The Foundations Of Causal Decision Theory
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The Foundations Of Causal Decision Theory
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Author : James M. Joyce
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1999-04-13
The Foundations Of Causal Decision Theory written by James M. Joyce and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999-04-13 with Science categories.
This book defends the view that any adequate account of rational decision making must take a decision maker's beliefs about causal relations into account. The early chapters of the book introduce the non-specialist to the rudiments of expected utility theory. The major technical advance offered by the book is a 'representation theorem' that shows that both causal decision theory and its main rival, Richard Jeffrey's logic of decision, are both instances of a more general conditional decision theory. The book solves a long-standing problem for Jeffrey's theory by showing for the first time how to obtain a unique utility and probability representation for preferences and judgements of comparative likelihood. The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true. The most complete and robust defence of causal decision theory available.
Decision Probability And Utility
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Author : Peter Gärdenfors
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1988
Decision Probability And Utility written by Peter Gärdenfors and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1988 with Philosophy categories.
Decision theory and the theory of rational choice have recently been the subjects of considerable research by philosophers and economists. However, no adequate anthology exists which can be used to introduce students to the field. This volume is designed to meet that need. The essays included are organized into five parts covering the foundations of decision theory, the conceptualization of probability and utility, pholosophical difficulties with the rules of rationality and with the assessment of probability, and causal decision theory. The editors provide an extensive introduction to the field and introductions to each part.
Evidence Decision And Causality
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Author : Arif Ahmed
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2014-08-07
Evidence Decision And Causality written by Arif Ahmed and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-08-07 with Mathematics categories.
An explanation and defence of evidential decision theory, which emphasises the symptomatic value of options over their causal role.
An Introduction To Decision Theory
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Author : Martin Peterson
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2009
An Introduction To Decision Theory written by Martin Peterson and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with Bayesian statistical decision theory categories.
This up-to-date introduction to decision theory offers comprehensive and accessible discussions of decision-making under ignorance and risk, the foundations of utility theory, the debate over subjective and objective probability, Bayesianism, causal decision theory, game theory, and social choice theory. No mathematical skills are assumed, and all concepts and results are explained in non-technical and intuitive as well as more formal ways. There are over 100 exercises with solutions, and a glossary of key terms and concepts. An emphasis on foundational aspects of normative decision theory (rather than descriptive decision theory) makes the book particularly useful for philosophy students, but it will appeal to readers in a range of disciplines including economics, psychology, political science and computer science.
An Introduction To Decision Theory
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Author : Martin Peterson
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2017-03-30
An Introduction To Decision Theory written by Martin Peterson and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-03-30 with Business & Economics categories.
A comprehensive and accessible introduction to all aspects of decision theory, now with new and updated discussions and over 140 exercises.
Thinking About Acting
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Author : John L. Pollock
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2006-07-27
Thinking About Acting written by John L. Pollock and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-07-27 with Business & Economics categories.
This work aims to construct a theory of rational decision making for real, resource-bounded, agents. Such decision making must be based on objective probabilities rather than subjective probabilities, and can't be done by choosing single action with maxmimal expected values.
Decision Theory With A Human Face
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Author : Richard Bradley
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2017-10-26
Decision Theory With A Human Face written by Richard Bradley and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-10-26 with Mathematics categories.
Explores how decision-makers can manage uncertainty that varies in both kind and severity by extending and supplementing Bayesian decision theory.
Evidential Decision Theory
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Author : Arif Ahmed
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2021-10-31
Evidential Decision Theory written by Arif Ahmed and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-10-31 with Science categories.
Evidential Decision Theory is a radical theory of rational decision-making. It recommends that instead of thinking about what your decisions *cause*, you should think about what they *reveal*. This Element explains in simple terms why thinking in this way makes a big difference, and argues that doing so makes for *better* decisions. An appendix gives an intuitive explanation of the measure-theoretic foundations of Evidential Decision Theory.
Evidential Decision Theory
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Author : Arif Ahmed
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2021-09-30
Evidential Decision Theory written by Arif Ahmed and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-09-30 with Science categories.
Evidential Decision Theory is a radical theory of rational decision-making. It recommends that instead of thinking about what your decisions *cause*, you should think about what they *reveal*. This Element explains in simple terms why thinking in this way makes a big difference, and argues that doing so makes for *better* decisions. An appendix gives an intuitive explanation of the measure-theoretic foundations of Evidential Decision Theory.
Taking Chances
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Author : Jordan Howard Sobel
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1994-04-29
Taking Chances written by Jordan Howard Sobel and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1994-04-29 with Philosophy categories.
J. Howard Sobel has long been recognized as an important figure in philosophical discussions of rational decision. He has done much to help formulate the concept of causal decision theory. In this volume of essays Sobel explores the Bayesian idea that rational actions maximize expected values, where an action's expected value is a weighted average of its agent's values for its possible total outcomes. Newcomb's Problem and The Prisoner's Dilemma are discussed, and Allais-type puzzles are viewed from the perspective of causal world Bayesianism. The author establishes principles for distinguishing options in decision problems, and studies ways in which perfectly rational causal maximizers can be capable of resolute choices. Sobel also views critically Gauthier's revisionist ideas about maximizing rationality. This collection will be a desideratum for anyone working in the field of rational choice theory, whether in philosophy, economics, political science, psychology or statistics. Howard Sobel's work in decision theory is certainly among the most important, interesting and challenging that is being done by philosophers.