How To Predict Elections
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How To Predict Elections
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Author : Louis Hyman Bean
language : en
Publisher: Praeger
Release Date : 1948
How To Predict Elections written by Louis Hyman Bean and has been published by Praeger this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1948 with Political Science categories.
Predicting Presidential Elections And Other Things Second Edition
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Author : Ray Fair
language : en
Publisher: Stanford University Press
Release Date : 2011-12-14
Predicting Presidential Elections And Other Things Second Edition written by Ray Fair and has been published by Stanford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-12-14 with Business & Economics categories.
"It's the economy, stupid," as Democratic strategist James Carville would say. After many years of study, Ray C. Fair has found that the state of the economy has a dominant influence on national elections. Just in time for the 2012 presidential election, this new edition of his classic text, Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things, provides us with a look into the likely future of our nation's political landscape—but Fair doesn't stop there. Fair puts other national issues under the microscope as well—including congressional elections, Federal Reserve behavior, and inflation. In addition he covers topics well beyond today's headlines, as the book takes on questions of more direct, personal interest such as wine quality, predicting football games, and aging effects in baseball. Which of your friends is most likely to have an extramarital affair? How important is class attendance for academic performance in college? How fast can you expect to run a race or perform some physical task at age 55, given your time at age 30? Read Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things and find out! As Fair works his way through an incredibly broad range of questions and topics, he teaches and delights. The discussion that underlies each chapter topic moves from formulating theories about real world phenomena to lessons on how to analyze data, test theories, and make predictions. At the end of this book, readers will walk away with more than mere predictions. They will have learned a new approach to thinking about many age-old concerns in public and private life, and will have a myriad of fun facts to share.
The Keys To The White House
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Author : Allan J. Lichtman
language : en
Publisher: Lexington Books
Release Date : 2005
The Keys To The White House written by Allan J. Lichtman and has been published by Lexington Books this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Political Science categories.
Prominent political analyst and historian Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or keys that have successfully predicted the outcome of presidential elections from 1860 to 2004. Read this book not only for a surprising look at the electoral process, but also for tips on calling the election in 2008.
Forecasting Elections
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Author : Michael S. Lewis-Beck
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1992
Forecasting Elections written by Michael S. Lewis-Beck and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992 with Political Science categories.
All political scientists aim to explain politics. In addition to this goal, Michael Lewis-Beck and Tom Rice aim to forecast political events, specifically election results. In "Forecasting Elections" the authors systematically develop easy-to-understand models based on national economic and political measures to forecast eleciton results for the U.S. presidency, House of Representatives, Senate, governorships, and state legislatures. For comparative purposes, the more complex French electoral system is studied. In the final chapter the authors instruct readers on how to use the models to make their own forecasts of future elections. -- From publisher's description.
Predicting The Next President
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Author : Allan J. Lichtman
language : en
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Release Date : 2024-07-01
Predicting The Next President written by Allan J. Lichtman and has been published by Rowman & Littlefield this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-07-01 with Political Science categories.
In the days after Donald Trump’s unexpected victory on election night 2016, The New York Times, CNN, and other leading media outlets reached out to one of the few pundits who had correctly predicted the outcome, Allan J. Lichtman. While many election forecasters base their findings exclusively on public opinion polls, Lichtman looks at the underlying fundamentals that have driven every presidential election since 1860. Using his 13 historical factors or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), Lichtman had been predicting Trump’s win since September 2016. In the updated 2024 edition, he applies the keys to every presidential election since 1860 and shows readers the current state of the 2024 race. In doing so, he dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies!
Forecasting Presidential Elections
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Author : Steven J. Rosenstone
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1983
Forecasting Presidential Elections written by Steven J. Rosenstone and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1983 with Election forecasting categories.
Describes a method for analyzing the forces that influence election results and predicting the outcome of elections for the president of the United States
Understanding Elections Through Statistics
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Author : Ole J. Forsberg
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2020-11-02
Understanding Elections Through Statistics written by Ole J. Forsberg and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-11-02 with Political Science categories.
Elections are random events. From individuals deciding whether to vote, to people deciding for whom to vote, to election authorities deciding what to count, the outcomes of competitive democratic elections are rarely known until election day...or beyond. Understanding Elections through Statistics: Polling, Prediction, and Testing explores this random phenomenon from two points of view: predicting the election outcome using opinion polls and testing the election outcome using government-reported data. Written for those with only a brief introduction to statistics, this book takes you on a statistical journey from how polls are taken to how they can—and should—be used to estimate current popular opinion. Once an understanding of the election process is built, we turn toward testing elections for evidence of unfairness. While holding elections has become the de facto proof of government legitimacy, those electoral processes may hide a dirty little secret of the government illicitly ensuring a favorable election outcome. This book includes these features designed to make your statistical journey more enjoyable: Vignettes of elections, including maps, to provide concrete bases for the material In-chapter cues to help one avoid the heavy math—or to focus on it End-of-chapter problems designed to review and extend that which was covered in the chapter Many opportunities to turn the power of the R statistical environment to the enclosed election data files, as well as to those you find interesting From these features, it is clear the audience for this book is quite diverse. This text provides mathematics for those interested in mathematics, but also offers detours for those who just want a good read and a deeper understanding of elections. Author Ole J. Forsberg holds PhDs in both political science and statistics. He currently teaches mathematics and statistics in the Department of Mathematics at Knox College in Galesburg, IL.
Who Will Be In The White House
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Author : Randall J. Jones
language : en
Publisher: Longman Publishing Group
Release Date : 2002
Who Will Be In The White House written by Randall J. Jones and has been published by Longman Publishing Group this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002 with Political Science categories.
Presenting models for making predictions about presidential elections, this brief supplementary text is accessible to students without a statistical background and features discussions of Election 2000 throughout. Well-grounded in elections theory, this new text introduces students to the major models used to forecast presidential elections and covers a variety of topics through that lens: approval ratings, exit polls, election cycles, nomination process and campaigns, performance of the economy, etc. Lucidly written, it offers an abundance of figures to illustrate concepts to students and include an easy-to-understand explanation of regression so that no prior knowledge of statistics is necessary to read the text. Professor Jones not only summarizes and utilizes the forecasting techniques employed by experts in the past, but brings in new techniques and tools, making a valuable contribution to the methodologies of presidential election forecasting.
Web Information Systems Engineering Wise 2014
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Author : Boualem Benatallah
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2014-09-11
Web Information Systems Engineering Wise 2014 written by Boualem Benatallah and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-09-11 with Computers categories.
This book constitutes the proceedings of the 15th International Conference on Web Information Systems Engineering, WISE 2014, held in Thessaloniki, Greece, in October 2014. The 52 full papers, 16 short and 14 poster papers, presented in the two-volume proceedings LNCS 8786 and 8787 were carefully reviewed and selected from 196 submissions. They are organized in topical sections named: Web mining, modeling and classification; Web querying and searching; Web recommendation and personalization; semantic Web; social online networks; software architectures amd platforms; Web technologies and frameworks; Web innovation and applications; and challenge.
Explaining And Predicting Elections
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Author : Ian Budge
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 1983-01-01
Explaining And Predicting Elections written by Ian Budge and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1983-01-01 with Political Science categories.