Time Series Analysis Forecasting Stock Price Using Machine Learning With Python Gui
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Time Series Analysis Forecasting Stock Price Using Machine Learning With Python Gui
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Author : Vivian Siahaan
language : en
Publisher: BALIGE PUBLISHING
Release Date : 2023-07-02
Time Series Analysis Forecasting Stock Price Using Machine Learning With Python Gui written by Vivian Siahaan and has been published by BALIGE PUBLISHING this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-07-02 with Computers categories.
Stock trading and financial instrument markets offer significant opportunities for wealth creation. The ability to predict stock price movements has long intrigued researchers and investors alike. While some theories, like the Efficient Market Hypothesis, suggest that consistently beating the market is nearly impossible, others contest this viewpoint. Stock price prediction involves forecasting the future value of a given stock. In this project, we focus on the S&P 500 Index, which consists of 500 stocks from various sectors of the US economy and serves as a key indicator of US equities. To tackle this task, we utilize the Yahoo stock price history dataset, which contains 1825 rows and 7 columns including Date, High, Low, Open, Close, Volume, and Adj Close. To enhance our predictions, we incorporate technical indicators such as daily returns, Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength Index (RSI), Simple Moving Average (SMA), lower and upper bands, and standard deviation. In this book, for the forecasting task, we employ various regression algorithms including Linear Regression, Random Forest Regression, Decision Tree Regression, Support Vector Regression, Naïve Bayes Regression, K-Nearest Neighbor Regression, Adaboost Regression, Gradient Boosting Regression, Extreme Gradient Boosting Regression, Light Gradient Boosting Regression, Catboost Regression, MLP Regression, Lasso Regression, and Ridge Regression. These models aim to predict the future Adj Close price of the stock based on historical data. In addition to stock price prediction, we also delve into predicting stock daily returns using machine learning models. We utilize K-Nearest Neighbor Classifier, Random Forest Classifier, Naive Bayes Classifier, Logistic Regression Classifier, Decision Tree Classifier, Support Vector Machine Classifier, LGBM Classifier, Gradient Boosting Classifier, XGB Classifier, MLP Classifier, and Extra Trees Classifier. These models are trained to predict the direction of daily stock returns (positive or negative) based on various features and technical indicators. To assess the performance of these machine learning models, we evaluate several important metrics. Accuracy measures the overall correctness of the predictions, while recall quantifies the ability to correctly identify positive cases (upward daily returns). Precision evaluates the precision of positive predictions, and the F1 score provides a balanced measure of precision and recall. Additionally, we consider macro average, which calculates the average metric value across all classes, and weighted average, which provides a balanced representation considering class imbalances. To enhance the user experience and facilitate data exploration, we develop a graphical user interface (GUI). The GUI is built using PyQt and offers an interactive platform for users to visualize and interact with the data. It provides features such as plotting boundary decisions, visualizing feature distributions and importance, comparing predicted values with true values, displaying confusion matrices, learning curves, model performance, and scalability analysis. The GUI allows users to customize the analysis by selecting different models, time periods, or variables of interest, making it accessible and user-friendly for individuals without extensive programming knowledge. The combination of exploring the dataset, forecasting stock prices, predicting daily returns, and developing a GUI creates a comprehensive framework for analyzing and understanding stock market trends. By leveraging machine learning algorithms and evaluating performance metrics, we gain valuable insights into the accuracy and effectiveness of our predictions. The GUI further enhances the accessibility and usability of the analysis, enabling users to make data-driven decisions and explore the stock market with ease.
Google Stock Price Time Series Analysis Visualization Forecasting And Prediction Using Machine Learning With Python Gui
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Author : Vivian Siahaan
language : en
Publisher: BALIGE PUBLISHING
Release Date : 2023-06-11
Google Stock Price Time Series Analysis Visualization Forecasting And Prediction Using Machine Learning With Python Gui written by Vivian Siahaan and has been published by BALIGE PUBLISHING this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-06-11 with Computers categories.
Google, officially known as Alphabet Inc., is an American multinational technology company. It was founded in September 1998 by Larry Page and Sergey Brin while they were Ph.D. students at Stanford University. Initially, it started as a research project to develop a search engine, but it rapidly grew into one of the largest and most influential technology companies in the world. Google is primarily known for its internet-related services and products, with its search engine being its most well-known offering. It revolutionized the way people access information by providing a fast and efficient search engine that delivers highly relevant results. Over the years, Google expanded its portfolio to include a wide range of products and services, including Google Maps, Google Drive, Gmail, Google Docs, Google Photos, Google Chrome, YouTube, and many more. In addition to its internet services, Google ventured into hardware with products like the Google Pixel smartphones, Google Home smart speakers, and Google Nest smart home devices. It also developed its own operating system called Android, which has become the most widely used mobile operating system globally. Google's success can be attributed to its ability to monetize its services through online advertising. The company introduced Google AdWords, a highly successful online advertising program that enables businesses to display ads on Google's search engine and other websites through its AdSense program. Advertising contributes significantly to Google's revenue, along with other sources such as cloud services, app sales, and licensing fees. The dataset used in this project starts from 19-Aug-2004 and is updated till 11-Oct-2021. It contains 4317 rows and 7 columns. The columns in the dataset are Date, Open, High, Low, Close, Adj Close, and Volume. You can download the dataset from https://viviansiahaan.blogspot.com/2023/06/google-stock-price-time-series-analysis.html. In this project, you will involve technical indicators such as daily returns, Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength Index (RSI), Simple Moving Average (SMA), lower and upper bands, and standard deviation. In this book, you will learn how to perform forecasting based on regression on Adj Close price of Google stock price, you will use: Linear Regression, Random Forest regression, Decision Tree regression, Support Vector Machine regression, Naïve Bayes regression, K-Nearest Neighbor regression, Adaboost regression, Gradient Boosting regression, Extreme Gradient Boosting regression, Light Gradient Boosting regression, Catboost regression, MLP regression, Lasso regression, and Ridge regression. The machine learning models used to predict Google daily returns as target variable are K-Nearest Neighbor classifier, Random Forest classifier, Naive Bayes classifier, Logistic Regression classifier, Decision Tree classifier, Support Vector Machine classifier, LGBM classifier, Gradient Boosting classifier, XGB classifier, MLP classifier, and Extra Trees classifier. Finally, you will develop GUI to plot boundary decision, distribution of features, feature importance, predicted values versus true values, confusion matrix, learning curve, performance of the model, and scalability of the model.
Stock Price Analysis Prediction And Forecasting Using Machine Learning And Deep Learning With Python
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Author : Vivian Siahaan
language : en
Publisher: BALIGE PUBLISHING
Release Date : 2022-05-27
Stock Price Analysis Prediction And Forecasting Using Machine Learning And Deep Learning With Python written by Vivian Siahaan and has been published by BALIGE PUBLISHING this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-05-27 with Computers categories.
This dataset is a playground for fundamental and technical analysis. It is said that 30% of traffic on stocks is already generated by machines, can trading be fully automated? If not, there is still a lot to learn from historical data. The dataset consists of data spans from 2010 to the end 2016, for companies new on stock market date range is shorter. To perform forecasting based on regression adjusted closing price of gold, you will use: Linear Regression, Random Forest regression, Decision Tree regression, Support Vector Machine regression, Naïve Bayes regression, K-Nearest Neighbor regression, Adaboost regression, Gradient Boosting regression, Extreme Gradient Boosting regression, Light Gradient Boosting regression, Catboost regression, MLP regression, and LSTM (Long-Short Term Memory) regression. The machine learning models used predict gold daily returns as target variable are K-Nearest Neighbor classifier, Random Forest classifier, Naive Bayes classifier, Logistic Regression classifier, Decision Tree classifier, Support Vector Machine classifier, LGBM classifier, Gradient Boosting classifier, XGB classifier, MLP classifier, Gaussian Mixture Model classifier, and Extra Trees classifier. Finally, you will plot boundary decision, distribution of features, feature importance, predicted values versus true values, confusion matrix, learning curve, performance of the model, and scalability of the model.
Amazon Stock Price Visualization Forecasting And Prediction Using Machine Learning With Python Gui
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Author : Vivian Siahaan
language : en
Publisher: BALIGE PUBLISHING
Release Date : 2023-06-09
Amazon Stock Price Visualization Forecasting And Prediction Using Machine Learning With Python Gui written by Vivian Siahaan and has been published by BALIGE PUBLISHING this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-06-09 with Business & Economics categories.
Amazon is an American multinational technology company that is known for its e-commerce, cloud computing, digital streaming, and artificial intelligence services. It was founded by Jeff Bezos in 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington. Amazon's primary business is its online marketplace, where it offers a wide range of products, including books, electronics, household items, and more. The company has expanded its operations to various countries and is one of the largest online retailers globally. In addition to its e-commerce business, Amazon has ventured into other areas. It provides cloud computing services through Amazon Web Services (AWS), which offers on-demand computing power, storage, and other services to individuals, businesses, and governments. AWS has become a significant revenue source for Amazon. Amazon has also made a significant impact on the entertainment industry. It operates Amazon Prime Video, a streaming platform that offers a wide selection of movies, TV shows, and original content. As for Amazon's stock price, it has experienced substantial growth since the company went public in 1997. The stock has been highly valued by investors due to Amazon's consistent revenue growth, market dominance, and innovation. The stock price has seen both ups and downs over the years, reflecting market trends and investor sentiment. The dataset used in this project starts from 14-May-1997 and is updated till 27-Oct-2021. It contains 6155 rows and 7 columns. The columns in the dataset are Date, Open, High, Low, Close, Adj Close, and Volume. In this project, you will involve technical indicators such as daily returns, Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength Index (RSI), Simple Moving Average (SMA), lower and upper bands, and standard deviation. To perform forecasting based on regression on Adj Close price of Amazon stock price, you will use: Linear Regression, Random Forest regression, Decision Tree regression, Support Vector Machine regression, Naïve Bayes regression, K-Nearest Neighbor regression, Adaboost regression, Gradient Boosting regression, Extreme Gradient Boosting regression, Light Gradient Boosting regression, Catboost regression, MLP regression, Lasso regression, and Ridge regression. The machine learning models used predict Amazon stock daily returns as target variable are K-Nearest Neighbor classifier, Random Forest classifier, Naive Bayes classifier, Logistic Regression classifier, Decision Tree classifier, Support Vector Machine classifier, LGBM classifier, Gradient Boosting classifier, XGB classifier, MLP classifier, and Extra Trees classifier. Finally, you will develop GUI to plot boundary decision, distribution of features, feature importance, predicted values versus true values, confusion matrix, learning curve, performance of the model, and scalability of the model.
Time Series Analysis On Aws
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Author : Michaël Hoarau
language : en
Publisher: Packt Publishing Ltd
Release Date : 2022-02-28
Time Series Analysis On Aws written by Michaël Hoarau and has been published by Packt Publishing Ltd this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-02-28 with Computers categories.
Leverage AWS AI/ML managed services to generate value from your time series data Key FeaturesSolve modern time series analysis problems such as forecasting and anomaly detectionGain a solid understanding of AWS AI/ML managed services and apply them to your business problemsExplore different algorithms to build applications that leverage time series dataBook Description Being a business analyst and data scientist, you have to use many algorithms and approaches to prepare, process, and build ML-based applications by leveraging time series data, but you face common problems, such as not knowing which algorithm to choose or how to combine and interpret them. Amazon Web Services (AWS) provides numerous services to help you build applications fueled by artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities. This book helps you get to grips with three AWS AI/ML-managed services to enable you to deliver your desired business outcomes. The book begins with Amazon Forecast, where you'll discover how to use time series forecasting, leveraging sophisticated statistical and machine learning algorithms to deliver business outcomes accurately. You'll then learn to use Amazon Lookout for Equipment to build multivariate time series anomaly detection models geared toward industrial equipment and understand how it provides valuable insights to reinforce teams focused on predictive maintenance and predictive quality use cases. In the last chapters, you'll explore Amazon Lookout for Metrics, and automatically detect and diagnose outliers in your business and operational data. By the end of this AWS book, you'll have understood how to use the three AWS AI services effectively to perform time series analysis. What you will learnUnderstand how time series data differs from other types of dataExplore the key challenges that can be solved using time series dataForecast future values of business metrics using Amazon ForecastDetect anomalies and deliver forewarnings using Lookout for EquipmentDetect anomalies in business metrics using Amazon Lookout for MetricsVisualize your predictions to reduce the time to extract insightsWho this book is for If you're a data analyst, business analyst, or data scientist looking to analyze time series data effectively for solving business problems, this is the book for you. Basic statistics knowledge is assumed, but no machine learning knowledge is necessary. Prior experience with time series data and how it relates to various business problems will help you get the most out of this book. This guide will also help machine learning practitioners find new ways to leverage their skills to build effective time series-based applications.
Machine Learning For Time Series With Python
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Author : Ben Auffarth
language : en
Publisher: Packt Publishing Ltd
Release Date : 2021-10-29
Machine Learning For Time Series With Python written by Ben Auffarth and has been published by Packt Publishing Ltd this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-10-29 with Computers categories.
Get better insights from time-series data and become proficient in model performance analysis Key FeaturesExplore popular and modern machine learning methods including the latest online and deep learning algorithmsLearn to increase the accuracy of your predictions by matching the right model with the right problemMaster time series via real-world case studies on operations management, digital marketing, finance, and healthcareBook Description The Python time-series ecosystem is huge and often quite hard to get a good grasp on, especially for time-series since there are so many new libraries and new models. This book aims to deepen your understanding of time series by providing a comprehensive overview of popular Python time-series packages and help you build better predictive systems. Machine Learning for Time-Series with Python starts by re-introducing the basics of time series and then builds your understanding of traditional autoregressive models as well as modern non-parametric models. By observing practical examples and the theory behind them, you will become confident with loading time-series datasets from any source, deep learning models like recurrent neural networks and causal convolutional network models, and gradient boosting with feature engineering. This book will also guide you in matching the right model to the right problem by explaining the theory behind several useful models. You'll also have a look at real-world case studies covering weather, traffic, biking, and stock market data. By the end of this book, you should feel at home with effectively analyzing and applying machine learning methods to time-series. What you will learnUnderstand the main classes of time series and learn how to detect outliers and patternsChoose the right method to solve time-series problemsCharacterize seasonal and correlation patterns through autocorrelation and statistical techniquesGet to grips with time-series data visualizationUnderstand classical time-series models like ARMA and ARIMAImplement deep learning models, like Gaussian processes, transformers, and state-of-the-art machine learning modelsBecome familiar with many libraries like Prophet, XGboost, and TensorFlowWho this book is for This book is ideal for data analysts, data scientists, and Python developers who want instantly useful and practical recipes to implement today, and a comprehensive reference book for tomorrow. Basic knowledge of the Python Programming language is a must, while familiarity with statistics will help you get the most out of this book.
Head First Python
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Author : Paul Barry
language : en
Publisher: "O'Reilly Media, Inc."
Release Date : 2016-11-21
Head First Python written by Paul Barry and has been published by "O'Reilly Media, Inc." this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-11-21 with Computers categories.
Want to learn the Python language without slogging your way through how-to manuals? With Head First Python, you’ll quickly grasp Python’s fundamentals, working with the built-in data structures and functions. Then you’ll move on to building your very own webapp, exploring database management, exception handling, and data wrangling. If you’re intrigued by what you can do with context managers, decorators, comprehensions, and generators, it’s all here. This second edition is a complete learning experience that will help you become a bonafide Python programmer in no time. Why does this book look so different? Based on the latest research in cognitive science and learning theory, Head First Pythonuses a visually rich format to engage your mind, rather than a text-heavy approach that puts you to sleep. Why waste your time struggling with new concepts? This multi-sensory learning experience is designed for the way your brain really works.
Practical Automated Machine Learning On Azure
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Author : Deepak Mukunthu
language : en
Publisher: "O'Reilly Media, Inc."
Release Date : 2019-09-23
Practical Automated Machine Learning On Azure written by Deepak Mukunthu and has been published by "O'Reilly Media, Inc." this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-09-23 with Computers categories.
Develop smart applications without spending days and weeks building machine-learning models. With this practical book, you’ll learn how to apply automated machine learning (AutoML), a process that uses machine learning to help people build machine learning models. Deepak Mukunthu, Parashar Shah, and Wee Hyong Tok provide a mix of technical depth, hands-on examples, and case studies that show how customers are solving real-world problems with this technology. Building machine-learning models is an iterative and time-consuming process. Even those who know how to create ML models may be limited in how much they can explore. Once you complete this book, you’ll understand how to apply AutoML to your data right away. Learn how companies in different industries are benefiting from AutoML Get started with AutoML using Azure Explore aspects such as algorithm selection, auto featurization, and hyperparameter tuning Understand how data analysts, BI professions, developers can use AutoML in their familiar tools and experiences Learn how to get started using AutoML for use cases including classification, regression, and forecasting.
Deep Learning With Python
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Author : Francois Chollet
language : en
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
Release Date : 2017-11-30
Deep Learning With Python written by Francois Chollet and has been published by Simon and Schuster this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-11-30 with Computers categories.
Summary Deep Learning with Python introduces the field of deep learning using the Python language and the powerful Keras library. Written by Keras creator and Google AI researcher François Chollet, this book builds your understanding through intuitive explanations and practical examples. Purchase of the print book includes a free eBook in PDF, Kindle, and ePub formats from Manning Publications. About the Technology Machine learning has made remarkable progress in recent years. We went from near-unusable speech and image recognition, to near-human accuracy. We went from machines that couldn't beat a serious Go player, to defeating a world champion. Behind this progress is deep learning—a combination of engineering advances, best practices, and theory that enables a wealth of previously impossible smart applications. About the Book Deep Learning with Python introduces the field of deep learning using the Python language and the powerful Keras library. Written by Keras creator and Google AI researcher François Chollet, this book builds your understanding through intuitive explanations and practical examples. You'll explore challenging concepts and practice with applications in computer vision, natural-language processing, and generative models. By the time you finish, you'll have the knowledge and hands-on skills to apply deep learning in your own projects. What's Inside Deep learning from first principles Setting up your own deep-learning environment Image-classification models Deep learning for text and sequences Neural style transfer, text generation, and image generation About the Reader Readers need intermediate Python skills. No previous experience with Keras, TensorFlow, or machine learning is required. About the Author François Chollet works on deep learning at Google in Mountain View, CA. He is the creator of the Keras deep-learning library, as well as a contributor to the TensorFlow machine-learning framework. He also does deep-learning research, with a focus on computer vision and the application of machine learning to formal reasoning. His papers have been published at major conferences in the field, including the Conference on Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR), the Conference and Workshop on Neural Information Processing Systems (NIPS), the International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR), and others. Table of Contents PART 1 - FUNDAMENTALS OF DEEP LEARNING What is deep learning? Before we begin: the mathematical building blocks of neural networks Getting started with neural networks Fundamentals of machine learning PART 2 - DEEP LEARNING IN PRACTICE Deep learning for computer vision Deep learning for text and sequences Advanced deep-learning best practices Generative deep learning Conclusions appendix A - Installing Keras and its dependencies on Ubuntu appendix B - Running Jupyter notebooks on an EC2 GPU instance
Python Machine Learning By Example
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Author : Yuxi (Hayden) Liu
language : en
Publisher: Packt Publishing Ltd
Release Date : 2017-05-31
Python Machine Learning By Example written by Yuxi (Hayden) Liu and has been published by Packt Publishing Ltd this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-05-31 with Computers categories.
Take tiny steps to enter the big world of data science through this interesting guide About This Book Learn the fundamentals of machine learning and build your own intelligent applications Master the art of building your own machine learning systems with this example-based practical guide Work with important classification and regression algorithms and other machine learning techniques Who This Book Is For This book is for anyone interested in entering the data science stream with machine learning. Basic familiarity with Python is assumed. What You Will Learn Exploit the power of Python to handle data extraction, manipulation, and exploration techniques Use Python to visualize data spread across multiple dimensions and extract useful features Dive deep into the world of analytics to predict situations correctly Implement machine learning classification and regression algorithms from scratch in Python Be amazed to see the algorithms in action Evaluate the performance of a machine learning model and optimize it Solve interesting real-world problems using machine learning and Python as the journey unfolds In Detail Data science and machine learning are some of the top buzzwords in the technical world today. A resurging interest in machine learning is due to the same factors that have made data mining and Bayesian analysis more popular than ever. This book is your entry point to machine learning. This book starts with an introduction to machine learning and the Python language and shows you how to complete the setup. Moving ahead, you will learn all the important concepts such as, exploratory data analysis, data preprocessing, feature extraction, data visualization and clustering, classification, regression and model performance evaluation. With the help of various projects included, you will find it intriguing to acquire the mechanics of several important machine learning algorithms – they are no more obscure as they thought. Also, you will be guided step by step to build your own models from scratch. Toward the end, you will gather a broad picture of the machine learning ecosystem and best practices of applying machine learning techniques. Through this book, you will learn to tackle data-driven problems and implement your solutions with the powerful yet simple language, Python. Interesting and easy-to-follow examples, to name some, news topic classification, spam email detection, online ad click-through prediction, stock prices forecast, will keep you glued till you reach your goal. Style and approach This book is an enticing journey that starts from the very basics and gradually picks up pace as the story unfolds. Each concept is first succinctly defined in the larger context of things, followed by a detailed explanation of their application. Every concept is explained with the help of a project that solves a real-world problem, and involves hands-on work—giving you a deep insight into the world of machine learning. With simple yet rich language—Python—you will understand and be able to implement the examples with ease.