Where Should We Go Internet Searches And Tourist Arrivals
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Where Should We Go Internet Searches And Tourist Arrivals
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Author : Mr.Serhan Cevik
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2020-01-31
Where Should We Go Internet Searches And Tourist Arrivals written by Mr.Serhan Cevik and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-01-31 with Business & Economics categories.
The widespread availability of internet search data is a new source of high-frequency information that can potentially improve the precision of macroeconomic forecasting, especially in areas with data constraints. This paper investigates whether travel-related online search queries enhance accuracy in the forecasting of tourist arrivals to The Bahamas from the U.S. The results indicate that the forecast model incorporating internet search data provides additional information about tourist flows over a univariate approach using the traditional autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and multivariate models with macroeconomic indicators. The Google Trends-augmented model improves predictability of tourist arrivals by about 30 percent compared to the benchmark ARIMA model and more than 20 percent compared to the model extended only with income and relative prices.
Supporting Post Covid 19 Economic Recovery In Southeast Asia
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Author : Asian Development Bank
language : en
Publisher: Asian Development Bank
Release Date : 2022-05-01
Supporting Post Covid 19 Economic Recovery In Southeast Asia written by Asian Development Bank and has been published by Asian Development Bank this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-05-01 with Medical categories.
This report identifies well-established sectors needing transformation or improvement (tourism, agro-processing, and garments), along with evolving sectors with high potential for growth (electronics and digital trade) as Southeast Asian countries hammer out policies to boost post-COVID-19 recovery and secure a greener future. The first in a four-part series, the report looks at the pandemic’s impact on these five sectors across Cambodia, Indonesia, Myanmar, the Philippines and Thailand. It identifies reforms and strategies to help core industries recover and grow over the medium term. This report underscores how deepening regional cooperation can help policy makers boost their countries’ COVID-19 recovery and build more resilient economies and societies.
Modeling And Forecasting Monthly Tourism Arrivals To Aruba Since Covid 19 Pandemic
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Author : Olga Bespalova
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2022-11-11
Modeling And Forecasting Monthly Tourism Arrivals To Aruba Since Covid 19 Pandemic written by Olga Bespalova and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-11-11 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper improves short-term forecasting models of monthly tourism arrivals by estimating and evaluating a time-series model with exogenous regressors (ARIMA-X) using a case of Aruba, a small open tourism-dependent economy. Given importance of the US market for Aruba, it investigates informational value of Google Searches originating in the USA, flight capacity utilization on the US air-carriers, and per capita demand of the US consumers, given the volatility index in stock markets (VIX). It yields several insights. First, flight capacity is the best variable to account for the travel restrictions during the pandemic. Second, US real personal consumption expenditure becomes a more significnat predictor than income as the former better captured impact of the COVID-19 restrictions on the consumers’ behavior, while income boosted by the pandemic fiscal support was not fully directed to spending. Third, intercept correction improves the model in the estimation period. Finally, the pandemic changed econometric relationships between the tourism arrivals and their main determinants, and accuracy of the forecast models. Going forward, the analysts should re-estimate the models. Out-of-sample forecasts with 5 percent confidence intervals are produced for 18 months ahead.
Panel Nowcasting For Countries Whose Quarterly Gdps Are Unavailable
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Author : Omer Faruk Akbal
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2023-08-04
Panel Nowcasting For Countries Whose Quarterly Gdps Are Unavailable written by Omer Faruk Akbal and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-08-04 with Business & Economics categories.
Quarterly GDP statistics facilitate timely economic assessment, but the availability of such data are limited for more than 60 developing economies, including about 20 countries in sub-Saharan Africa as well as more than two-thirds of fragile and conflict-affected states. To address this limited data availablity, this paper proposes a panel approach that utilizes a statistical relationship estimated from countries where data are available, to estimate quarterly GDP statistics for countries that do not publish such statistics by leveraging the indicators readily available for many countries. This framework demonstrates potential, especially when applied for similar country groups, and could provide valuable real-time insights into economic conditions supported by empirical evidence.
Panama
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2020-04-21
Panama written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-04-21 with Business & Economics categories.
This Selected Issues paper focuses on background, challenges, and policy options in Panama. Panama stands at a crossroad between taking the leap to become an advanced economy or getting stuck in the middle-income trap. The beginning of a new administration provides a window of opportunity to initiate and implement ambitious reforms. This note takes stock of fiscal issues in Panama and proposes policy options. The new administration’s fiscal agenda should feature a comprehensive reform of tax and customs administrations, a review of tax incentives and exemptions and consider steps toward a broader tax policy reform. Efforts to further strengthen the fiscal framework with the appointment of the members of the Fiscal Council should continue going forward. Panama should adopt best practice fiscal accounting and reporting methods. A comprehensive assessment and management of fiscal risks is necessary to create buffers and safeguard public finances given fiscal policy’s exclusive stabilization role.
Youthxchange Training Kit On Responsible Consumption For Africa
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Author : Martinez-Roca, Carme
language : en
Publisher: UNESCO Publishing
Release Date : 2017-12-31
Youthxchange Training Kit On Responsible Consumption For Africa written by Martinez-Roca, Carme and has been published by UNESCO Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-12-31 with categories.
Student Traveller Let S Explore The Amazing Of The World
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Author : Muhammad Navy Akbar Perdana, dkk
language : en
Publisher: CV Jejak (Jejak Publisher)
Release Date : 2023-08-02
Student Traveller Let S Explore The Amazing Of The World written by Muhammad Navy Akbar Perdana, dkk and has been published by CV Jejak (Jejak Publisher) this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-08-02 with Antiques & Collectibles categories.
"Student Traveler: Let's Explore The Amazing World" invites readers to join the group of high school students from Taruna Nusantara in an exhilarating holiday adventure. This captivating book recounts their extraordinary journey as they embark on an unforgettable expedition, venturing further than ever before. As the story unfolds, the students embark on thrilling adventures, driven by their enthusiasm to explore the uncharted. They learn about the traditions, languages, and histories of various parts of the world. Their thirst for knowledge and adventure transcends their limits. Determined to broaden their horizons, the Taruna Nusantara students embark on an international expedition. They traverse continents, experiencing the wonders of different countries and witnessing the beauty of our global community firsthand. In their quest to learn about ancient civilizations, the students encounter a kaleidoscope of cultures and traditions. As they venture deeper, the students face challenges that test their resilience, teamwork, and adaptability. Language barriers, cultural differences, and unforeseen circumstances become opportunities for growth and self-discovery. The Expedition of Adventurous Minds" not only depicts the excitement of the journey but also emphasizes the importance of education, personal development, and global citizenship. It highlights the transformative power of stepping out of one's comfort zone and encourages readers to embrace diversity, cultivate cultural understanding, and embark on their journey of self-discovery.
Ellen Hart Presents Malice Domestic 15 Mystery Most Theatrical
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Author : Anne Louise Bannon
language : en
Publisher: Wildside Press LLC
Release Date : 2020-10-02
Ellen Hart Presents Malice Domestic 15 Mystery Most Theatrical written by Anne Louise Bannon and has been published by Wildside Press LLC this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-10-02 with Fiction categories.
The Malice Domestic anthology series returns with a new take on mysteries in the Agatha Christie tradition—original tales with a theatrical bent! Included are: Preface, by Ellen Hart The Rock Star, by Frances Aylor Perfectly Awry, by Anne Louise Bannon The Ghost in Balcony B, by Michele Bazan Reed Drama-Rama Flip Flop, by Cindy Brown It’s Not O.K. Corral, by M. E. Browning Mary-Alice Imagines Her Life as a Movie, by Karen Cantwell The Ghost of Hamnet, by R. M. Chastleton When the Wind is Southerly, by Leone Ciporin Raising Cain, by Carla Coupe Death of Another Hero, by Susan Daly The Stars Are Fire, by Phillip DePoy Death Plays the Palace, by Margaret Dumas The Homicidal Understudy, by Elizabeth Elwood No Final Act, by Daryl Wood Gerber Deus Ex Machina, by B. J. Graf The Nine Deaths in Hamlet?, by A. P. Jamison Heat Wave, by Maureen Jennings Thus With a Kiss, by Margaret Lucke Such Tricks As These, by Jaquelyn Lyman-Thomas Final Curtain, by Sharon Lynn The Mask, by Cheryl Marceau The Ultimate Tie-Breaker, by Deborah Maxey True Crime, by Adam Meyer A Star Goes Dark, by Raquel V. Reyes Not Your Lolita, by Merrilee Robson A Death in Shubert Alley, by Lee Sauer Dance on Fire, by Shawn Reilly Simmons Missed Cue, by Lynn Slaughter You Know How Actresses Are, by C. M. Surrisi Five Words, by Elaine Togneri Ask Fred the Usher, by Arthur Vidro Death Takes a Bow, by Mo Walsh Deal With the Devil, by James Lincoln Warren Method for Murder, by Carol L. Wright
Ancestry Magazine
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2003-01
Ancestry Magazine written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-01 with categories.
Ancestry magazine focuses on genealogy for today’s family historian, with tips for using Ancestry.com, advice from family history experts, and success stories from genealogists across the globe. Regular features include “Found!” by Megan Smolenyak, reader-submitted heritage recipes, Howard Wolinsky’s tech-driven “NextGen,” feature articles, a timeline, how-to tips for Family Tree Maker, and insider insight to new tools and records at Ancestry.com. Ancestry magazine is published 6 times yearly by Ancestry Inc., parent company of Ancestry.com.
Travel Tips
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Author : Ian Usher
language : en
Publisher: Wider Vision Publishing
Release Date :
Travel Tips written by Ian Usher and has been published by Wider Vision Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with categories.
