Probability And The Art Of Judgment
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Probability And The Art Of Judgment
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Author : Richard C. Jeffrey
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1992-03-27
Probability And The Art Of Judgment written by Richard C. Jeffrey and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992-03-27 with Mathematics categories.
Spanning a period of 35 years, this collection of essays includes some of the classic works of one of the most distinquished and influential philosophers working in the field of decision theory and the theory of knowledge.
Probability And The Art Of Judgment
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Author : Richard Jeffrey
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1992-03-27
Probability And The Art Of Judgment written by Richard Jeffrey and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992-03-27 with Science categories.
Richard Jeffrey is beyond dispute one of the most distinguished and influential philosophers working in the field of decision theory and the theory of knowledge. His work is distinctive in showing the interplay of epistemological concerns with probability and utility theory. Not only has he made use of standard probabilistic and decision theoretic tools to clarify concepts of evidential support and informed choice, he has also proposed significant modifications of the standard Bayesian position in order that it provide a better fit with actual human experience. Probability logic is viewed not as a source of judgment but as a framework for explaining the implications of probabilistic judgments and their mutual compatability This collection of essays spans a period of some 35 years and includes what have become some of the classic works in the literature. There is also one completely new piece, while in many instances Jeffrey includes afterthoughts on the older essays.
Probability
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Author : D.H. Mellor
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2004-03-01
Probability written by D.H. Mellor and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004-03-01 with Philosophy categories.
Probability: A Philosophical Introduction introduces and explains the principal concepts and applications of probability. It is intended for philosophers and others who want to understand probability as we all apply it in our working and everyday lives. The book is not a course in mathematical probability, of which it uses only the simplest results, and avoids all needless technicality. The role of probability in modern theories of knowledge, inference, induction, causation, laws of nature, action and decision-making makes an understanding of it especially important to philosophers and students of philosophy, to whom this book will be invaluable both as a textbook and a work of reference. In this book D. H. Mellor discusses the three basic kinds of probability – physical, epistemic, and subjective – and introduces and assesses the main theories and interpretations of them. The topics and concepts covered include: * chance * frequency * possibility * propensity * credence * confirmation * Bayesianism. Probability: A Philosophical Introduction is essential reading for all philosophy students and others who encounter or need to apply ideas of probability.
Judgment Under Uncertainty
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Author : Daniel Kahneman
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1982-04-30
Judgment Under Uncertainty written by Daniel Kahneman and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1982-04-30 with Psychology categories.
Thirty-five chapters describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce, not only in laboratory experiments, but in important social, medical, and political situations as well. Most review multiple studies or entire subareas rather than describing single experimental studies.
Induction And Deduction In The Sciences
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Author : Friedrich Stadler
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2004-04-30
Induction And Deduction In The Sciences written by Friedrich Stadler and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004-04-30 with Science categories.
The articles in this volume deal with the main inferential methods that can be applied to different kinds of experimental evidence. These contributions - accompanied with critical comments - by renowned scholars in the field of philosophy of science aim at removing the traditional opposition between inductivists and deductivists. They explore the different methods of explanation and justification in the sciences in different contexts and with different objectives. The volume contains contributions on methods of the sciences, especially on induction, deduction, abduction, laws, probability and explanation, ranging from logic, mathematics, natural to the social sciences. They present a highly topical pluralist re-evaluation of methodological and foundational procedures and reasoning, e.g. focusing in Bayesianism and Artificial Intelligence. They document the second international conference in Vienna on "Induction and Deduction in the Sciences" as part of the Scientific Network on "Historical and Contemporary Perspectives of Philosophy of Science in Europe", funded by the European Science Foundation (ESF).
Blackwell Handbook Of Judgment And Decision Making
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Author : Derek J. Koehler
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2008-04-15
Blackwell Handbook Of Judgment And Decision Making written by Derek J. Koehler and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-04-15 with Psychology categories.
The Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making is a state-of-the art overview of current topics and research in the study of how people make evaluations, draw inferences, and make decisions under conditions of uncertainty and conflict. Contains contributions by experts from various disciplines that reflect current trends and controversies on judgment and decision making. Provides a glimpse at the many approaches that have been taken in the study of judgment and decision making and portrays the major findings in the field. Presents examinations of the broader roles of social, emotional, and cultural influences on decision making. Explores applications of judgment and decision making research to important problems in a variety of professional contexts, including finance, accounting, medicine, public policy, and the law.
Judgment And Decision Making Under Uncertainty Descriptive Normative And Prescriptive Perspectives
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Author : David R. Mandel
language : en
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
Release Date : 2019-09-26
Judgment And Decision Making Under Uncertainty Descriptive Normative And Prescriptive Perspectives written by David R. Mandel and has been published by Frontiers Media SA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-09-26 with categories.
The Wiley Blackwell Handbook Of Judgment And Decision Making
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Author : Gideon Keren
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2015-11-30
The Wiley Blackwell Handbook Of Judgment And Decision Making written by Gideon Keren and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-11-30 with Psychology categories.
A comprehensive, up-to-date examination of the most important theory, concepts, methodological approaches, and applications in the burgeoning field of judgment and decision making (JDM) Emphasizes the growth of JDM applications with chapters devoted to medical decision making, decision making and the law, consumer behavior, and more Addresses controversial topics from multiple perspectives – such as choice from description versus choice from experience – and contrasts between empirical methodologies employed in behavioral economics and psychology Brings together a multi-disciplinary group of contributors from across the social sciences, including psychology, economics, marketing, finance, public policy, sociology, and philosophy 2 Volumes
The Oxford Handbook Of Social Cognition Second Edition
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Author : Donal E. Carlston
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2024
The Oxford Handbook Of Social Cognition Second Edition written by Donal E. Carlston and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024 with Psychology categories.
This revised edition overhauls the first edition, with a majority of chapters reconceptualized, focusing on offering a comprehensive review and a new, multigenerational perspective. The chapter also includes a multitude of new topics, including gender identity, intersectionality, prejudice, happiness and wellbeing, questionnaire methodology, and more.
Degrees Of Belief
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Author : Steven G. Vick
language : en
Publisher: ASCE Publications
Release Date : 2002-01-01
Degrees Of Belief written by Steven G. Vick and has been published by ASCE Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002-01-01 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Observing at a risk analysis conference for civil engineers that participants did not share a common language of probability, Vick, a consultant and geotechnic engineer, set out to not only examine why, but to also bridge the gap. He reexamines three elements at the core of engineering the concepts