Economic And Fiscal Impacts Of Disasters In The Pacific
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Economic And Fiscal Impacts Of Disasters In The Pacific
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Author : Asian Development Bank
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2018-04
Economic And Fiscal Impacts Of Disasters In The Pacific written by Asian Development Bank and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-04 with Business & Economics categories.
Pacific island countries need to build their fiscal and economic resilience to climate change and natural disasters as these have lasting consequences on their livelihoods, economies, and fiscal balances. Climate change and natural disasters can have lasting consequences on livelihoods, economies, and fiscal balances-spanning immediate reconstruction costs and fiscal shocks to long-term halts in tourism and agriculture economies. Globally, the most exposed to these impacts are the Pacific island countries. The Asian Development Bank is working closely with its Pacific developing member countries to prepare for and respond to the effects of climate change and natural hazards. This publication examines the often-overlooked dimension of resilience planning-how to brace economies for shocks caused by climate change and hazard events. It analyzes the exposure and vulnerability of Pacific economies to disaster events and outlines key resources for building fiscal and economic resilience.
The Economic Impact Of Natural Disasters In Pacific Island Countries Adaptation And Preparedness
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Author : Dongyeol Lee
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2018-05-10
The Economic Impact Of Natural Disasters In Pacific Island Countries Adaptation And Preparedness written by Dongyeol Lee and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-05-10 with Nature categories.
Pacific island countries are highly vulnerable to various natural disasters which are destructive, unpredictable and occur frequently. The frequency and scale of these shocks heightens the importance of medium-term economic and fiscal planning to minimize the adverse impact of disasters on economic development. This paper identifies the intensity of natural disasters for each country in the Pacific based on the distribution of damage and population affected by disasters, and estimates the impact of disasters on economic growth and international trade using a panel regression. The results show that “severe” disasters have a significant and negative impact on economic growth and lead to a deterioration of the fiscal and trade balance. We also find that the negative impact on growth is stronger for more intense disasters. Going further this paper proposes a simple and consistent method to adjust IMF staff’s economic projections and debt sustainability analysis for disaster shocks for the Pacific islands. Better incorporating the economic impact of natural disasters in the medium- and long-term economic planning would help policy makers improve fiscal policy decisions and to be better adapted and prepared for natural disasters.
Enhancing Macroeconomic Resilience To Natural Disasters And Climate Change In The Small States Of The Pacific
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Author : Ezequiel Cabezon
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2015-06-19
Enhancing Macroeconomic Resilience To Natural Disasters And Climate Change In The Small States Of The Pacific written by Ezequiel Cabezon and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-06-19 with Nature categories.
Natural disasters and climate change are interrelated macro-critical issues affecting all Pacific small states to varying degrees. In addition to their devastating human costs, these events damage growth prospects and worsen countries’ fiscal positions. This is the first cross-country IMF study assessing the impact of natural disasters on growth in the Pacific islands as a group. A panel VAR analysis suggests that, for damage and losses equivalent to 1 percent of GDP, growth drops by 0.7 percentage point in the year of the disaster. We also find that, during 1980-2014, trend growth was 0.7 percentage point lower than it would have been without natural disasters. The paper also discusses a multi-pillar framework to enhance resilience to natural disasters at the national, regional, and multilateral levels and the importance of enhancing countries’ risk-management capacities. It highlights how this approach can provide a more strategic and less ad hoc framework for strengthening both ex ante and ex post resilience and what role the IMF can play.
A Possible Approach To Fiscal Rules In Small Islands Incorporating Natural Disasters And Climate Change
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Author : Ryota Nakatani
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2019-09-06
A Possible Approach To Fiscal Rules In Small Islands Incorporating Natural Disasters And Climate Change written by Ryota Nakatani and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-09-06 with Business & Economics categories.
A big challenge for the economic development of small island countries is dealing with external shocks. The Pacific Islands are vulnerable to natural disasters, climate change, commodity price changes, and uncertain donor grants. The question that arises is how should small developing countries formulate a fiscal policy to achieve economic stability and fiscal sustainability when prone to various shocks? We study how natural disasters affect long-term debt dynamics and propose fiscal policy rules that could help insulate the economy from such unexpected shocks. We propose fiscal rules to address these shocks and uncertainties using the example of Papua New Guinea. Our study finds the advantages of expenditure rules, especially a recurrent expenditure rule based on non-resource and non-grant revenue, interdependently determined by government debt and budget balance targets with expected disaster shocks. This paper contributes to the literature and policy dialogue by theoretically analyzing the impact of natural disasters on debt sustainability and proposing fiscal rules against natural disasters and climate changes. Our fiscal policy framework is practically applicable for many developing countries facing increasing frequency and impact of natural disasters and climate change. Our rules-based fiscal framework is crucial for sustainable and countercyclical macroeconomic policies to build resilience against devastating natural hazards.
Fiscal Buffers For Natural Disasters In Pacific Island Countries
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Author : Hidetaka Nishizawa
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2019-07-12
Fiscal Buffers For Natural Disasters In Pacific Island Countries written by Hidetaka Nishizawa and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-07-12 with Nature categories.
Pacific island countries (PICs) are vulnerable severe natural disasters, especially cyclones, inflicting large losses on their economies. In the aftermath of disasters, PIC governments face revenue losses and spending pressures to address post-disaster relief and recovery efforts. This paper estimates the effects of severe natural disasters on fiscal revenues and expenditure in PICs. These are combined with information on the frequency of large disasters to calculate the rate of budgetary savings needed to build appropriate fiscal buffers. Fiscal buffers provide self-insurance against natural disaster shocks and facilitate quick disbursement for recovery and relief efforts, and protection of spending on essential services and infrastructure. The estimates can provide a benchmark for policymakers, and should be adjusted to take into account other sources of financing, as well as budget risks from less severe as well as more frequent disasters.
Understanding The Economic And Financial Impacts Of Natural Disasters
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Author : Charlotte Benson
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 2004
Understanding The Economic And Financial Impacts Of Natural Disasters written by Charlotte Benson and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with categories.
Excerpt Resilience And Growth In The Small States Of The Pacific
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Author : Hoe Ee Khor
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-04-07
Excerpt Resilience And Growth In The Small States Of The Pacific written by Hoe Ee Khor and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-04-07 with Nature categories.
This is a prepublication excerpt of Resilience and Growth in the Small States of the Pacific.
Understanding The Economic And Financial Impacts Of Natural Disasters
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Author : Charlotte Benson
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 2004
Understanding The Economic And Financial Impacts Of Natural Disasters written by Charlotte Benson and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with Disaster relief categories.
Disaster prevention and mitigation are integral to development activities. In February 2000, the World Bank's Disaster Management Facility initiated a three-year study on the economic and financial consequences of natural disasters with the support of the U.K. Department for International Development.
Fiscal Policies To Address Climate Change In Asia And The Pacific
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Author : Ms.Era Dabla-Norris
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-03-24
Fiscal Policies To Address Climate Change In Asia And The Pacific written by Ms.Era Dabla-Norris and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-03-24 with Business & Economics categories.
Climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing policymakers worldwide, and the stakes are particularly high for Asia and the Pacific. This paper analyzes how fiscal policy can address challenges from climate change in Asia and the Pacific. It aims to answer how policymakers can best promote mitigation, adaptation, and the transition to a low-carbon economy, emphasizing the economic and social implications of reforms, potential policy trade-offs, and country circumstances. The recommendations are grounded in quantitative analysis using country-specific estimates, and granular household, industry, and firm-level data.
Governance Risk And Financial Impact Of Mega Disasters
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Author : Akiko Kamesaka
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2019-12-03
Governance Risk And Financial Impact Of Mega Disasters written by Akiko Kamesaka and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-12-03 with Business & Economics categories.
This book addresses researchers, practitioners, and policy makers interested in understanding the financial implications of mega-disaster risks as well as in seeking possible solutions with regard to governance, the allocation of financial risk, and resilience. The first part of this book takes the example of Japan and studies the impact of mega earthquakes on government finance, debt positions of private household and businesses, capital markets, and investor behavior by way of economic modeling as well as case studies from recent major disasters. In Japan, the probability of a mega earthquake hitting dense agglomerations is very high. Like other large-scale natural disasters, such events carry systemic risks, i.e., they can trigger disruptions endangering the stability of the social, economic, and political order. The second part looks at the experience of the Japanese government as a provider of disaster-risk finance and an active partner in international collaboration. It concludeswith an analysis of the general characteristics of systemic risk and approaches to improve resilience.