The Foundations Of Causal Decision Theory
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The Foundations Of Causal Decision Theory
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Author : James M. Joyce
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1999-04-13
The Foundations Of Causal Decision Theory written by James M. Joyce and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999-04-13 with Computers categories.
The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true.
The Foundations Of Causal Decision Theory
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Author : James M. Joyce
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2008
The Foundations Of Causal Decision Theory written by James M. Joyce and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with categories.
The Foundations Of Causal Decision Theory
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Author : James M. Joyce
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1999-04-13
The Foundations Of Causal Decision Theory written by James M. Joyce and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999-04-13 with Science categories.
This book defends the view that any adequate account of rational decision making must take a decision maker's beliefs about causal relations into account. The early chapters of the book introduce the non-specialist to the rudiments of expected utility theory. The major technical advance offered by the book is a 'representation theorem' that shows that both causal decision theory and its main rival, Richard Jeffrey's logic of decision, are both instances of a more general conditional decision theory. The book solves a long-standing problem for Jeffrey's theory by showing for the first time how to obtain a unique utility and probability representation for preferences and judgements of comparative likelihood. The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true. The most complete and robust defence of causal decision theory available.
An Introduction To Decision Theory
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Author : Martin Peterson
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2017-03-30
An Introduction To Decision Theory written by Martin Peterson and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-03-30 with Business & Economics categories.
A comprehensive and accessible introduction to all aspects of decision theory, now with new and updated discussions and over 140 exercises.
Evidence Decision And Causality
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Author : Arif Ahmed
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2017-02-02
Evidence Decision And Causality written by Arif Ahmed and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-02-02 with Science categories.
Most philosophers agree that causal knowledge is essential to decision-making: agents should choose from the available options those that probably cause the outcomes that they want. This book argues against this theory and in favour of evidential or Bayesian decision theory, which emphasises the symptomatic value of options over their causal role. It examines a variety of settings, including economic theory, quantum mechanics and philosophical thought-experiments, where causal knowledge seems to make a practical difference. The arguments make novel use of machinery from other areas of philosophical inquiry, including first-person epistemology and the free will debate. The book also illustrates the applicability of decision theory itself to questions about the direction of time and the special epistemic status of agents.
Rational Decision And Causality
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Author : Ellery Eells
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2016-08-26
Rational Decision And Causality written by Ellery Eells and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-08-26 with Business & Economics categories.
This book is Ellery Eells' influential examination and analysis of theories of rational decision making.
The Roots Of Reason
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Author : David Papineau
language : en
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Release Date : 2006-01-26
The Roots Of Reason written by David Papineau and has been published by OUP Oxford this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-01-26 with Philosophy categories.
David Papineau presents a controversial view of human reason, portraying it as a normal part of the natural world, and drawing on the empirical sciences to illuminate its workings. In these six interconnected essays he offers a fresh approach to some long-standing problems. Papineau rejects the contemporary orthodoxy that genuine thought hinges on some species of non-natural normativity. He explores the evolutionary histories of theoretical and practical rationality, indicating ways in which capacities underlying human reasoning have been selected for their biological advantages. He then looks at the connection between decision and probability, explaining how good decisions need to be informed by causal as well as probabilistic facts. Finally he defends the radical view that a satisfactory understanding of decision-making is only possible within a specific interpretation of quantum mechanics. By placing the subject in its scientific context, Papineau shows how human rationality plays an explicable role in the functioning of the natural world.
Thinking About Acting
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Author : John L. Pollock
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2006-07-27
Thinking About Acting written by John L. Pollock and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-07-27 with Philosophy categories.
John Pollock aims to construct a theory of rational decision making for real agents--not ideal agents. Real agents have limited cognitive powers, but traditional theories of rationality have applied only to idealized agents that lack such constraints. Pollock argues that theories of ideal rationality are largely irrelevant to the decision making of real agents. Thinking about Acting aims to provide a theory of "real rationality."
Decision Theory With A Human Face
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Author : Richard Bradley
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2017-10-26
Decision Theory With A Human Face written by Richard Bradley and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-10-26 with Business & Economics categories.
Explores how decision-makers can manage uncertainty that varies in both kind and severity by extending and supplementing Bayesian decision theory.
The Art Of Causal Conjecture
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Author : Glenn Shafer
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 1996
The Art Of Causal Conjecture written by Glenn Shafer and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1996 with Computers categories.
In The Art of Causal Conjecture, Glenn Shafer lays out a new mathematical and philosophical foundation for probability and uses it to explain concepts of causality used in statistics, artificial intelligence, and philosophy. The various disciplines that use causal reasoning differ in the relative weight they put on security and precision of knowledge as opposed to timeliness of action. The natural and social sciences seek high levels of certainty in the identification of causes and high levels of precision in the measurement of their effects. The practical sciences -- medicine, business, engineering, and artificial intelligence -- must act on causal conjectures based on more limited knowledge. Shafer's understanding of causality contributes to both of these uses of causal reasoning. His language for causal explanation can guide statistical investigation in the natural and social sciences, and it can also be used to formulate assumptions of causal uniformity needed for decision making in the practical sciences. Causal ideas permeate the use of probability and statistics in all branches of industry, commerce, government, and science. The Art of Causal Conjecture shows that causal ideas can be equally important in theory. It does not challenge the maxim that causation cannot be proven from statistics alone, but by bringing causal ideas into the foundations of probability, it allows causal conjectures to be more clearly quantified, debated, and confronted by statistical evidence.