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Growth Accelerations And Reversals In Emerging Market And Developing Economies The Role Of External Conditions


Growth Accelerations And Reversals In Emerging Market And Developing Economies The Role Of External Conditions
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Growth Accelerations And Reversals In Emerging Market And Developing Economies The Role Of External Conditions


Growth Accelerations And Reversals In Emerging Market And Developing Economies The Role Of External Conditions
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Author : Bertrand Gruss
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2018-03-12

Growth Accelerations And Reversals In Emerging Market And Developing Economies The Role Of External Conditions written by Bertrand Gruss and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-03-12 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper investigates how country-specific external demand, external financial conditions, and terms of trade affect medium-term growth in Emerging Market and Developing Economies and the occurrence of growth accelerations and reversals. The importance of country-specific external conditions for medium-term growth has increased over time—in particular, the growing contribution of external financial conditions accounts for one-third of the increase in average income per capita growth between 1995–2004 and 2005–14. Stronger external demand and financial conditions significantly increase the probability of growth accelerations, while a strengthening of any of the three conditions significantly decreases the probability of reversals.



Domestic Amplifiers Of External Shocks Growth Accelerations And Reversals In Emerging Market And Developing Economies


Domestic Amplifiers Of External Shocks Growth Accelerations And Reversals In Emerging Market And Developing Economies
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Author : Bertrand Gruss
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2019-06-17

Domestic Amplifiers Of External Shocks Growth Accelerations And Reversals In Emerging Market And Developing Economies written by Bertrand Gruss and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-06-17 with Business & Economics categories.


External conditions have been found to influence the tendency of emerging market and developing economies to experience episodes of growth accelerations and reversals. In this paper we study the role of domestic policies and other structural attributes in amplifying or mitigating the effect that shifts in external conditions have on growth patterns in emerging market and developing economies over the past five decades. We find that these economies can enhance the growth impulse from external conditions by strengthening their institutional frameworks and adopting a policy mix that protects trade integration; permits exchange rate flexibility; and ensures that vulnerabilities stemming from high current account deficits and external debt, as well as high public debt, are contained.



Anchoring Growth


Anchoring Growth
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Author : Ms.Era Dabla-Norris
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2013-09-24

Anchoring Growth written by Ms.Era Dabla-Norris and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-09-24 with Business & Economics categories.


Fostering and sustaining robust economic growth is an imperative across advanced, emerging, and low-income countries alike. Countries will need to focus on supply-side reforms to raise their potential output and anchor medium-term growth prospects. This SDN will emphasize the role of structural reforms and supportive policy and institutional frameworks for boosting productivity–a key engine of economic growth–in the wake of the crisis. By examining a broad spectrum of reforms that eliminate impediments to growth, the paper will seek to highlight a differentiated policy agenda across countries.



Emerging Markets In Transition


Emerging Markets In Transition
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Author : Mr.Luis M. Cubeddu
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2014-06-12

Emerging Markets In Transition written by Mr.Luis M. Cubeddu and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-06-12 with Business & Economics categories.


After a short-lived slowdown in the immediate aftermath of the global financial crisis and a swift rebound, emerging markets (EM) are now entering a period of slower growth. In fact, growth is now lower than the post-crisis peak of 2010-11, as well as the rates seen in the decade before the crisis. This raises the question of whether EMs can bounce back to the growth rates seen in the last decade or whether their prospects are dimmer than thought a few years ago. This SDN we will explore the drivers of the slowdown, how changes in external conditions that supported high growth in EMs will affect them over the medium term, and the policy priorities needed to sustain the growth rates seen in the past decades. In doing so, the paper differentiates EMs along various dimensions (e.g. degree of commodity dependence, trade and financial openness) to highlight the need to tailor policy priorities.



The Rising Resilience Of Emerging Market And Developing Economies


The Rising Resilience Of Emerging Market And Developing Economies
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Author : Mr.Abdul Abiad
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2012-12-20

The Rising Resilience Of Emerging Market And Developing Economies written by Mr.Abdul Abiad and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-20 with Business & Economics categories.


Economic performance in many emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) improved substantially over the past twenty years. The past decade was particularly good—for the first time EMDEs spent more time in expansion and had smaller downturns thanadvanced economies. In this paper we document the history of EMDEs’ resilience over the past sixty years, and investigate what factors have been associated with it. We find that their improved performance in recent years is accounted for by both good policies and a lowerincidence of external and domestic shocks—better policies account for about three-fifths of their improved resilience, while less frequent shocks account for the remainder.



Current Account Reversals And Currency Crises


Current Account Reversals And Currency Crises
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Author : Mr.Gian Milesi-Ferretti
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1998-06-01

Current Account Reversals And Currency Crises written by Mr.Gian Milesi-Ferretti and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-06-01 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper studies large reductions in current account deficits and exchange rate depreciations in low- and middle-income countries. It examines which factors help predict the occurrence of a reversal or a currency crisis, and how these events affect macroeconomic performance. Both domestic factors, such as the low reserves, and external factors, such as unfavorable terms of trade, are found to trigger reversals and currency crises. The two types of events are, however, distinct; an exchange rate crash is associated with a fall in output growth and a recovery thereafter, while for reversals there is no systematic evidence of a growth slowdown.



Growth And Development In Emerging Market Economies


Growth And Development In Emerging Market Economies
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Author : Harinder S Kohli
language : en
Publisher: SAGE Publications Pvt. Limited
Release Date : 2008-05-09

Growth And Development In Emerging Market Economies written by Harinder S Kohli and has been published by SAGE Publications Pvt. Limited this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-05-09 with Business & Economics categories.


This compilation helps understand the basic forces that are now determining the performance and prospects of emerging market economies (EMEs) around the world. In the past few years, there has been a sharp rise in private capital flows to well performing developing countries, commonly referred to as EMEs. With a drop in net transfers from official sources, the private capital flows in these countries now dwarf official flows. Growth and Development in Emerging Market Economies: International Private Capital Flows, Financial Markets and Globalization encapsulates in one volume the understanding of the inter-related topics of global imbalances, finance, investment, trade, and infrastructure. Such assemblage is difficult to find in the existing literature in this field. Many chapters discuss the situations in Asia and Latin America, drawing parallels and pointing out contrasts. The papers in this collection were discussed at the Emerging Markets Forum meeting held in Jakarta, Indonesia in September 2006. The contributors include highly experienced former policy makers and senior officials of multilateral institutions who have lifelong experience in policy formulation at the highest level. The collection would be of value to policy makers in developing countries, officials of multilateral development institutions and researchers and academicians in the field of EMEs.



Domestic Amplifiers Of External Shocks Growth Accelerations And Reversals In Emerging Market And Developing Economies


Domestic Amplifiers Of External Shocks Growth Accelerations And Reversals In Emerging Market And Developing Economies
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Author : Bertrand Gruss
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2019-06-17

Domestic Amplifiers Of External Shocks Growth Accelerations And Reversals In Emerging Market And Developing Economies written by Bertrand Gruss and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-06-17 with Business & Economics categories.


External conditions have been found to influence the tendency of emerging market and developing economies to experience episodes of growth accelerations and reversals. In this paper we study the role of domestic policies and other structural attributes in amplifying or mitigating the effect that shifts in external conditions have on growth patterns in emerging market and developing economies over the past five decades. We find that these economies can enhance the growth impulse from external conditions by strengthening their institutional frameworks and adopting a policy mix that protects trade integration; permits exchange rate flexibility; and ensures that vulnerabilities stemming from high current account deficits and external debt, as well as high public debt, are contained.



How External Factors Affect Domestic Economy


How External Factors Affect Domestic Economy
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Author : Mr.Serhat Solmaz
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2015-12-23

How External Factors Affect Domestic Economy written by Mr.Serhat Solmaz and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-12-23 with Business & Economics categories.


External headwinds, together with domestic vulnerabilities, have loomed over the prospects of emerging markets in recent years. We propose an empirical toolbox to quantify the impact of external macro-financial shocks on domestic economies in parsimonious way. Our model is a Bayesian VAR consisting of two blocks representing home and foreign factors, which is particularly useful for small open economies. By exploiting the mixed-frequency nature of the model, we show how the toolbox can be used for “nowcasting” the output growth. The conditional forecast results illustrate that regular updates of external information, as well as domestic leading indicators, would significantly enhance the accuracy of forecasts. Moreover, the analysis of variance decompositions shows that external shocks are important drivers of the domestic business cycle.



World Economic Outlook April 2017


World Economic Outlook April 2017
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-04-18

World Economic Outlook April 2017 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-04-18 with Business & Economics categories.


Global economic activity is picking up with a long-awaited cyclical recovery in investment, manufacturing, and trade, according to Chapter 1 of this World Economic Outlook. World growth is expected to rise from 3.1 percent in 2016 to 3.5 percent in 2017 and 3.6 percent in 2018. Stronger activity, expectations of more robust global demand, reduced deflationary pressures, and optimistic financial markets are all upside developments. But structural impediments to a stronger recovery and a balance of risks that remains tilted to the downside, especially over the medium term, remain important challenges. Chapter 2 examines how changes in external conditions may affect the pace of income convergence between advanced and emerging market and developing economies. Chapter 3 looks at the declining share of income that goes to labor, including the root causes and how the trend affects inequality. Overall, this report stresses the need for credible strategies in advanced economies and in those whose markets are emerging and developing to tackle a number of common challenges in an integrated global economy.