The Truth Of Uncertainty
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The Truth Of Uncertainty
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Author : Edward L. Galligan
language : en
Publisher: University of Missouri Press
Release Date : 1998
The Truth Of Uncertainty written by Edward L. Galligan and has been published by University of Missouri Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998 with Literary Collections categories.
Galligan (Professor Emeritus, English, Western Michigan U.-Kalamazoo) argues that contemporary American critics should embrace literary truths with all of their uncertainties rather than cling to make- believe certainties of ideologies. He celebrates values commonly associated with modern, not postmodern, criticism, applying them to contemporary works in a series of fresh and unusual inquiries. He finds implications for criticism in work from the physical sciences and in the works of largely ignored novelists. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR
Risk And Uncertainty In A Post Truth Society
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Author : Sander van der Linden
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2019-06-10
Risk And Uncertainty In A Post Truth Society written by Sander van der Linden and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-06-10 with Business & Economics categories.
This edited volume looks at whether it is possible to be more transparent about uncertainty in scientific evidence without undermining public understanding and trust. With contributions from leading experts in the field, this book explores the communication of risk and decision-making in an increasingly post-truth world. Drawing on case studies from climate change to genetic testing, the authors argue for better quality evidence synthesis to cut through the noise and highlight the need for more structured public dialogue. For uncertainty in scientific evidence to be communicated effectively, they conclude that trustworthiness is vital: the data and methods underlying statistics must be transparent, valid, and sound, and the numbers need to demonstrate practical utility and add social value to people’s lives. Presenting a conceptual framework to help navigate the reader through the key social and scientific challenges of a post-truth era, this book will be of great relevance to students, scholars, and policy makers with an interest in risk analysis and communication.
The Uncertainty Of Analysis
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Author : Timothy J. Reiss
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date :
The Uncertainty Of Analysis written by Timothy J. Reiss and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with categories.
Risk And Uncertainty In A Post Truth Society
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Author : Sander van der Linden
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2019-06-10
Risk And Uncertainty In A Post Truth Society written by Sander van der Linden and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-06-10 with Business & Economics categories.
This edited volume looks at whether it is possible to be more transparent about uncertainty in scientific evidence without undermining public understanding and trust. With contributions from leading experts in the field, this book explores the communication of risk and decision-making in an increasingly post-truth world. Drawing on case studies from climate change to genetic testing, the authors argue for better quality evidence synthesis to cut through the noise and highlight the need for more structured public dialogue. For uncertainty in scientific evidence to be communicated effectively, they conclude that trustworthiness is vital: the data and methods underlying statistics must be transparent, valid, and sound, and the numbers need to demonstrate practical utility and add social value to people’s lives. Presenting a conceptual framework to help navigate the reader through the key social and scientific challenges of a post-truth era, this book will be of great relevance to students, scholars, and policy makers with an interest in risk analysis and communication.
Uncertainty Theory
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Author : Baoding Liu
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2011-11-07
Uncertainty Theory written by Baoding Liu and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-11-07 with Computers categories.
Uncertainty theory is a branch of mathematics based on normality, monotonicity, self-duality, countable subadditivity, and product measure axioms. Uncertainty is any concept that satisfies the axioms of uncertainty theory. Thus uncertainty is neither randomness nor fuzziness. It is also known from some surveys that a lot of phenomena do behave like uncertainty. How do we model uncertainty? How do we use uncertainty theory? In order to answer these questions, this book provides a self-contained, comprehensive and up-to-date presentation of uncertainty theory, including uncertain programming, uncertain risk analysis, uncertain reliability analysis, uncertain process, uncertain calculus, uncertain differential equation, uncertain logic, uncertain entailment, and uncertain inference. Mathematicians, researchers, engineers, designers, and students in the field of mathematics, information science, operations research, system science, industrial engineering, computer science, artificial intelligence, finance, control, and management science will find this work a stimulating and useful reference.
The Truth War
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Author : John F. MacArthur
language : en
Publisher: Thomas Nelson
Release Date : 2008-12-28
The Truth War written by John F. MacArthur and has been published by Thomas Nelson this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-12-28 with Religion categories.
Right now, truth is under attack, and much is at stake. Perhaps no one in America is more passionate than John MacArthur about exposing those who are mounting this attack?especially those bringing the assault right into the church. There is no middle ground?no safe zone for the uncommitted in this war. The battle for truth is raging, and this book reveals: The pitfalls of postmodern thinking Why the Emerging Church Movement is inherently flawed Past skirmishes in the Truth War and their effect on the Church The importance of truth and certainty in a postmodern society How to identify and address the errors and false teachings smuggled into churches "[The postmodern age] is the age of no truth, an age that has reached a point of deadly fatigue when it comes to facing the truth?a generation that no longer believes truth can be known. Dr. John MacArthur knows better, and he is armed with the courage to confront this age with a bold defense of truth. . . . His argument is compelling, his defense of truth is brilliant, and his concern for the church is evident on every page. The evangelical church desperately needs this book, and it arrives just in time." ?R. Albert Mohler Jr., President, The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary
Masters Of Uncertainty
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Author : Phaedra Daipha
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2015-11-17
Masters Of Uncertainty written by Phaedra Daipha and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-11-17 with Science categories.
"In Masters of Uncertainty, Phaedra Daipha offers a new framework for understanding decision-making practice after spending years immersed in a northeastern office of the National Weather Service. Arguing that forecasters have made a virtue of the unpredictability of the weather, Daipha shows how they enlist an onmivorous appetite for information and improvisational collage techniques to create a locally meaningful forecast on their computer screens. This richly detailed and lucidly written book advances a theory of decision making that foregrounds the pragmatic and situated nature of expert cognition and casts new light on how we make decisions in the digital age"--Page {4] of cover.
Managing Project Uncertainty
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Author : David Cleden
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2017-03-02
Managing Project Uncertainty written by David Cleden and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-03-02 with Business & Economics categories.
Dealing effectively with uncertainty requires today's project manager to be familiar with a broad spectrum of strategies, encompassing both 'hard' and 'soft' methods. This theme of unified thinking (i.e. the need to selectively draw upon a wide range of strategies in any given situation) will differentiate the book from its contemporaries. By picking up where traditional risk management techniques begin to fail, it brings together leading-edge thinking from a variety of disciplines and shows how these techniques can be used to conquer uncertainty in projects. The ability to make good decisions when faced with uncertainty is the real challenge. It is a universal truth that a decision is only as good as the information it is based on. But good information is often hard to come by, and all projects are vulnerable to the unknown and the unknowable. Thus, uncertainty becomes the sworn enemy of the project manager. Wherever we try to analyse, quantify, plan and act, uncertainty lies in wait to surprise us with its ambiguity and unpredictability. It lurks in every stage of the project lifecycle: in the planning (how long will this really take?), the initiation (this isn't the situation I expected!), the execution (who could have foreseen that happening?), and even the completion of a project (where are the expected benefits?). But managing uncertainty is a lot more than just applying risk management techniques. It requires a deep appreciation of how uncertainty arises and, by recognising its different guises, the appropriate strategies can be formulated. If we can learn how to reduce uncertainty, we can make better management decisions and increase the chances of the project succeeding. This book addresses five key questions: ¢ Why is there uncertainty in projects? ¢ How do you spot the symptoms of uncertainty, preferably at an early stage? ¢ What can be done to avoid uncertainty? ¢ What strategies can be used to deal with project uncertainty? ¢ How can both the individual and the organisation learn to cope more effectively in the future? The reader is assumed to be a either a project management professional, or a senior manager looking for ways to improve project management strategy within their organisation. As such, a foundation in project management basics is assumed, although not essential. The book then builds on this by exposing new ideas and concepts, and shows how these can be harnessed to tackle uncertainty in its many guises.
Uncertainty Reasoning For The Semantic Web Ii
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Author : Fernando Bobillo
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2013-01-09
Uncertainty Reasoning For The Semantic Web Ii written by Fernando Bobillo and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-01-09 with Computers categories.
This book contains revised and significantly extended versions of selected papers from three workshops on Uncertainty Reasoning for the Semantic Web (URSW), held at the International Semantic Web Conferences (ISWC) in 2008, 2009, and 2010 or presented at the first international Workshop on Uncertainty in Description Logics (UniDL), held at the Federated Logic Conference (FLoC) in 2010. The 17 papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from numerous submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on probabilistic and Dempster-Shafer models, fuzzy and possibilistic models, inductive reasoning and machine learning, and hybrid approaches.
The Art Of Not Knowing
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Author : Desiree Carlson
language : en
Publisher: Xlibris Corporation
Release Date : 2020-10-19
The Art Of Not Knowing written by Desiree Carlson and has been published by Xlibris Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-10-19 with Philosophy categories.
A philosophical and personal journey in daily life for anyone who identifies themselves as a curious seeker. The Art of Not Knowing is a subtle, yet challenging invitation to question our fixed paradigms and walk through uncertainty with eyes wide open. A book for those who are willing to navigate life with an open perspective, ready to be surprised.