Theory Of Suboptimal Decisions
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Theory Of Suboptimal Decisions
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Author : A.A. Pervozvanskii
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 1988-05-31
Theory Of Suboptimal Decisions written by A.A. Pervozvanskii and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1988-05-31 with Mathematics categories.
Approach your problems from the right end It isn't that they can't see the solution. It is and begin with the answers. Then one day, that they can't see the problem. perhaps you will find the final question. G. K. Chesterton. The Scandal of Father 'The Hermit Clad in Crane Feathers' in R. Brown 'The point of a Pin'. van Gulik's The Chinese Maze Murders. Growing specialization and diversification have brought a host of monographs and textbooks on increasingly specialized topics. However, the "tree" of knowledge of mathematics and related fields does not grow only by putting forth new branches. It also happens, quite often in fact, that branches which were. thought to be completely disparate are suddenly seen to be related. Further, the kind and level of sophistication of mathematics applied in various Isciences has changed drastically in recent years: measure theory is used (non trivially) in regional and theoretical economics; algebraic geom. eJry interacts with I physics; the Minkowsky lemma, coding theory and the structure of water meet one another in packing and covering theory; quantum fields, crystal defects and rpathematical programminglprofit from homotopy theory; Lie algebras are relevant to filtering; and prediction and electrical engineering can use Stein spaces. And in addition to this there are such new emerging subdisciplines as "experimental mathematics", "CFD", "completely integrable systems", "chaos, synergetics and large-scale order", which are almost impossible to fit into the existing classification schemes. They draw upon widely different sections of mathematics.
Mathematical Theories In Strategic Decisions
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Author : Gaurav Garg
language : en
Publisher: Gaurav Garg
Release Date :
Mathematical Theories In Strategic Decisions written by Gaurav Garg and has been published by Gaurav Garg this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with Business & Economics categories.
Welcome to a journey through the fascinating world of decision-making, where mathematics and technology converge to illuminate the path forward. This book, "Mathematical Theories in Strategic Decisions," is your guide to the mathematical underpinnings of decision-making processes that shape our lives, from business strategies that drive economies to healthcare decisions that impact our well-being. In the pages that follow, you'll embark on a quest to unravel the mysteries of mathematical theories and witness their transformative power in action. Each chapter is a portal into a different dimension of decision intelligence, offering you a front-row seat to the intricate dance of numbers, algorithms, and real-world applications. From the classical elegance of Game Theory to the probabilistic precision of Bayesian Statistics, from the structured clarity of Decision Trees to the computational marvel of Monte Carlo Simulation, and finally, to the cutting-edge frontiers of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning, you'll explore the full spectrum of mathematical tools that empower decision-makers to navigate complexity and uncertainty. Through immersive case studies, practical examples, and human-like narrative, you'll meet professionals like Dr. Sarah, Emily, and Dr. Mia who harness the power of mathematics to make decisions that matter. You'll witness how mathematical theories optimize business strategies, streamline operations, diagnose diseases, manage risks, and revolutionize healthcare. But this journey is not merely about the mechanics of mathematics; it's about the profound impact it has on our world. It's about enabling us to make better decisions, to allocate resources efficiently, to mitigate risks, and to unlock the doors of innovation and discovery. It's about illuminating the dark corners of uncertainty and guiding us toward informed choices. As you turn the pages of this book, may you find inspiration in the elegance of mathematical theories and the ingenuity of human minds. May you discover that in the intricate dance of numbers, we find the compass to navigate the intricate landscape of decisions.
The Paradox Of Choice
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Author : Barry Schwartz
language : en
Publisher: Harper Collins
Release Date : 2009-10-13
The Paradox Of Choice written by Barry Schwartz and has been published by Harper Collins this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-10-13 with Psychology categories.
Whether we're buying a pair of jeans, ordering a cup of coffee, selecting a long-distance carrier, applying to college, choosing a doctor, or setting up a 401(k), everyday decisions—both big and small—have become increasingly complex due to the overwhelming abundance of choice with which we are presented. As Americans, we assume that more choice means better options and greater satisfaction. But beware of excessive choice: choice overload can make you question the decisions you make before you even make them, it can set you up for unrealistically high expectations, and it can make you blame yourself for any and all failures. In the long run, this can lead to decision-making paralysis, anxiety, and perpetual stress. And, in a culture that tells us that there is no excuse for falling short of perfection when your options are limitless, too much choice can lead to clinical depression. In The Paradox of Choice, Barry Schwartz explains at what point choice—the hallmark of individual freedom and self-determination that we so cherish—becomes detrimental to our psychological and emotional well-being. In accessible, engaging, and anecdotal prose, Schwartz shows how the dramatic explosion in choice—from the mundane to the profound challenges of balancing career, family, and individual needs—has paradoxically become a problem instead of a solution. Schwartz also shows how our obsession with choice encourages us to seek that which makes us feel worse. By synthesizing current research in the social sciences, Schwartz makes the counter intuitive case that eliminating choices can greatly reduce the stress, anxiety, and busyness of our lives. He offers eleven practical steps on how to limit choices to a manageable number, have the discipline to focus on those that are important and ignore the rest, and ultimately derive greater satisfaction from the choices you have to make.
Fuzzy Decision Analysis Multi Attribute Decision Making Approach
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Author : Farhad Hosseinzadeh Lotfi
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2023-11-24
Fuzzy Decision Analysis Multi Attribute Decision Making Approach written by Farhad Hosseinzadeh Lotfi and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-11-24 with Computers categories.
Authored by a leading expert in the field, this book introduces an innovative methodology that harnesses the power of fuzzy logic to enhance decision-making in multi-attribute scenarios. In a world of complexity and uncertainty, effective decision-making is paramount. Springer proudly presents a cutting-edge publication that revolutionizes decision analysis: "Fuzzy Decision Analysis: Multi-attribute Decision-Making Approach." This book stands at the forefront of decision analysis, introducing the integration of fuzzy logic into multi-attribute decision-making. It is a transformative journey into the realm of advanced decision analysis. It book not only equips you with the knowledge to comprehend the theoretical underpinnings but also empowers you to apply these insights in practical scenarios. This book serves as your indispensable companion. Its comprehensive coverage serves as a beacon, guiding you through the intricate maze of fuzzy logic and multi-attribute decision-making, ultimately empowering you to embrace innovation and master the art of making well-informed decisions in an ever-changing world.
Problems And Methods Of Optimal Control
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Author : L.D. Akulenko
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-04-17
Problems And Methods Of Optimal Control written by L.D. Akulenko and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-04-17 with Mathematics categories.
The numerous applications of optimal control theory have given an incentive to the development of approximate techniques aimed at the construction of control laws and the optimization of dynamical systems. These constructive approaches rely on small parameter methods (averaging, regular and singular perturbations), which are well-known and have been proven to be efficient in nonlinear mechanics and optimal control theory (maximum principle, variational calculus and dynamic programming). An essential feature of the procedures for solving optimal control problems consists in the necessity for dealing with two-point boundary-value problems for nonlinear and, as a rule, nonsmooth multi-dimensional sets of differential equations. This circumstance complicates direct applications of the above-mentioned perturbation methods which have been developed mostly for investigating initial-value (Cauchy) problems. There is now a need for a systematic presentation of constructive analytical per turbation methods relevant to optimal control problems for nonlinear systems. The purpose of this book is to meet this need in the English language scientific literature and to present consistently small parameter techniques relating to the constructive investigation of some classes of optimal control problems which often arise in prac tice. This book is based on a revised and modified version of the monograph: L. D. Akulenko "Asymptotic methods in optimal control". Moscow: Nauka, 366 p. (in Russian).
Mathematical Methods In Optimization Of Differential Systems
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Author : Viorel Barbu
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Mathematical Methods In Optimization Of Differential Systems written by Viorel Barbu and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Mathematics categories.
This work is a revised and enlarged edition of a book with the same title published in Romanian by the Publishing House of the Romanian Academy in 1989. It grew out of lecture notes for a graduate course given by the author at the University if Ia~i and was initially intended for students and readers primarily interested in applications of optimal control of ordinary differential equations. In this vision the book had to contain an elementary description of the Pontryagin maximum principle and a large number of examples and applications from various fields of science. The evolution of control science in the last decades has shown that its meth ods and tools are drawn from a large spectrum of mathematical results which go beyond the classical theory of ordinary differential equations and real analy ses. Mathematical areas such as functional analysis, topology, partial differential equations and infinite dimensional dynamical systems, geometry, played and will continue to play an increasing role in the development of the control sciences. On the other hand, control problems is a rich source of deep mathematical problems. Any presentation of control theory which for the sake of accessibility ignores these facts is incomplete and unable to attain its goals. This is the reason we considered necessary to widen the initial perspective of the book and to include a rigorous mathematical treatment of optimal control theory of processes governed by ordi nary differential equations and some typical problems from theory of distributed parameter systems.
The Oxford Handbook Of Offender Decision Making
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Author : Wim Bernasco
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2017-05-08
The Oxford Handbook Of Offender Decision Making written by Wim Bernasco and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-05-08 with Law categories.
Although the issue of offender decision-making pervades almost every discussion of crime and law enforcement, only a few comprehensive texts cover and integrate information about the role of decision-making in crime. The Oxford Handbook of Offender Decision Making provide high-quality reviews of the main paradigms in offender decision-making, such as rational choice theory and dual-process theory. It contains up-to-date reviews of empirical research on decision-making in a wide range of decision types including not only criminal initiation and desistance, but also choice of locations, times, targets, victims, methods as well as large variety crimes including homicide, robbery, domestic violence, burglary, street crime, sexual crimes, and cybercrime. Lastly, it provides in-depth treatments of the major methods used to study offender decision-making, including experiments, observation studies, surveys, offender interviews, and simulations. Comprehensive and authoritative, the Handbook will quickly become the primary source of theoretical, methodological, and empirical knowledge about decision-making as it relates to criminal behavior.
The Decision Factor
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Author : Barrett Williams
language : en
Publisher: Barrett Williams
Release Date : 2025-04-04
The Decision Factor written by Barrett Williams and has been published by Barrett Williams this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-04-04 with Psychology categories.
Unlock the secrets of human decision-making with "The Decision Factor," a groundbreaking eBook that delves into the intricate processes shaping every choice you make. From the subtle power of unconscious biases to the overwhelming nature of modern-day options, this insightful read unravels the myriad influences that guide our decisions—both big and small. Immerse yourself in the Foundations of Decision-Making, where you’ll explore essential theories and the undeniable role of cognition. Discover how your brain structures and neurotransmitters orchestrate your choices in real-time, and venture into the depths of social dynamics to see how group thinking and societal norms subtly nudge your judgments. "The Decision Factor" also tackles the paradox of choice in a world flooded with options, offering strategies to simplify the decision-making process. Learn how to harness the art of deliberation by finding the balance between instinct and in-depth analysis, and practice mindfulness to make decisions with clarity and confidence. Explore the impact of personal identity on your decisions, and how self-perception, values, and moral judgments come into play. Understand the environmental and cultural contexts that mold your choice-making frameworks, and encounter the role of habits in perpetuating or dismantling ingrained decision patterns. Delve into the ethical dimensions of decision-making, critical for leadership in today's complex world, and examine how digital media and artificial intelligence are reshaping our decision landscapes. Assess your choices by measuring decision success and integrate the lessons learned into developing a decisive personality. Finally, prepare for the future with insights into emerging trends and innovations in decision-making. Whether you're facing simple everyday decisions or complex ethical dilemmas, "The Decision Factor" equips you with the tools to navigate the uncertainty of tomorrow's choices with confidence and ease. Transform your decision-making journey today!
Handbook Of Markov Decision Processes
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Author : Eugene A. Feinberg
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Handbook Of Markov Decision Processes written by Eugene A. Feinberg and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.
Eugene A. Feinberg Adam Shwartz This volume deals with the theory of Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) and their applications. Each chapter was written by a leading expert in the re spective area. The papers cover major research areas and methodologies, and discuss open questions and future research directions. The papers can be read independently, with the basic notation and concepts ofSection 1.2. Most chap ters should be accessible by graduate or advanced undergraduate students in fields of operations research, electrical engineering, and computer science. 1.1 AN OVERVIEW OF MARKOV DECISION PROCESSES The theory of Markov Decision Processes-also known under several other names including sequential stochastic optimization, discrete-time stochastic control, and stochastic dynamic programming-studiessequential optimization ofdiscrete time stochastic systems. The basic object is a discrete-time stochas tic system whose transition mechanism can be controlled over time. Each control policy defines the stochastic process and values of objective functions associated with this process. The goal is to select a "good" control policy. In real life, decisions that humans and computers make on all levels usually have two types ofimpacts: (i) they cost orsavetime, money, or other resources, or they bring revenues, as well as (ii) they have an impact on the future, by influencing the dynamics. In many situations, decisions with the largest immediate profit may not be good in view offuture events. MDPs model this paradigm and provide results on the structure and existence of good policies and on methods for their calculation.
Integrating Cognitive And Rational Theories Of Foreign Policy Decision Making
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Author : A. Mintz
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2016-04-30
Integrating Cognitive And Rational Theories Of Foreign Policy Decision Making written by A. Mintz and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-04-30 with Political Science categories.
There are two dominant approaches to political decision making in general and foreign policy decision making in particular: rational choice and cognitive psychology. The essays here introduce and test the poliheuristic theory of decision making that integrates elements of both schools. The poliheuristic theory is able to account for the outcome and the process of decisions, and integrates across levels of analysis (individual, dyad, and group). The collection focuses on both elements of the theory itself and also looks at how the theory can be used to better understand political decisions that were made in the past.