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Uncertainty And Quality In Science For Policy

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Uncertainty And Quality In Science For Policy

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Author : S.O. Funtowicz
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 1990-10-31

Uncertainty And Quality In Science For Policy written by S.O. Funtowicz and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990-10-31 with Social Science categories.

This book explains the notational system NUSAP (Numeral, Unit, Spread, Assessment, Pedigree) and applies it to several examples from the environmental sciences. The authors are now making further extensions of NUSAP, including an algorithm for the propagation of quality-grades through models used in risk and safety studies. They are also developing the concept of `Post-normal Science', in which quality assurance of information requires the participation of `extended peer-communities' lying outside the traditional expertise.

Uncertainty And Quality In Science For Policy

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Author : S.O. Funtowicz
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06

60 -I 137.0~29 ERROR BARS • tONE (1" \ \ \ 4\0 \ \ E \ a. a. \ Z30 \ 137.0388 \ 0 137.0377 \ ~ \ ~20 \ \ 0 to 0 '50 Fig.1. Successive recommended values of the fine-structure constand IX-I (B. N. Taylor et 01., 1969,7) reminder that the value is not fully accepted by colleagues, since they will expect it to jump about for a while longer. Our next example is taken from a recent study in the social sciences. It shows how a set of related estimates of uncertainty can be expressed clearly and effectively by NUSAP. Suppose that we wish to forecast what the future price of a basic commodity might be, especially when at the moment its price is artificially maintained by a cartel of producers. There is no experimental evidence on such a future contingency, and yet we are not completely in the dark. There is a long history of expertise in the field; and there is a well-tried standard model by which experts' guesses can be translated into mathematical form.

Uncertainty And Quality In Science For Policy

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Author : S.O. Funtowicz
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2011-10-18

Uncertainty And Quality In Science For Policy written by S.O. Funtowicz and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-10-18 with Social Science categories.

Experts In Uncertainty

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Author : Roger M. Cooke
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 1991-10-24

Experts In Uncertainty written by Roger M. Cooke and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991-10-24 with Science categories.

This book is an extensive survey and critical examination of the literature on the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making. The elicitation, representation, and use of expert opinion is increasingly important for two reasons: advancing technology leads to more and more complex decision problems, and technologists are turning in greater numbers to "expert systems" and other similar artifacts of artificial intelligence. Cooke here considers how expert opinion is being used today, how an expert's uncertainty is or should be represented, how people do or should reason with uncertainty, how the quality and usefulness of expert opinion can be assessed, and how the views of several experts might be combined. He argues for the importance of developing practical models with a transparent mathematic foundation for the use of expert opinion in science, and presents three tested models, termed "classical," "Bayesian," and "psychological scaling." Detailed case studies illustrate how they can be applied to a diversity of real problems in engineering and planning.

Communicating Uncertainty

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Author : Sharon M. Friedman
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2012-10-12

Communicating Uncertainty written by Sharon M. Friedman and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-10-12 with Language Arts & Disciplines categories.

Exploring the interactions that swirl around scientific uncertainty and its coverage by the mass media, this volume breaks new ground by looking at these issues from three different perspectives: that of communication scholars who have studied uncertainty in a number of ways; that of science journalists who have covered these issues; and that of scientists who have been actively involved in researching uncertain science and talking to reporters about it. In particular, Communicating Uncertainty examines how well the mass media convey to the public the complexities, ambiguities, and controversies that are part of scientific uncertainty. In addition to its new approach to scientific uncertainty and mass media interactions, this book distinguishes itself in the quality of work it assembles by some of the best known science communication scholars in the world. This volume continues the exploration of interactions between scientists and journalists that the three coeditors first documented in their highly successful volume, Scientists and Journalists: Reporting Science as News, which was used for many years as a text in science journalism courses around the world.

Science For Policy Handbook

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Author : Vladimir Sucha
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2020-07-15

Science For Policy Handbook written by Vladimir Sucha and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-07-15 with Business & Economics categories.

Science for Policy Handbook provides advice on how to bring science to the attention of policymakers. This resource is dedicated to researchers and research organizations aiming to achieve policy impacts. The book includes lessons learned along the way, advice on new skills, practices for individual researchers, elements necessary for institutional change, and knowledge areas and processes in which to invest. It puts co-creation at the centre of Science for Policy 2.0, a more integrated model of knowledge-policy relationship.

Scientific Methods For The Treatment Of Uncertainty In Social Sciences

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Author : Jaime Gil-Aluja
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2015-06-17

Scientific Methods For The Treatment Of Uncertainty In Social Sciences written by Jaime Gil-Aluja and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-06-17 with Technology & Engineering categories.

This book is a collection of selected papers presented at the SIGEF conference, held at the Faculty of Economics and Business of the University of Girona (Spain), 06-08 July, 2015. This edition of the conference has been presented with the slogan “Scientific methods for the treatment of uncertainty in social sciences”. There are different ways for dealing with uncertainty in management. The book focuses on soft computing theories and their role in assessing uncertainty in a complex world. It gives a comprehensive overview of quantitative management topics and discusses some of the most recent developments in all the areas of business and management in soft computing including Decision Making, Expert Systems and Forgotten Effects Theory, Forecasting Models, Fuzzy Logic and Fuzzy Sets, Modelling and Simulation Techniques, Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms and Optimization and Control. The book might be of great interest for anyone working in the area of management and business economics and might be especially useful for scientists and graduate students doing research in these fields.

The Politics Of Scientific Advice

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Author : Justus Lentsch
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2011-06-02

The Politics Of Scientific Advice written by Justus Lentsch and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-06-02 with Political Science categories.

Controversies over issues such as genetically engineered food, foot-and-mouth disease and the failure of risk models in the global financial crisis have raised concerns about the quality of expert scientific advice. The legitimacy of experts, and of the political decision-makers and policy-makers whom they advise, essentially depends on the quality of the advice. But what does quality mean in this context, and how can it be achieved? This volume argues that the quality of scientific advice can be ensured by an appropriate institutional design of advisory organisations. Using examples from a wide range of international case studies, including think tanks, governmental research institutes, agencies and academies, the authors provide a systematic guide to the major problems and pitfalls encountered in scientific advice and the means by which organisations around the world have solved these problems.

Error And Uncertainty In Scientific Practice

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Author : Marcel Boumans
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2015-10-06

Error And Uncertainty In Scientific Practice written by Marcel Boumans and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-10-06 with History categories.

Assessment of error and uncertainty is a vital component of both natural and social science. This edited volume presents case studies of research practices across a wide spectrum of scientific fields. It compares methodologies and presents the ingredients needed for an overarching framework applicable to all.

Biosafety First

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Author : Terje Traavik
language : en
Publisher: Fagbokforlaget
Release Date : 2007

Biosafety First written by Terje Traavik and has been published by Fagbokforlaget this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Nature categories.

The challenges for risk identification, assessment and management posed by genetic engineering and genetically modified organisms are some of the most demanding issues facing many countries and societies today. The evolving field of biosafety has developed in response to these challenges. BIOSAFETY FIRST is a stimulating collection of the latest thinking concerning biosafety science. It is a unique work as its approach to biosafety is holistic, encompassing not only the scientific, but also the socio-economic, cultural, policy and regulatory spheres. It does not claim to give all the answers, but acknowledges the issues and points to the uncertainties and knowledge gaps that still need to be addressed. Drawing on the new scientific field of gene ecology, and advocating a precautionary approach, this book provides a foundation on which countries can start to openly and responsibly appraise these new technologies and their products.

Uncertainty And Quality In Science For Policy

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