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Unveiling The Effects Of Foreign Exchange Intervention


Unveiling The Effects Of Foreign Exchange Intervention
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Unveiling The Effects Of Foreign Exchange Intervention


Unveiling The Effects Of Foreign Exchange Intervention
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Author : Gustavo Adler
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2015-06-23

Unveiling The Effects Of Foreign Exchange Intervention written by Gustavo Adler and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-06-23 with Business & Economics categories.


We study the effect of foreign exchange intervention on the exchange rate relying on an instrumental-variables panel approach. We find robust evidence that intervention affects the level of the exchange rate in an economically meaningful way. A purchase of foreign currency of 1 percentage point of GDP causes a depreciation of the nominal and real exchange rates in the ranges of [1.7-2.0] percent and [1.4-1.7] percent respectively. The effects are found to be quite persistent. The paper also explores possible asymmetric effects, and whether effectiveness depends on the depth of domestic financial markets.



Macroeconomic Impact Of Foreign Exchange Intervention Some Cross Country Empirical Findings


Macroeconomic Impact Of Foreign Exchange Intervention Some Cross Country Empirical Findings
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Author : Mr. Zhongxia Jin
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-04-30

Macroeconomic Impact Of Foreign Exchange Intervention Some Cross Country Empirical Findings written by Mr. Zhongxia Jin and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-04-30 with Business & Economics categories.


Based on VAR analyses across 26 countries, we show that, although foreign exchange intervention (FXI) is effective in stabilizing the nominal exchange rate in the short run, its impacts on the real exchange rate are less significant: Limitations on nominal exchange rate flexibility may induce adjustments to the real exchange rate through domestic prices. We find that countries that intervene more heavily in response to external shocks experience greater general and asset price volatility, which is not conducive to countering the impact of external shocks. We show that China’s macroeconomic responses to external shocks are broadly consistent with international experiences among intervening countries. The simple methodological framework adopted in this paper is meant to examine a broad set of macroeconomic variables and bears limitations; our findings serve to motivate more structural analysis on FXI’s macroeconomic impacts going forward.



Foreign Exchange Intervention


Foreign Exchange Intervention
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Author : Gustavo Adler
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2011-07-01

Foreign Exchange Intervention written by Gustavo Adler and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-07-01 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper examines foreign exchange intervention practices and their effectiveness using a new qualitative and quantitative database for a panel of 15 economies covering 2004 - 10, with special focus on Latin America. Qualitatively, it examines institutional aspects such as declared motives, instruments employed, the use of rules versus discretion, and the degree of transparency. Quantitatively, it assesses the effectiveness of sterilized interventions in influencing the exchange rate using a two-stage IV-panel data approach to overcome endogeneity bias. Results suggest that interventions slow the pace of appreciation, but the effects decrease rapidly with the degree of capital account openness. At the same time, interventions are more effective in the context of already ?overvalued' exchange rates.



Foreign Exchange Intervention A Dataset Of Public Data And Proxies


Foreign Exchange Intervention A Dataset Of Public Data And Proxies
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Author : Gustavo Adler
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-02-19

Foreign Exchange Intervention A Dataset Of Public Data And Proxies written by Gustavo Adler and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-02-19 with Business & Economics categories.


Foreign exchange intervention (FXI) is a highly debated topic. Yet, comprehensive and comparable data on FXI is hard to find. This paper provides a new dataset of FXI covering a large number of countries over the period 2000-20 at monthly and quarterly frequencies. It includes publicly available data for about 40 countries and carefully constructed proxies for 122 countries. Proxies are focused on both spot and derivative transactions that alter the central bank’s foreign currency position and account for a wide range of central bank operations, including vis-à-vis residents, the first proxy to do so to our knowledge. The paper discusses the merits of the new proxy relative to coarser measures traditionally used like the change in reserves, and potential definitional differences with published data. The paper also presents stylized facts using our newly constructed FXI proxies.



The Cost Of Foreign Exchange Intervention


The Cost Of Foreign Exchange Intervention
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Author : Gustavo Adler
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-04-12

The Cost Of Foreign Exchange Intervention written by Gustavo Adler and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-04-12 with Business & Economics categories.


The accumulation of large foreign asset positions by many central banks through sustained foreign exchange (FX) intervention has raised questions about its associated fiscal costs. This paper clarifies conceptual issues regarding how to measure these costs both from an ex-post and an ex-ante (relevant for decision making) perspective, and estimates both marginal and total costs for 73 countries over the period 2002-13. We find ex-ante marginal costs for the median emerging market economy (EME) in the inter-quartile range of 2-5.5 percent per year; while ex-ante total costs (of sustaining FX positions) in the range of 0.2-0.7 percent of GDP per year for light interveners and 0.3-1.2 percent of GDP per year for heavy interveners. These estimates indicate that fiscal costs of sustained FX intervention (via expanding central bank balance sheets) are not negligible.



Fx Intervention To Stabilize Or Manipulate The Exchange Rate Inference From Profitability


Fx Intervention To Stabilize Or Manipulate The Exchange Rate Inference From Profitability
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Author : Mr.Damiano Sandri
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2020-06-12

Fx Intervention To Stabilize Or Manipulate The Exchange Rate Inference From Profitability written by Mr.Damiano Sandri and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-06-12 with Business & Economics categories.


We analyze the profitability of FX swaps used by the central bank of Brazil to shed light on the rationale for FX intervention. We find that swaps are profitable in expectation, suggesting that FX intervention is used to stabilize the exchange rate in the face of temporary excessive movements rather than to manipulate it away from fundamental values. In line with this interpretation, we find that the scale of FX intervention responds to the degree of exchange rate misalignment relative to UIP conditions. We also document that intervention is more aggressive when there is less uncertainty about the medium-term level of the exchange rate and when the exchange rate is overvalued rather than undervalued.



Foreign Exchange Intervention Under Policy Uncertainty


Foreign Exchange Intervention Under Policy Uncertainty
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Author : Gustavo Adler
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-03-17

Foreign Exchange Intervention Under Policy Uncertainty written by Gustavo Adler and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-03-17 with Business & Economics categories.


We study the use of foreign exchange (FX) intervention as an additional policy instrument in an environment with learning, where agents infer the central bank policy rules from its policy actions. Under full information, a central bank focused on stabilizing output and inflation can achieve better outcomes by using FX intervention as an additional policy tool. Under policy uncertainty, where agents perceive that monetary policy may also have exchange rate stabilization goals, the use of FX intervention entails a trade-off, reducing output volatility while increasing inflation volatility. While having an additional policy tool is always beneficial, we find that the optimal magnitude of intervention is higher in monetary policy regimes with lower uncertainty. These results indicate that the benefits of using FX intervention as an additional stabilization tool are greater in regimes where monetary policy is credibly focused on output and inflation stabilization.



Floating With A Load Of Fx Debt


Floating With A Load Of Fx Debt
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Author : Tatsiana Kliatskova
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2015-12-30

Floating With A Load Of Fx Debt written by Tatsiana Kliatskova and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-12-30 with Business & Economics categories.


Countries with de jure floating exchange rate regimes are often reluctant to allow their currencies to float freely in practice. One reason why countries may wish to limit exchange rate volatility is potential negative balance sheet effects due to currency mismatches on the balance sheets of firms and households. In this paper, we show in a sample of 15 emerging market economies that countries with large foreign exchange (FX) debt in the non-financial private sector tend to react more strongly to exchange rate changes using both FX interventions and monetary policy. Thus, our results support the idea that an important source of “fear of floating” is balance sheet currency mismatches. This effect is asymmetric; that is, countries stem depreciation but not appreciation pressure. Moreover, FX debt financed through the domestic banking system is more important for fear of floating than FX debt obtained directly from external sources.



Exchange Rate Swings And Foreign Currency Intervention


Exchange Rate Swings And Foreign Currency Intervention
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Author : Andrew Filardo
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2022-07-29

Exchange Rate Swings And Foreign Currency Intervention written by Andrew Filardo and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-07-29 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper develops a new approach for exploring the effectiveness of foreign currency intervention, focusing on real exchange cycles. Using band spectrum regression methods, it examines the role of macroeconomic fundamentals in determining the equilibrium real exchange rate at short-, medium-, and low frequencies. Next, it assesses the effectiveness of FX intervention depending on the degree of cycle-specific misalignments for 26 advanced- and emerging market economies, covering the period 1990–2018, and using different techniques to mitigate endogeneity concerns. Evidence supports the hypothesis that central banks can lean effectively against short-run cyclical misalignments of the real exchange rate. The effects are present in quarterly data—i.e., at policy-relevant horizons. The effectiveness of intervention rises with the size of the misalignment, and with the duration of one-sided interventions. FX sales appear to be somewhat more effective than FX purchases, and intervention is less effective in more liquid FX markets.



Renminbi From Marketization To Internationalization


Renminbi From Marketization To Internationalization
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Author : Zhongxia Jin
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2022-05-12

Renminbi From Marketization To Internationalization written by Zhongxia Jin and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-05-12 with Business & Economics categories.


This study looks into the significance of a floating exchange rate regime, further development of the foreign exchange derivatives market, and concurrent internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB) for a resilient, open, and growing Chinese economy. The first chapter analyzes the macroeconomic impact of foreign exchange intervention based on empirical studies on 26 economies, explaining why most countries favor a floating exchange rate regime under the existing international monetary system. The second chapter discusses the macroeconomic and microeconomic conditions that would facilitate a successful transition to a floating exchange rate. The final two chapters discuss the importance of further developing the foreign exchange derivatives market in China and explores paths toward further opening-up of the capital market and internationalization of the RMB under a floating exchange rate. Based on the authors’ decades of reflections and systematic analysis on real cases both in China and abroad, the title sheds lights on China’s exchange rate issues and research on exchange rate policy. This book will be an essential reference for scholars, students, professionals, and policymakers interested in exchange rate, currency internationalization, the financial market, especially the derivatives market, and the Chinese economy.