The Global Trade Slowdown And Its Implications For Emerging Asia
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The Global Trade Slowdown And Its Implications For Emerging Asia
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Author : Board of Governors of the Federal Reserv
language : en
Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
Release Date : 2016-11-18
The Global Trade Slowdown And Its Implications For Emerging Asia written by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserv and has been published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-11-18 with categories.
The global economy is at a critical juncture today. According to the International Monetary Fund's latest World Economic Outlook, global gross domestic product (GDP) is set to grow at only 3.1 percent this year, the lowest rate of growth since the Global Financial Crisis. Investment and productivity remain subdued, despite extremely low and even negative interest rates in many economies. One key aspect of global weakness that is of particular relevance to emerging Asian economies is the sharp slowdown in global trade. This slowdown represents a notable departure from the "normal" times of the past few decades, and is the subject of my remarks today.
China And Asia In Global Trade Slowdown
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Author : Gee Hee Hong
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-08-16
China And Asia In Global Trade Slowdown written by Gee Hee Hong and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-08-16 with Business & Economics categories.
Asia and China made disproportionate contributions to the slowdown of global trade growth in 2015. China’s import growth slowed starkly, driven by both external and domestic factors, including a rebalancing of demand. Econometric results point to weak investment and rebalancing as the main causes of the import slowdown. Spillover effects from China’s rebalancing are estimated for some 60 countries using value-added trade data, and are found to be more negative on Asia and commodity exporters than others.
Spillover Implications Of China S Slowdown For International Trade
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Author : Patrick Blagrave
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-09-27
Spillover Implications Of China S Slowdown For International Trade written by Patrick Blagrave and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-09-27 with Business & Economics categories.
Using a panel vector autoregression and a novel measure of export-intensity-adjusted final demand, this note studies spillovers from China’s economic transition on export growth in 46 advanced and emerging market economies. The analysis suggests that a 1 percentage point shock to China’s final demand growth reduces the average country’s export growth by 0.1–0.2 percentage point. The impact is largest in Emerging Asia, where an export-growth-accounting exercise suggests that China’s economic transition has reduced average export growth rates by 1 percentage point since early 2014. Other countries linked to China’s manufacturing sector, as well as commodity exporters, are also significantly affected. This suggests that trading partners need to adjust to an environment of weaker external demand as China completes its transition to a more sustainable growth model.
The Slowdown In Global Trade A Symptom Of A Weak Recovery
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Author : Aqib Aslam
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-11-15
The Slowdown In Global Trade A Symptom Of A Weak Recovery written by Aqib Aslam and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-11-15 with Business & Economics categories.
Global trade growth has slowed since 2012 relative both to its strong historical performance and to overall economic growth. This paper aims to quantify the role of weak economic growth and changes in its decomposition in accounting for the slowdown in trade using a reduced form and a structural approach. Both analytical investigations suggest that the overall weakness in economic activity, particularly investment, has been the primary restraint on trade growth, accounting for over 80 percent of the decline in the growth of the volume of goods trade between 2012–16 and 2003–07. However, other factors are also weighing on trade in recent years, especially in emerging market and developing economies, as evidenced by the non-negligible role attributed to trade costs by the structural approach.
The Global Trade Slowdown
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Author : Cristina Constantinescu
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2015-01-21
The Global Trade Slowdown written by Cristina Constantinescu and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-01-21 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper focuses on the sluggish growth of world trade relative to income growth in recent years. The analysis uses an empirical strategy based on an error correction model to assess whether the global trade slowdown is structural or cyclical. An estimate of the relationship between trade and income in the past four decades reveals that the long-term trade elasticity rose sharply in the 1990s, but declined significantly in the 2000s even before the global financial crisis. These results suggest that trade is growing slowly not only because of slow growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), but also because of a structural change in the trade-GDP relationship in recent years. The available evidence suggests that the explanation may lie in the slowing pace of international vertical specialization rather than increasing protection or the changing composition of trade and GDP.
Intraregional Trade In Emerging Asia
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Author : Mr.Harm Zebregs
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2004-04-01
Intraregional Trade In Emerging Asia written by Mr.Harm Zebregs and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004-04-01 with Business & Economics categories.
The share of emerging Asia in world trade has increased sharply over the past 25 years. A large part of this increase is the result of booming intraregional trade. This paper investigates the key factors behind the rapid increase in intraregional trade among economies in emerging Asia and its implications for the dependency of economies in the region on the business cycles in the EU, Japan, and the United States. The rise in intraregional trade is largely driven by rapidly growing intra-industry trade, which is a reflection of greater vertical specialization and the dispersion of production processes across borders. This has led to a sharp rise in trade in intermediate goods among economies in emerging Asia, but the EU, Japan, and the United States remain the main export markets for final goods.
Global Imbalances
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Author : Pietro Cova
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2009-03-01
Global Imbalances written by Pietro Cova and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-03-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper investigates the role played by emerging Asia in the emergence and evolution of the global trade imbalances. Based on simulations in a general equilibrium model of the world economy, we find that a productivity slowdown in the non-tradable sector of these economies in the second half of the 1990s fits regional macroeconomic developments relatively well, but has limited spillover effect to the United States trade balance. In contrast, an increase in the desired level of emerging Asia net foreign assets starting in 2001 not only fits regional developments relatively well, but also has a significant spillover effect to the United States.
The Global Economic Crisis And Its Implications For Asian Economic Cooperation
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Author : Michael G. Plummer
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2009
The Global Economic Crisis And Its Implications For Asian Economic Cooperation written by Michael G. Plummer and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with Asian cooperation categories.
Asian Economic Integration In An Era Of Global Uncertainty
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Author : Shiro Armstrong
language : en
Publisher: ANU Press
Release Date : 2018-01-08
Asian Economic Integration In An Era Of Global Uncertainty written by Shiro Armstrong and has been published by ANU Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-01-08 with Political Science categories.
The Pacific Trade and Development (PAFTAD) conference series has been at the forefront of analysing challenges facing the economies of East Asia and the Pacific since its first meeting in Tokyo in January 1968. The 38th PAFTAD conference met at a key time to consider international economic integration. Earlier in the year, the people of the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union and the United States elected Donald Trump as their next president on the back of an inward-looking ‘America First’ promise. Brexit and President Trump represent a growing, and worrying, trend towards protectionism in the North Atlantic countries that have led the process of globalisation since the end of the Second World War. The chapters in the volume describe the state of play in Asian economic integration but, more importantly, look forward to the region’s future, and the role it might play in defending the global system that has underwritten its historic rise. Asia has the potential to stand as a bulwark against the dual threats of North Atlantic protectionism and slowing trade growth, but collective leadership will be needed regionally and difficult domestic reforms will be required in each country.
Asian Megatrends
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Author : Rajiv Biswas
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2016-02-03
Asian Megatrends written by Rajiv Biswas and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-02-03 with Political Science categories.
Asian Megatrends assesses the key drivers impacting Asia over the next two decades. The rise of China is transforming the Asia-Pacific, as China’s economic and military might increasingly reverberates throughout the region. India and Indonesia are also rising Asian powers that are changing the shape of the Asian economic landscape. The rapid growth of emerging Asian consumer markets is becoming an increasingly important growth engine for the world economy and for global multinationals. However, Asia faces tremendous economic and social challenges over the long-term, including the rapid growth of Asian megacities and severe environmental problems due to climate change, water crises and pollution. Geopolitical tensions have also been escalating in the Asia-Pacific due to territorial disputes in the South China Sea and the East China Sea, increasing the risk of a regional arms race and military confrontation. Asian Megatrends is an essential read for government officials and corporate executives wishing to understand the rapidly changing risk landscape in Asia.