Uncertainty Modeling
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Modeling Uncertainty In The Earth Sciences
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Author : Jef Caers
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2011-05-25
Modeling Uncertainty In The Earth Sciences written by Jef Caers and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-05-25 with Science categories.
Modeling Uncertainty in the Earth Sciences highlights the various issues, techniques and practical modeling tools available for modeling the uncertainty of complex Earth systems and the impact that it has on practical situations. The aim of the book is to provide an introductory overview which covers a broad range of tried-and-tested tools. Descriptions of concepts, philosophies, challenges, methodologies and workflows give the reader an understanding of the best way to make decisions under uncertainty for Earth Science problems. The book covers key issues such as: Spatial and time aspect; large complexity and dimensionality; computation power; costs of 'engineering' the Earth; uncertainty in the modeling and decision process. Focusing on reliable and practical methods this book provides an invaluable primer for the complex area of decision making with uncertainty in the Earth Sciences.
Uncertainty
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Author : William Briggs
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2016-07-15
Uncertainty written by William Briggs and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-07-15 with Mathematics categories.
This book presents a philosophical approach to probability and probabilistic thinking, considering the underpinnings of probabilistic reasoning and modeling, which effectively underlie everything in data science. The ultimate goal is to call into question many standard tenets and lay the philosophical and probabilistic groundwork and infrastructure for statistical modeling. It is the first book devoted to the philosophy of data aimed at working scientists and calls for a new consideration in the practice of probability and statistics to eliminate what has been referred to as the "Cult of Statistical Significance." The book explains the philosophy of these ideas and not the mathematics, though there are a handful of mathematical examples. The topics are logically laid out, starting with basic philosophy as related to probability, statistics, and science, and stepping through the key probabilistic ideas and concepts, and ending with statistical models. Its jargon-free approach asserts that standard methods, such as out-of-the-box regression, cannot help in discovering cause. This new way of looking at uncertainty ties together disparate fields — probability, physics, biology, the “soft” sciences, computer science — because each aims at discovering cause (of effects). It broadens the understanding beyond frequentist and Bayesian methods to propose a Third Way of modeling.
Modeling Uncertainty With Fuzzy Logic
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Author : Asli Celikyilmaz
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2009-04-08
Modeling Uncertainty With Fuzzy Logic written by Asli Celikyilmaz and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-04-08 with Computers categories.
The world we live in is pervaded with uncertainty and imprecision. Is it likely to rain this afternoon? Should I take an umbrella with me? Will I be able to find parking near the campus? Should I go by bus? Such simple questions are a c- mon occurrence in our daily lives. Less simple examples: What is the probability that the price of oil will rise sharply in the near future? Should I buy Chevron stock? What are the chances that a bailout of GM, Ford and Chrysler will not s- ceed? What will be the consequences? Note that the examples in question involve both uncertainty and imprecision. In the real world, this is the norm rather than exception. There is a deep-seated tradition in science of employing probability theory, and only probability theory, to deal with uncertainty and imprecision. The mon- oly of probability theory came to an end when fuzzy logic made its debut. H- ever, this is by no means a widely accepted view. The belief persists, especially within the probability community, that probability theory is all that is needed to deal with uncertainty. To quote a prominent Bayesian, Professor Dennis Lindley, “The only satisfactory description of uncertainty is probability.
Uncertainty Modeling
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Author : Vladik Kreinovich
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-01-31
Uncertainty Modeling written by Vladik Kreinovich and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-01-31 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book commemorates the 65th birthday of Dr. Boris Kovalerchuk, and reflects many of the research areas covered by his work. It focuses on data processing under uncertainty, especially fuzzy data processing, when uncertainty comes from the imprecision of expert opinions. The book includes 17 authoritative contributions by leading experts.
Uncertainty Modeling And Analysis In Civil Engineering
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Author : Bilal M. Ayyub
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 1997-12-29
Uncertainty Modeling And Analysis In Civil Engineering written by Bilal M. Ayyub and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997-12-29 with Technology & Engineering categories.
With the expansion of new technologies, materials, and the design of complex systems, the expectations of society upon engineers are becoming larger than ever. Engineers make critical decisions with potentially high adverse consequences. The current political, societal, and financial climate requires engineers to formally consider the factors of uncertainty (e.g., floods, earthquakes, winds, environmental risks) in their decisions at all levels. Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Civil Engineering provides a thorough report on the immediate state of uncertainty modeling and analytical methods for civil engineering systems, presenting a toolbox for solving problems in real-world situations. Topics include Neural networks Genetic algorithms Numerical modeling Fuzzy sets and operations Reliability and risk analysis Systems control Uncertainty in probability estimates This compendium is a considerable reference for civil engineers as well as for engineers in other disciplines, computer scientists, general scientists, and students.
Uncertainty Modeling And Decision Making In Geotechnics
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Author : Kok-Kwang Phoon
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2023-12-11
Uncertainty Modeling And Decision Making In Geotechnics written by Kok-Kwang Phoon and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-12-11 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Uncertainty, Modeling, and Decision Making in Geotechnics shows how uncertainty quantification and numerical modeling can complement each other to enhance decision-making in geotechnical practice, filling a critical gap in guiding practitioners to address uncertainties directly. The book helps practitioners acquire a working knowledge of geotechnical risk and reliability methods and guides them to use these methods wisely in conjunction with data and numerical modeling. In particular, it provides guidance on the selection of realistic statistics and a cost-effective, accessible method to address different design objectives, and for different problem settings, and illustrates the value of this to decision-making using realistic examples. Bringing together statistical characterization, reliability analysis, reliability-based design, probabilistic inverse analysis, and physical insights drawn from case studies, this reference guide from an international team of experts offers an excellent resource for state-of-the-practice uncertainty-informed geotechnical design for specialist practitioners and the research community.
Uncertainty Modeling In Knowledge Engineering And Decision Making
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Author :
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2012
Uncertainty Modeling In Knowledge Engineering And Decision Making written by and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012 with Computers categories.
FLINS, originally an acronym for Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Technologies in Nuclear Science, is now extended to Computational Intelligence for applied research. The contributions to the 10th of FLINS conference cover state-of-the-art research, development, and technology for computational intelligence systems, both from the foundations and the applications points-of-view. Sample Chapter(s). Foreword (55 KB). Evaluation of Manufacturing Technology of Photovoltaic Cells (124 KB). Contents: Decision Making and Decision Support Systems; Uncertainty Modeling; Foundations of Computational Intelligence; Statistics, Data Analysis and Data Mining; Intelligent Information Processing; Productivity and Reliability; Applied Research. Readership: Graduate students, researchers, and academics in artificial intelligence/machine learning, information management, decision sciences, databases/information sciences and fuzzy logic.
Mathematics Of Uncertainty Modeling In The Analysis Of Engineering And Science Problems
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Author : Chakraverty, S.
language : en
Publisher: IGI Global
Release Date : 2014-01-31
Mathematics Of Uncertainty Modeling In The Analysis Of Engineering And Science Problems written by Chakraverty, S. and has been published by IGI Global this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-01-31 with Mathematics categories.
"This book provides the reader with basic concepts for soft computing and other methods for various means of uncertainty in handling solutions, analysis, and applications"--Provided by publisher.
Uncertainty Theory
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Author : Baoding Liu
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2004
Uncertainty Theory written by Baoding Liu and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with Business & Economics categories.
"This book provides a self-contained, comprehensive and up-to-date presentation of uncertainty theory. The main purpose is to equip the readers with an axiomatic approach to deal with uncertainty. Mathematicians, researchers, engineers, designers and students in the field of applied mathematics, operations research, statistics, industrial engineering, information science and management science will find this work a useful reference."--BOOK JACKET. Title Summary field provided by Blackwell North America, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Applied Research In Uncertainty Modeling And Analysis
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Author : Bilal M. Ayyub
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2007-12-29
Applied Research In Uncertainty Modeling And Analysis written by Bilal M. Ayyub and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-12-29 with Business & Economics categories.
The application areas of uncertainty are numerous and diverse, including all fields of engineering, computer science, systems control and finance. Determining appropriate ways and methods of dealing with uncertainty has been a constant challenge. The theme for this book is better understanding and the application of uncertainty theories. This book, with invited chapters, deals with the uncertainty phenomena in diverse fields. The book is an outgrowth of the Fourth International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis (ISUMA), which was held at the center of Adult Education, College Park, Maryland, in September 2003. All of the chapters have been carefully edited, following a review process in which the editorial committee scrutinized each chapter. The contents of the book are reported in twenty-three chapters, covering more than . . ... pages. This book is divided into six main sections. Part I (Chapters 1-4) presents the philosophical and theoretical foundation of uncertainty, new computational directions in neural networks, and some theoretical foundation of fuzzy systems. Part I1 (Chapters 5-8) reports on biomedical and chemical engineering applications. The sections looks at noise reduction techniques using hidden Markov models, evaluation of biomedical signals using neural networks, and changes in medical image detection using Markov Random Field and Mean Field theory. One of the chapters reports on optimization in chemical engineering processes.