Uncertainty Forecasting In Engineering
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Uncertainty Forecasting In Engineering
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Author : Bernd Möller
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2007-08-15
Uncertainty Forecasting In Engineering written by Bernd Möller and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-08-15 with Mathematics categories.
Observations of uncertainty in measured data with time improves forecasting capability in a wide range of fields in engineering. This book provides an introduction to uncertainty forecasting based on fuzzy time series. It details descriptive, modeling, and forecasting methods for fuzzy time series. Coverage places emphasis on forecasting based on fuzzy random processes as well as forecasting involving fuzzy neuronal networks.
Forecasting Demand And Supply Of Doctoral Scientists And Engineers
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Author : National Research Council
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 2000-08-31
Forecasting Demand And Supply Of Doctoral Scientists And Engineers written by National Research Council and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000-08-31 with Medical categories.
This report is the summary of a workshop conducted by the National Research Council in order to learn from both forecast makers and forecast users about improvements that can be made in understanding the markets for doctoral scientists and engineers. The workshop commissioned papers examined (1) the history and problems with models of demand and supply for scientists and engineers, (2) objectives and approaches to forecasting models, (3) margins of adjustment that have been neglected in models, especially substitution and quality, (4) the presentation of uncertainty, and (5) whether these forecasts of supply and demand are worthwhile, given all their shortcomings. The focus of the report was to provide guidance to the NSF and to scholars in this area on how models and the forecasts derived from them might be improved, and what role NSF should play in their improvement. In addition, the report examined issues of reporting forecasts to policymakers.
Forecasting For Technologists And Engineers
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Author : Brian C. Twiss
language : en
Publisher: IET
Release Date : 1992
Forecasting For Technologists And Engineers written by Brian C. Twiss and has been published by IET this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book is written for all technologists and engineers. To those unfamiliar with forecasting it may appear a somewhat esoteric activity with little relevance to the everyday technical concerns of the reader. This is not so. The aim of this book is to show how forecasting can improve the quality of technical decision making. Furthermore, this can be accomplished without the use of highly sophisticated techniques which can only be applied by specialists. The approaches described in this book can be easily understood and used by all its readers.
What Every Engineer Should Know About Decision Making Under Uncertainty
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Author : John X. Wang
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2002-07-01
What Every Engineer Should Know About Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by John X. Wang and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002-07-01 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Covering the prediction of outcomes for engineering decisions through regression analysis, this succinct and practical reference presents statistical reasoning and interpretational techniques to aid in the decision making process when faced with engineering problems. The author emphasizes the use of spreadsheet simulations and decision trees as imp
Uncertainty Quantification And Predictive Computational Science
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Author : Ryan G. McClarren
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-11-23
Uncertainty Quantification And Predictive Computational Science written by Ryan G. McClarren and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-11-23 with Science categories.
This textbook teaches the essential background and skills for understanding and quantifying uncertainties in a computational simulation, and for predicting the behavior of a system under those uncertainties. It addresses a critical knowledge gap in the widespread adoption of simulation in high-consequence decision-making throughout the engineering and physical sciences. Constructing sophisticated techniques for prediction from basic building blocks, the book first reviews the fundamentals that underpin later topics of the book including probability, sampling, and Bayesian statistics. Part II focuses on applying Local Sensitivity Analysis to apportion uncertainty in the model outputs to sources of uncertainty in its inputs. Part III demonstrates techniques for quantifying the impact of parametric uncertainties on a problem, specifically how input uncertainties affect outputs. The final section covers techniques for applying uncertainty quantification to make predictions under uncertainty, including treatment of epistemic uncertainties. It presents the theory and practice of predicting the behavior of a system based on the aggregation of data from simulation, theory, and experiment. The text focuses on simulations based on the solution of systems of partial differential equations and includes in-depth coverage of Monte Carlo methods, basic design of computer experiments, as well as regularized statistical techniques. Code references, in python, appear throughout the text and online as executable code, enabling readers to perform the analysis under discussion. Worked examples from realistic, model problems help readers understand the mechanics of applying the methods. Each chapter ends with several assignable problems. Uncertainty Quantification and Predictive Computational Science fills the growing need for a classroom text for senior undergraduate and early-career graduate students in the engineering and physical sciences and supports independent study by researchers and professionals who must include uncertainty quantification and predictive science in the simulations they develop and/or perform.
Uncertainty Analysis In Engineering And Sciences Fuzzy Logic Statistics And Neural Network Approach
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Author : Bilal M. Ayyub
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Uncertainty Analysis In Engineering And Sciences Fuzzy Logic Statistics And Neural Network Approach written by Bilal M. Ayyub and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Computers categories.
Uncertainty has been of concern to engineers, managers and . scientists for many centuries. In management sciences there have existed definitions of uncertainty in a rather narrow sense since the beginning of this century. In engineering and uncertainty has for a long time been considered as in sciences, however, synonymous with random, stochastic, statistic, or probabilistic. Only since the early sixties views on uncertainty have ~ecome more heterogeneous and more tools to model uncertainty than statistics have been proposed by several scientists. The problem of modeling uncertainty adequately has become more important the more complex systems have become, the faster the scientific and engineering world develops, and the more important, but also more difficult, forecasting of future states of systems have become. The first question one should probably ask is whether uncertainty is a phenomenon, a feature of real world systems, a state of mind or a label for a situation in which a human being wants to make statements about phenomena, i. e. , reality, models, and theories, respectively. One cart also ask whether uncertainty is an objective fact or just a subjective impression which is closely related to individual persons. Whether uncertainty is an objective feature of physical real systems seems to be a philosophical question. This shall not be answered in this volume.
Experimentation And Uncertainty Analysis For Engineers
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Author : Hugh W. Coleman
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 1999
Experimentation And Uncertainty Analysis For Engineers written by Hugh W. Coleman and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999 with Psychology categories.
Now, in the only manual available with direct applications to the design and analysis of engineering experiments, respected authors Hugh Coleman and Glenn Steele have thoroughly updated their bestselling title to include the new methodologies being used by the United States and International standards committee groups.
Uncertainty Analysis In Engineering And Sciences Fuzzy Logic Statistics And Neural Network Approach
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Author : Bilal Ayyub
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2011-09-28
Uncertainty Analysis In Engineering And Sciences Fuzzy Logic Statistics And Neural Network Approach written by Bilal Ayyub and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-09-28 with Computers categories.
Uncertainty has been of concern to engineers, managers and . scientists for many centuries. In management sciences there have existed definitions of uncertainty in a rather narrow sense since the beginning of this century. In engineering and uncertainty has for a long time been considered as in sciences, however, synonymous with random, stochastic, statistic, or probabilistic. Only since the early sixties views on uncertainty have ~ecome more heterogeneous and more tools to model uncertainty than statistics have been proposed by several scientists. The problem of modeling uncertainty adequately has become more important the more complex systems have become, the faster the scientific and engineering world develops, and the more important, but also more difficult, forecasting of future states of systems have become. The first question one should probably ask is whether uncertainty is a phenomenon, a feature of real world systems, a state of mind or a label for a situation in which a human being wants to make statements about phenomena, i. e. , reality, models, and theories, respectively. One cart also ask whether uncertainty is an objective fact or just a subjective impression which is closely related to individual persons. Whether uncertainty is an objective feature of physical real systems seems to be a philosophical question. This shall not be answered in this volume.
Uncertainty Modeling For Engineering Applications
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Author : Flavio Canavero
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-12-29
Uncertainty Modeling For Engineering Applications written by Flavio Canavero and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-12-29 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book provides an overview of state-of-the-art uncertainty quantification (UQ) methodologies and applications, and covers a wide range of current research, future challenges and applications in various domains, such as aerospace and mechanical applications, structure health and seismic hazard, electromagnetic energy (its impact on systems and humans) and global environmental state change. Written by leading international experts from different fields, the book demonstrates the unifying property of UQ theme that can be profitably adopted to solve problems of different domains. The collection in one place of different methodologies for different applications has the great value of stimulating the cross-fertilization and alleviate the language barrier among areas sharing a common background of mathematical modeling for problem solution. The book is designed for researchers, professionals and graduate students interested in quantitatively assessing the effects of uncertainties in their fields of application. The contents build upon the workshop “Uncertainty Modeling for Engineering Applications” (UMEMA 2017), held in Torino, Italy in November 2017.
Modelling Uncertainty In Flood Forecasting Systems
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Author : Shreeda Maskey
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2004-05-15
Modelling Uncertainty In Flood Forecasting Systems written by Shreeda Maskey and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004-05-15 with Science categories.
Like all natural hazards, flooding is a complex and inherently uncertain phenomenon. Despite advances in developing flood forecasting models and techniques, the uncertainty in forecasts remains unavoidable. This uncertainty needs to be acknowledged, and uncertainty estimation in flood forecasting provides a rational basis for risk-based