A Method Of Projecting Mortality Rates
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A Method Of Projecting Mortality Rates Based On Postwar International Experience
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Author : Arthur A. Campbell
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1958
A Method Of Projecting Mortality Rates Based On Postwar International Experience written by Arthur A. Campbell and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1958 with Mortality categories.
A Method Of Projecting Mortality Rates
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Author : Etats-Unis. Census bureau
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1958
A Method Of Projecting Mortality Rates written by Etats-Unis. Census bureau and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1958 with categories.
The Out Of Sample Performance Of Stochastic Methods In Forecasting Age Specific Mortality Rates
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Author : Javier Meseguer
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2008
The Out Of Sample Performance Of Stochastic Methods In Forecasting Age Specific Mortality Rates written by Javier Meseguer and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Mortality categories.
Old And New Perspectives On Mortality Forecasting
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Author : Tommy Bengtsson
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2019-03-28
Old And New Perspectives On Mortality Forecasting written by Tommy Bengtsson and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-03-28 with Social Science categories.
This open access book describes methods of mortality forecasting and discusses possible improvements. It contains a selection of previously unpublished and published papers, which together provide a state-of-the-art overview of statistical approaches as well as behavioural and biological perspectives. The different parts of the book provide discussions of current practice, probabilistic forecasting, the linearity in the increase of life expectancy, causes of death, and the role of cohort factors. The key question in the book is whether it is possible to project future mortality accurately, and if so, what is the best approach. This makes the book a valuable read to demographers, pension planners, actuaries, and all those interested and/or working in modelling and forecasting mortality.
Forecasting Mortality In Developed Countries
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Author : E. Tabeau
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2006-04-11
Forecasting Mortality In Developed Countries written by E. Tabeau and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-04-11 with Social Science categories.
Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe. In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality.
Modeling Shifting Mortality And Its Applications
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Author : Futoshi Ishii
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2023-07-31
Modeling Shifting Mortality And Its Applications written by Futoshi Ishii and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-07-31 with Social Science categories.
This book describes a novel method for mortality modeling applying the shifting feature of the mortality curve. In Japan, the increase and pace of the extension in life expectancy have been quite remarkable. Therefore, existing mortality models often cannot capture the peculiarities of Japanese mortality, nor can the Lee–Carter model, which is now regarded internationally as a standard model. One of the important concepts to model recent Japanese mortality is a shifting feature. In this book, the linear difference model, which has many advantages for modeling and analyzing Japanese mortality, is introduced. The book shows applications of the model to mortality projection with a tangent vector field approach and decomposition of the change of modal age at death. The models introduced here are useful tools for modeling mortality with strong shifting features, as in Japan.
Mortality On The Move
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Author : Bernard Benjamin
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1993
Mortality On The Move written by Bernard Benjamin and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993 with Life expectancy categories.
State And Local Population Projections
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Author : Stanley K. Smith
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2005-12-21
State And Local Population Projections written by Stanley K. Smith and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-12-21 with Social Science categories.
The initial plans for this book sprang from a late-afternoon conversation in a hotel bar. All three authors were attending the 1996 meeting of the Population As- ciation of America in New Orleans. While nursing drinks and expounding on a variety of topics, we began talking about our current research projects. It so happened that all three of us had been entertaining the notion of writing a book on state and local population projections. Recognizing the enormity of the project for a single author, we quickly decided to collaborate. Had we not decided to work together, it is unlikely that this book ever would have been written. The last comprehensive treatment of state and local population projections was Don Pittenger’s excellent work Projecting State and Local Populations (1976). Many changes affecting the production of population projections have occurred since that time. Technological changes have led to vast increases in computing power, new data sources, the development of GIS, and the creation of the Internet. The procedures for applying a number of projection methods have changed considerably, and several completely new methods have been developed.
Developments In Demographic Forecasting
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Author : Stefano Mazzuco
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-09-28
Developments In Demographic Forecasting written by Stefano Mazzuco and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-09-28 with Social Science categories.
This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting, covering both mortality, fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to forecast them are presented. Moreover, instruments for forecasting evaluation are provided. Bayesian models, nonparametric models, cohort approaches, elicitation of expert opinion, evaluation of probabilistic forecasts are some of the topics covered in the book. In addition, the book is accompanied by complementary material on the web allowing readers to practice with some of the ideas exposed in the book. Readers are encouraged to use this material to apply the new methods to their own data. The book is an important read for demographers, applied statisticians, as well as other social scientists interested or active in the field of population forecasting. Professional population forecasters in statistical agencies will find useful new ideas in various chapters.
A Method Of Projecting Mortality Rates Based On Postwar International Experience
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AUDIOBOOK
Author : Arthur A. Campbell
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1958
A Method Of Projecting Mortality Rates Based On Postwar International Experience written by Arthur A. Campbell and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1958 with Mortality categories.
