautionary savings in the face of uncertainty, we find for a panel of advanced economies that greater labor income uncertainty is significantly associated with higher household savings. These results are robust to controlling for other determinants of saving rates, including wealth-to-income ratios, the government fiscal balance, demographics, credit conditions, and global growth and financial stress. Our estimates imply that at least two-fifths of the sharp increase in household saving rates between 2007 and 2009 can be attributed to the precautionary savings motive.