Time Series And Econometric Modelling
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The Econometric Analysis Of Time Series
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Author : Andrew C. Harvey
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 1990
The Econometric Analysis Of Time Series written by Andrew C. Harvey and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990 with Business & Economics categories.
The Econometric Analysis of Time Series focuses on the statistical aspects of model building, with an emphasis on providing an understanding of the main ideas and concepts in econometrics rather than presenting a series of rigorous proofs.
Forecasting Economic Time Series
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Author : C. W. J. Granger
language : en
Publisher: Academic Press
Release Date : 2014-05-10
Forecasting Economic Time Series written by C. W. J. Granger and has been published by Academic Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-05-10 with Business & Economics categories.
Economic Theory, Econometrics, and Mathematical Economics, Second Edition: Forecasting Economic Time Series presents the developments in time series analysis and forecasting theory and practice. This book discusses the application of time series procedures in mainstream economic theory and econometric model building. Organized into 10 chapters, this edition begins with an overview of the problem of dealing with time series possessing a deterministic seasonal component. This text then provides a description of time series in terms of models known as the time-domain approach. Other chapters consider an alternative approach, known as spectral or frequency-domain analysis, that often provides useful insights into the properties of a series. This book discusses as well a unified approach to the fitting of linear models to a given time series. The final chapter deals with the main advantage of having a Gaussian series wherein the optimal single series, least-squares forecast will be a linear forecast. This book is a valuable resource for economists.
Modelling Trends And Cycles In Economic Time Series
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Author : Terence C. Mills
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2021-07-29
Modelling Trends And Cycles In Economic Time Series written by Terence C. Mills and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-07-29 with Business & Economics categories.
Modelling trends and cycles in economic time series has a long history, with the use of linear trends and moving averages forming the basic tool kit of economists until the 1970s. Several developments in econometrics then led to an overhaul of the techniques used to extract trends and cycles from time series. In this second edition, Terence Mills expands on the research in the area of trends and cycles over the last (almost) two decades, to highlight to students and researchers the variety of techniques and the considerations that underpin their choice for modelling trends and cycles.
Econometric Modelling With Time Series
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Author : Vance Martin
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2013
Econometric Modelling With Time Series written by Vance Martin and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with Business & Economics categories.
"Maximum likelihood estimation is a general method for estimating the parameters of econometric models from observed data. The principle of maximum likelihood plays a central role in the exposition of this book, since a number of estimators used in econometrics can be derived within this framework. Examples include ordinary least squares, generalized least squares and full-information maximum likelihood. In deriving the maximum likelihood estimator, a key concept is the joint probability density function (pdf) of the observed random variables, yt. Maximum likelihood estimation requires that the following conditions are satisfied. (1) The form of the joint pdf of yt is known. (2) The specification of the moments of the joint pdf are known. (3) The joint pdf can be evaluated for all values of the parameters, 9. Parts ONE and TWO of this book deal with models in which all these conditions are satisfied. Part THREE investigates models in which these conditions are not satisfied and considers four important cases. First, if the distribution of yt is misspecified, resulting in both conditions 1 and 2 being violated, estimation is by quasi-maximum likelihood (Chapter 9). Second, if condition 1 is not satisfied, a generalized method of moments estimator (Chapter 10) is required. Third, if condition 2 is not satisfied, estimation relies on nonparametric methods (Chapter 11). Fourth, if condition 3 is violated, simulation-based estimation methods are used (Chapter 12). 1.2 Motivating Examples To highlight the role of probability distributions in maximum likelihood estimation, this section emphasizes the link between observed sample data and 4 The Maximum Likelihood Principle the probability distribution from which they are drawn"-- publisher.
Time Series Models
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Author : D.R. Cox
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2020-11-26
Time Series Models written by D.R. Cox and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-11-26 with Mathematics categories.
The analysis prediction and interpolation of economic and other time series has a long history and many applications. Major new developments are taking place, driven partly by the need to analyze financial data. The five papers in this book describe those new developments from various viewpoints and are intended to be an introduction accessible to readers from a range of backgrounds. The book arises out of the second Seminaire European de Statistique (SEMSTAT) held in Oxford in December 1994. This brought together young statisticians from across Europe, and a series of introductory lectures were given on topics at the forefront of current research activity. The lectures form the basis for the five papers contained in the book. The papers by Shephard and Johansen deal respectively with time series models for volatility, i.e. variance heterogeneity, and with cointegration. Clements and Hendry analyze the nature of prediction errors. A complementary review paper by Laird gives a biometrical view of the analysis of short time series. Finally Astrup and Nielsen give a mathematical introduction to the study of option pricing. Whilst the book draws its primary motivation from financial series and from multivariate econometric modelling, the applications are potentially much broader.
Applied Time Series Econometrics
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Author : Helmut Lütkepohl
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2004-08-02
Applied Time Series Econometrics written by Helmut Lütkepohl and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004-08-02 with Business & Economics categories.
Time series econometrics is a rapidly evolving field. Particularly, the cointegration revolution has had a substantial impact on applied analysis. Hence, no textbook has managed to cover the full range of methods in current use and explain how to proceed in applied domains. This gap in the literature motivates the present volume. The methods are sketched out, reminding the reader of the ideas underlying them and giving sufficient background for empirical work. The treatment can also be used as a textbook for a course on applied time series econometrics. Topics include: unit root and cointegration analysis, structural vector autoregressions, conditional heteroskedasticity and nonlinear and nonparametric time series models. Crucial to empirical work is the software that is available for analysis. New methodology is typically only gradually incorporated into existing software packages. Therefore a flexible Java interface has been created, allowing readers to replicate the applications and conduct their own analyses.
Multivariate Time Series Analysis
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Author : Ruey S. Tsay
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2013-11-11
Multivariate Time Series Analysis written by Ruey S. Tsay and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-11-11 with Mathematics categories.
An accessible guide to the multivariate time series tools used in numerous real-world applications Multivariate Time Series Analysis: With R and Financial Applications is the much anticipated sequel coming from one of the most influential and prominent experts on the topic of time series. Through a fundamental balance of theory and methodology, the book supplies readers with a comprehensible approach to financial econometric models and their applications to real-world empirical research. Differing from the traditional approach to multivariate time series, the book focuses on reader comprehension by emphasizing structural specification, which results in simplified parsimonious VAR MA modeling. Multivariate Time Series Analysis: With R and Financial Applications utilizes the freely available R software package to explore complex data and illustrate related computation and analyses. Featuring the techniques and methodology of multivariate linear time series, stationary VAR models, VAR MA time series and models, unitroot process, factor models, and factor-augmented VAR models, the book includes: • Over 300 examples and exercises to reinforce the presented content • User-friendly R subroutines and research presented throughout to demonstrate modern applications • Numerous datasets and subroutines to provide readers with a deeper understanding of the material Multivariate Time Series Analysis is an ideal textbook for graduate-level courses on time series and quantitative finance and upper-undergraduate level statistics courses in time series. The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers and practitioners in business, finance, and econometrics.
Modeling Financial Time Series With S Plus
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Author : Eric Zivot
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-11-11
Modeling Financial Time Series With S Plus written by Eric Zivot and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-11-11 with Business & Economics categories.
The field of financial econometrics has exploded over the last decade This book represents an integration of theory, methods, and examples using the S-PLUS statistical modeling language and the S+FinMetrics module to facilitate the practice of financial econometrics. This is the first book to show the power of S-PLUS for the analysis of time series data. It is written for researchers and practitioners in the finance industry, academic researchers in economics and finance, and advanced MBA and graduate students in economics and finance. Readers are assumed to have a basic knowledge of S-PLUS and a solid grounding in basic statistics and time series concepts. This Second Edition is updated to cover S+FinMetrics 2.0 and includes new chapters on copulas, nonlinear regime switching models, continuous-time financial models, generalized method of moments, semi-nonparametric conditional density models, and the efficient method of moments. Eric Zivot is an associate professor and Gary Waterman Distinguished Scholar in the Economics Department, and adjunct associate professor of finance in the Business School at the University of Washington. He regularly teaches courses on econometric theory, financial econometrics and time series econometrics, and is the recipient of the Henry T. Buechel Award for Outstanding Teaching. He is an associate editor of Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics. He has published papers in the leading econometrics journals, including Econometrica, Econometric Theory, the Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Journal of Econometrics, and the Review of Economics and Statistics. Jiahui Wang is an employee of Ronin Capital LLC. He received a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Washington in 1997. He has published in leading econometrics journals such as Econometrica and Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, and is the Principal Investigator of National Science Foundation SBIR grants. In 2002 Dr. Wang was selected as one of the "2000 Outstanding Scholars of the 21st Century" by International Biographical Centre.
The Econometric Modelling Of Financial Time Series
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Author : Terence C. Mills
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2008-03-20
The Econometric Modelling Of Financial Time Series written by Terence C. Mills and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-03-20 with Business & Economics categories.
Terence Mills' best-selling graduate textbook provides detailed coverage of research techniques and findings relating to the empirical analysis of financial markets. In its previous editions it has become required reading for many graduate courses on the econometrics of financial modelling. This third edition, co-authored with Raphael Markellos, contains a wealth of material reflecting the developments of the last decade. Particular attention is paid to the wide range of nonlinear models that are used to analyse financial data observed at high frequencies and to the long memory characteristics found in financial time series. The central material on unit root processes and the modelling of trends and structural breaks has been substantially expanded into a chapter of its own. There is also an extended discussion of the treatment of volatility, accompanied by a new chapter on nonlinearity and its testing.
Econometric Modeling With Matlab Multivariate Time Series Models
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Author : B. Noriega
language : en
Publisher: Independently Published
Release Date : 2019-03-06
Econometric Modeling With Matlab Multivariate Time Series Models written by B. Noriega and has been published by Independently Published this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-03-06 with Mathematics categories.
Econometrics Toolbox provides functions for modeling economic data. You can select and estimate economic models for simulation and forecasting. For time series modeling and analysis, the toolbox includes univariate Bayesian linear regression, univariate ARIMAX/GARCH composite models with several GARCH variants, multivariate VARX models, and cointegration analysis. It also provides methods for modeling economic systems using state-space models and for estimating using the Kalman filte. You can use a variety of diagnostics for model selection, including hypothesis tests, unit root, stationarity, and structural change.The more important topics in this book are the next: -"Vector Autoregression (VAR) Models" -"Multivariate Time Series Data Structures" -"Multivariate Time Series Model Creation" -"VAR Model Estimation" -"Convert VARMA Model to VAR Model" -"Fit VAR Model of CPI and Unemployment Rate" -"Fit VAR Model to Simulated Data" -"VAR Model Forecasting, Simulation, and Analysis" -"Generate VAR Model Impulse Responses" -"Compare Generalized and Orthogonalized Impulse Response Functions"-"Forecast VAR Model"-"Forecast VAR Model Using Monte Carlo Simulation" -"Forecast VAR Model Conditional Responses"-"Multivariate Time Series Models with Regression Terms" -"Implement Seemingly Unrelated Regression" -"Estimate Capital Asset Pricing Model Using SUR" -"Simulate Responses of Estimated VARX Model"-"Simulate VAR Model Conditional Responses" -"Simulate Responses Using filter -"VAR Model Case Study" -"Cointegration and Error Correction Analysis" -"Determine Cointegration Rank of VEC Model" -"Identifying Single Cointegrating Relations"-"Test for Cointegration Using the Engle-Granger Test" -"Estimate VEC Model Parameters Using egcitest"-"VEC Model Monte Carlo Forecasts" -"Generate VEC Model Impulse Responses" -"Identifying Multiple Cointegrating Relations" -"Test for Cointegration Using the Johansen Test" -"Estimate VEC Model Parameters Using jcitest" -"Compare Approaches to Cointegration Analysis" -"Testing Cointegrating Vectors and Adjustment Speeds" -"Test Cointegrating Vectors" -"Test Adjustment Speeds"