Time Series Models
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Time Series Models For Business And Economic Forecasting
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Author : Philip Hans Franses
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1998-10-15
Time Series Models For Business And Economic Forecasting written by Philip Hans Franses and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-10-15 with Business & Economics categories.
The econometric analysis of economic and business time series is a major field of research and application. The last few decades have witnessed an increasing interest in both theoretical and empirical developments in constructing time series models and in their important application in forecasting. In Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting, Philip Franses examines recent developments in time series analysis. The early parts of the book focus on the typical features of time series data in business and economics. Part III is concerned with the discussion of some important concepts in time series analysis, the discussion focuses on the techniques which can be readily applied in practice. Parts IV-VIII suggest different modeling methods and model structures. Part IX extends the concepts in chapter three to multivariate time series. Part X examines common aspects across time series.
Time Series Analysis
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Author : William W. S. Wei
language : en
Publisher: Addison-Wesley Longman
Release Date : 2006
Time Series Analysis written by William W. S. Wei and has been published by Addison-Wesley Longman this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with Mathematics categories.
With its broad coverage of methodology, this comprehensive book is a useful learning and reference tool for those in applied sciences where analysis and research of time series is useful. Its plentiful examples show the operational details and purpose of a variety of univariate and multivariate time series methods. Numerous figures, tables and real-life time series data sets illustrate the models and methods useful for analyzing, modeling, and forecasting data collected sequentially in time. The text also offers a balanced treatment between theory and applications. Overview. Fundamental Concepts. Stationary Time Series Models. Nonstationary Time Series Models. Forecasting. Model Identification. Parameter Estimation, Diagnostic Checking, and Model Selection. Seasonal Time Series Models. Testing for a Unit Root. Intervention Analysis and Outlier Detection. Fourier Analysis. Spectral Theory of Stationary Processes. Estimation of the Spectrum. Transfer Function Models. Time Series Regression and GARCH Models. Vector Time Series Models. More on Vector Time Series. State Space Models and the Kalman Filter. Long Memory and Nonlinear Processes. Aggregation and Systematic Sampling in Time Series. For all readers interested in time series analysis.
Time Series Analysis And Forecasting By Example
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Author : Søren Bisgaard
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2011-08-24
Time Series Analysis And Forecasting By Example written by Søren Bisgaard and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-08-24 with Mathematics categories.
An intuition-based approach enables you to master time series analysis with ease Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Example provides the fundamental techniques in time series analysis using various examples. By introducing necessary theory through examples that showcase the discussed topics, the authors successfully help readers develop an intuitive understanding of seemingly complicated time series models and their implications. The book presents methodologies for time series analysis in a simplified, example-based approach. Using graphics, the authors discuss each presented example in detail and explain the relevant theory while also focusing on the interpretation of results in data analysis. Following a discussion of why autocorrelation is often observed when data is collected in time, subsequent chapters explore related topics, including: Graphical tools in time series analysis Procedures for developing stationary, non-stationary, and seasonal models How to choose the best time series model Constant term and cancellation of terms in ARIMA models Forecasting using transfer function-noise models The final chapter is dedicated to key topics such as spurious relationships, autocorrelation in regression, and multiple time series. Throughout the book, real-world examples illustrate step-by-step procedures and instructions using statistical software packages such as SAS, JMP, Minitab, SCA, and R. A related Web site features PowerPoint slides to accompany each chapter as well as the book's data sets. With its extensive use of graphics and examples to explain key concepts, Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Example is an excellent book for courses on time series analysis at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. it also serves as a valuable resource for practitioners and researchers who carry out data and time series analysis in the fields of engineering, business, and economics.
An Introduction To State Space Time Series Analysis
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Author : Jacques J. F. Commandeur
language : en
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Release Date : 2007-07-19
An Introduction To State Space Time Series Analysis written by Jacques J. F. Commandeur and has been published by OUP Oxford this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-07-19 with Business & Economics categories.
Providing a practical introduction to state space methods as applied to unobserved components time series models, also known as structural time series models, this book introduces time series analysis using state space methodology to readers who are neither familiar with time series analysis, nor with state space methods. The only background required in order to understand the material presented in the book is a basic knowledge of classical linear regression models, of which a brief review is provided to refresh the reader's knowledge. Also, a few sections assume familiarity with matrix algebra, however, these sections may be skipped without losing the flow of the exposition. The book offers a step by step approach to the analysis of the salient features in time series such as the trend, seasonal, and irregular components. Practical problems such as forecasting and missing values are treated in some detail. This useful book will appeal to practitioners and researchers who use time series on a daily basis in areas such as the social sciences, quantitative history, biology and medicine. It also serves as an accompanying textbook for a basic time series course in econometrics and statistics, typically at an advanced undergraduate level or graduate level.
Time Series Models
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Author : Manfred Deistler
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2022-10-21
Time Series Models written by Manfred Deistler and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-10-21 with Mathematics categories.
This textbook provides a self-contained presentation of the theory and models of time series analysis. Putting an emphasis on weakly stationary processes and linear dynamic models, it describes the basic concepts, ideas, methods and results in a mathematically well-founded form and includes numerous examples and exercises. The first part presents the theory of weakly stationary processes in time and frequency domain, including prediction and filtering. The second part deals with multivariate AR, ARMA and state space models, which are the most important model classes for stationary processes, and addresses the structure of AR, ARMA and state space systems, Yule-Walker equations, factorization of rational spectral densities and Kalman filtering. Finally, there is a discussion of Granger causality, linear dynamic factor models and (G)ARCH models. The book provides a solid basis for advanced mathematics students and researchers in fields such as data-driven modeling, forecasting and filtering, which are important in statistics, control engineering, financial mathematics, econometrics and signal processing, among other subjects.
Time Series Models
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Author : Andrew C. Harvey
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press (MA)
Release Date : 1993
Time Series Models written by Andrew C. Harvey and has been published by MIT Press (MA) this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993 with Business & Economics categories.
companion volume to Andrew Harvey's highly successful Econometric Analysis of Time Series, focusing on the estimation, testing, and specification of both univariate and multivariate time series models.
Forecasting Structural Time Series Models And The Kalman Filter
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Author : Andrew C. Harvey
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1990
Forecasting Structural Time Series Models And The Kalman Filter written by Andrew C. Harvey and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990 with Business & Economics categories.
A synthesis of concepts and materials, that ordinarily appear separately in time series and econometrics literature, presents a comprehensive review of theoretical and applied concepts in modeling economic and social time series.
Bayesian Time Series Models
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Author : David Barber
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2011-08-11
Bayesian Time Series Models written by David Barber and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-08-11 with Computers categories.
The first unified treatment of time series modelling techniques spanning machine learning, statistics, engineering and computer science.
Periodic Time Series Models
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Author : Philip Hans Franses
language : en
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Release Date : 2004-03-25
Periodic Time Series Models written by Philip Hans Franses and has been published by OUP Oxford this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004-03-25 with Business & Economics categories.
This book considers periodic time series models for seasonal data, characterized by parameters that differ across the seasons, and focuses on their usefulness for out-of-sample forecasting. Providing an up-to-date survey of the recent developments in periodic time series, the book presents a large number of empirical results. The first part of the book deals with model selection, diagnostic checking and forecasting of univariate periodic autoregressive models. Tests for periodic integration, are discussed, and an extensive discussion of the role of deterministic regressors in testing for periodic integration and in forecasting is provided. The second part discusses multivariate periodic autoregressive models. It provides an overview of periodic cointegration models, as these are the most relevant. This overview contains single-equation type tests and a full-system approach based on generalized method of moments. All methods are illustrated with extensive examples, and the book will be of interest to advanced graduate students and researchers in econometrics, as well as practitioners looking for an understanding of how to approach seasonal data.
Forecasting Structural Time Series Models And The Kalman Filter
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Author : Andrew C. Harvey
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1990-02-22
Forecasting Structural Time Series Models And The Kalman Filter written by Andrew C. Harvey and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990-02-22 with Business & Economics categories.
In this book, Andrew Harvey sets out to provide a unified and comprehensive theory of structural time series models. Unlike the traditional ARIMA models, structural time series models consist explicitly of unobserved components, such as trends and seasonals, which have a direct interpretation. As a result the model selection methodology associated with structural models is much closer to econometric methodology. The link with econometrics is made even closer by the natural way in which the models can be extended to include explanatory variables and to cope with multivariate time series. From the technical point of view, state space models and the Kalman filter play a key role in the statistical treatment of structural time series models. The book includes a detailed treatment of the Kalman filter. This technique was originally developed in control engineering, but is becoming increasingly important in fields such as economics and operations research. This book is concerned primarily with modelling economic and social time series, and with addressing the special problems which the treatment of such series poses. The properties of the models and the methodological techniques used to select them are illustrated with various applications. These range from the modellling of trends and cycles in US macroeconomic time series to to an evaluation of the effects of seat belt legislation in the UK.