Avoid A Fall Or Fly Again Turning Points Of State Fragility


Avoid A Fall Or Fly Again Turning Points Of State Fragility
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Avoid A Fall Or Fly Again Turning Points Of State Fragility


Avoid A Fall Or Fly Again Turning Points Of State Fragility
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Author : Olusegun Ayodele Akanbi
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-05-06

Avoid A Fall Or Fly Again Turning Points Of State Fragility written by Olusegun Ayodele Akanbi and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-05-06 with Business & Economics categories.


High persistence of state fragility (a fragility trap) suggests the presence of substantial benefits from avoiding a fall into fragility and considerable hurdles to successful exit from fragility. This paper empirically examines the factors that affect the turning points of entering and exiting from state fragility by employing three different approaches: an event study, the synthetic control method, and a logit model. We find that avoiding economic contraction is critical to prevent a country on the brink of fragility from falling into fragility (e.g., among near fragile countries, the probability of entering fragility would rise by 40 percentage points should real GDP per capita growth decline from +2.5 percent to -2.5 percent). Also, strengthening government effectiveness together with increasing political inclusion and maintaining robust economic activity should help make exit from fragility more successful and sustainable. In the current environment (the COVID-19 crisis and its aftermath), the findings suggest the importance of providing well-directed fiscal stimulus with sufficient financing, (subject to appropriate governance safeguards and well-designed policies), and protecting critical socio-economic spending to keep vulnerable countries away from being caught in a fragility trap.



Handbook Of Fragile States


Handbook Of Fragile States
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Author : David Carment
language : en
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Release Date : 2023-08-14

Handbook Of Fragile States written by David Carment and has been published by Edward Elgar Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-08-14 with Political Science categories.


This timely Handbook examines the causes, costs and consequences of state fragility, advancing key debates in the field. Demonstrating the multidimensionality of fragility by applying diverse theories and methodologies, it provides new insights on effective policy development and application in the context of fragile states.



Staff Guidance Note On The Implementation Of The Imf Strategy For Fragile And Conflict Affected States Fcs


Staff Guidance Note On The Implementation Of The Imf Strategy For Fragile And Conflict Affected States Fcs
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Author : International Monetary
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2023-03-22

Staff Guidance Note On The Implementation Of The Imf Strategy For Fragile And Conflict Affected States Fcs written by International Monetary and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-03-22 with categories.


This note provides operational advice and information to help staff implement the IMF Strategy for Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCS) approved by the Executive Board on March 9, 2022. Topics covered include (i) the new IMF FCS classification methodology, which is aligned with that of the World Bank; (ii) the preparation of Country Engagement Strategies (CES) that will be rolled out across FCS to ensure that Fund engagement is appropriately tailored to country-specific manifestations of fragility and/or conflict; (iii) advice on tailoring the thematic focus of Article IV consultations and Fund analytics to FCS, as well as on the prioritization, design, and implementation of capacity development (CD) projects in fragile contexts; (iv) guidance on making full use of the flexibilities of the lending toolkit; (v) guidance on engaging in specific FCS situations, including building accountable institutions to exit fragility, cases of rising fragility risks, active conflict, post-conflict, and addressing the impact of external shocks and spillovers; and (v) strengthening partnerships with humanitarian, development, and peace actors, in accordance with the Fund's mandate. Dedicated annexes provide additional information on the CES process, addressing good governance in FCS, program design, and country examples of Fund engagement in FCS.



Mali


Mali
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Author : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2023-06-14

Mali written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-06-14 with Business & Economics categories.


Mali: Selected Issues



Zimbabwe 2022 Article Iv Consultation Press Release Staff Report And Statement By The Executive Director For Zimbabwe


Zimbabwe 2022 Article Iv Consultation Press Release Staff Report And Statement By The Executive Director For Zimbabwe
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Author : International Monetary
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2022-04-08

Zimbabwe 2022 Article Iv Consultation Press Release Staff Report And Statement By The Executive Director For Zimbabwe written by International Monetary and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-04-08 with Business & Economics categories.


Zimbabwe experienced severe exogenous shocks (cyclone Idai, protracted drought, and the COVID-19 pandemic) during 2019-20, which along with policy missteps in 2019, led to a deep recession and high inflation. Real GDP contracted cumulatively by 11.7 percent during 2019-20 and inflation reached 837 percent (y/y) by July 2020. Reflecting good rainfall and relaxation of containment measures, real GDP rose by 6.3 percent in 2021. A tighter policy stance since mid-2020 (relative to 2019) has contributed to reducing inflation to 60.7 percent (y/y) at end-2021. However, high double-digit inflation and wide parallel foreign exchange (FX) market premia persist. The economic downturn and high inflation increased the financial system vulnerabilities. Extreme poverty has risen and about a third of the population is at risk of food insecurity. The international community seeks improvements in domestic political conditions and economic policies to initiate reengagement with Zimbabwe. The authorities have started token payments to external creditors in a bid to revive international reengagement.



Krizlerin Sosyoekonomik Etkileri Lke Ve Sekt R Al Malar


Krizlerin Sosyoekonomik Etkileri Lke Ve Sekt R Al Malar
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Author : Meltem OKUR DİNÇSOY
language : tr
Publisher: Efe Akademi Yayınları
Release Date : 2022-05-11

Krizlerin Sosyoekonomik Etkileri Lke Ve Sekt R Al Malar written by Meltem OKUR DİNÇSOY and has been published by Efe Akademi Yayınları this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-05-11 with Business & Economics categories.


Hakkında: Bu çalışmada krizlerin dünya ekonomi tarihindeki yerini farklı disiplinler açısından değerlendirmeye çalışılmıştır. Dünya krizler tarihine bakıldığı zaman çıkış sebepleriyle yarattığı etki bakımından her bir krizin farklı bir özelliğe sahip olduğu görülmektedir. Literatürde krizlerle ilgili yapılan çalışmaların zaman zaman döneme odaklandığını zaman zaman ise sektörel bir bakış açısının ön plana çıktığı görülmektedir. Bu çalışmada literatürde oluşan kavramsal yaklaşımların hem süreç analizlerini hem de güncel olayları kapsayıcı bir boyutta toplamaya çalışılmıştır. Bu perspektifte bir takım spesifik sektörlerin krizlerden etkilenmelerini analiz ederken diğer bir perspektiften de dünya tarihine geçmiş, 1929 Buhranı, Petrol şoku, 2008 Küresel Finans krizi gibi krizlerin analizlerine de yer verilmiştir.



Twitter And Tear Gas


Twitter And Tear Gas
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Author : Zeynep Tufekci
language : en
Publisher: Yale University Press
Release Date : 2017-05-16

Twitter And Tear Gas written by Zeynep Tufekci and has been published by Yale University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-05-16 with Computers categories.


A firsthand account and incisive analysis of modern protest, revealing internet-fueled social movements’ greatest strengths and frequent challenges To understand a thwarted Turkish coup, an anti–Wall Street encampment, and a packed Tahrir Square, we must first comprehend the power and the weaknesses of using new technologies to mobilize large numbers of people. An incisive observer, writer, and participant in today’s social movements, Zeynep Tufekci explains in this accessible and compelling book the nuanced trajectories of modern protests—how they form, how they operate differently from past protests, and why they have difficulty persisting in their long-term quests for change. Tufekci speaks from direct experience, combining on-the-ground interviews with insightful analysis. She describes how the internet helped the Zapatista uprisings in Mexico, the necessity of remote Twitter users to organize medical supplies during Arab Spring, the refusal to use bullhorns in the Occupy Movement that started in New York, and the empowering effect of tear gas in Istanbul’s Gezi Park. These details from life inside social movements complete a moving investigation of authority, technology, and culture—and offer essential insights into the future of governance.



Lord Of The Flies


Lord Of The Flies
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Author : William Golding
language : en
Publisher: Faber & Faber
Release Date : 2012-09-20

Lord Of The Flies written by William Golding and has been published by Faber & Faber this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-09-20 with Fiction categories.


A plane crashes on a desert island and the only survivors, a group of schoolboys, assemble on the beach and wait to be rescued. By day they inhabit a land of bright fantastic birds and dark blue seas, but at night their dreams are haunted by the image of a terrifying beast. As the boys' delicate sense of order fades, so their childish dreams are transformed into something more primitive, and their behaviour starts to take on a murderous, savage significance. First published in 1954, Lord of the Flies is one of the most celebrated and widely read of modern classics. Now fully revised and updated, this educational edition includes chapter summaries, comprehension questions, discussion points, classroom activities, a biographical profile of Golding, historical context relevant to the novel and an essay on Lord of the Flies by William Golding entitled 'Fable'. Aimed at Key Stage 3 and 4 students, it also includes a section on literary theory for advanced or A-level students. The educational edition encourages original and independent thinking while guiding the student through the text - ideal for use in the classroom and at home.



Global Trends 2040


Global Trends 2040
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Author : National Intelligence Council
language : en
Publisher: Cosimo Reports
Release Date : 2021-03

Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and has been published by Cosimo Reports this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-03 with categories.


"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.



Conflict And Fragility Do No Harm International Support For Statebuilding


Conflict And Fragility Do No Harm International Support For Statebuilding
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Author : OECD
language : en
Publisher: OECD Publishing
Release Date : 2009-12-24

Conflict And Fragility Do No Harm International Support For Statebuilding written by OECD and has been published by OECD Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-12-24 with categories.


Based on comparative case studies of Afghanistan, Bolivia, Democratic Republic of Congo, Nepal, Rwanda, and Sierra Leone, this book addresses how the interventions of OECD countries may risk undermining positive statebuilding processes, and makes recommendations as to how this may be avoided.